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BayCom Corp (BCML) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of BayCom Corp stock $25.55, price $31.16, that is 18.0% below the price, quality 55 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Financial Services US

BC BayCom Corp logo Broad data Nov 7, 2026

BayCom Corp

BCML · US
Solid, but expensive

Our calculation puts a fair price 18% below what the stock costs today.

Solidly profitable · 10.0% net margin (TTM)
Broad data
Quality 55/100
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +8.2 %/yr in USD)
3.9% dividend yield · Payout strained
Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
Insiders bought $616,068 (6M)
Revenue last quarter 17% below a year ago.
Fair value $25.55 · Overvalued
Narrow moat 37/100 · thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$34.79 $13.73 Fair Value $25.55 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $13.73 – $34.79 · fair‑value band $21.60 – $28.03 · the $31.16 price screens above the $25.55 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

BayCom Corp operates as the bank holding company for United Business Bank that provides various financial services to small and mid-sized businesses, service professionals, and individuals. The company provides demand, savings, money market, and time deposit accounts.

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It also offers commercial and multifamily real estate loans, including owner-occupied and investor real estate loans; commercial and industrial loans, such as equipment loans and working capital lines of credit; small business administration loans; construction and land loans; agriculture-related loans; and consumer loans comprising installment loans, unsecured and secured personal lines of credit, and overdraft protection.

In addition, the company provides online and mobile banking, automated teller machine, remote deposit capture, night depository, courier, and direct deposit services; treasury management services that includes balance reporting, transfers between accounts, wire transfer initiation, automated clearing house (ACH) origination, and stop payments; debit cards; cashier's and travelers checks; letters of credit; and lockbox, positive pay, reverse positive pay, and account reconciliation services, as well as zero balance accounts and sweep accounts, including loan sweep.

It operates through a network of full-service banking branches in Northern and Southern California; Las Vegas, Nevada; Denver, Colorado; Custer, Delta, and Grand counties, Colorado; and Seattle, Washington and Central New Mexico.

The company was formerly known as Bay Commercial Bank and changed its name to BayCom Corp in January 2017. BayCom Corp was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Walnut Creek, California.

Stock analysis

BayCom Corp (BCML) currently trades at $31.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $25.55, 18% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $28.80 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the $31.16 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $9.41, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $21.60 (bear) to $28.03 (bull), the price of $31.16 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

BayCom Corp reported revenue of $142M in FY2025 versus $92.8M in FY2021, a compound +11.2%/yr. Reported net income was $23.9M in FY2025, compounding +3.7%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $340M Small · P/E ratio 36.7 · P/S ratio 3.70 · EPS (TTM) $0.8500 · Dividend yield 3.9% · Net margin 10.0% · Return on equity 2.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.3% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at −18%, BCML screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $21.60 Fair Value $25.55 Bull $28.03
Price $31.16 · Downside -18.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income $24.52 $25.55 $28.03 76
Gordon GGM $5.16 $10.03 $14.81 67
DDM Multi-Stage $5.16 $8.79 $10.62 67
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $5.16 $10.03 $14.81 67
DDM Multi-Stage $5.16 $8.79 $10.62 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $21.37 $28.49 $35.61 63
P/B Multiple $21.83 $29.11 $36.39 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $13.64 $18.28 $27.29 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $24.52 $25.55 $28.03 76

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 28
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 80
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 3
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 95
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 87
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 47
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 52
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 90
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, 3 officers or directors bought shares worth $616,068, most recently on Aug 21, 2026. Buying cluster

  • BuyRobert G. LaverneDirector2× since Aug 20, 2026: 2,000 shares, avg. $29.90$59,800Aug 21, 2026
  • BuyChristopher F BaronPresident and CEO, Director8,250 shares at $30.39$250,718Aug 10, 2026
  • BuyMichael J PerdueDirector2× since May 22, 2026: 10,000 shares, avg. $30.56$305,550Jul 31, 2026
  • BuyWilliam J BlackExecutive Vice Chair, Director33,082 shares at $30.17$998,235May 6, 2026

Plus 10 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 73/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +18.0% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+33.6%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+8.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.9.9% vs 7.3%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.19% → 23%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

BCML screens overvalued: fair value 18% below the price. Compare with China Merchants Bank Co →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Regional · 996 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −18.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 2.8% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 0.9% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 10.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 7.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −16.6% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 3.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 36.7× · Priciest 25%
P/B 1.00× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 3.70× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 11.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.9× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.99× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)9 · sector 8
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 47
PAST (return on equity)11 · sector 43
HEALTH (low debt)–
DIVIDEND (yield)77 · sector 53

HEALTH: for banks, insurers and similar financial firms borrowed money is part of the business, so we do not rate debt here.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Postal Savings Bank of China Co 601658 ¥5.53 ¥7.59 +37% vs BCML
China Merchants Bank Co 600036 ¥42.88 ¥52.73 +23% vs BCML
BNP Paribas SA BNP €91.93 €106.01 +15% vs BCML
Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP €6.18 €4.49 −27% vs BCML
State Bank of India SBIN ₹1,019 ₹736.65 −28% vs BCML
UniCredit S.p.A UCG €76.80 €50.44 −34% vs BCML
Mizuho Financial Group MFG $9.40 $5.89 −37% vs BCML
DBS Group D05 69.72 SGD 40.39 SGD −42% vs BCML
HDFC Bank Limited HDFCBANK ₹788.25 ₹406.39 −48% vs BCML
ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK ₹1,571 ₹615.63 −61% vs BCML

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BayCom Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BCML

Frequently asked questions

Is BayCom Corp (BCML) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $25.55 versus a price of $31.16, about 18% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BCML?
Our model-based fair value for BayCom Corp is $25.55 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $31.16.
What is the quality score of BCML?
BayCom Corp has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for BayCom Corp (BCML)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $25.55 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario $21.60, optimistic scenario $28.03. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the BayCom Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $25.55, about 18% lower versus a price of $31.16 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $21.60, optimistic scenario $28.03. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of BayCom Corp (BCML)?
BayCom Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $91.9M (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does BayCom Corp pay a dividend?
BayCom Corp currently shows a dividend yield of 3.85% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of BayCom Corp (BCML) and when is the ex-dividend date?
BayCom Corp pays a dividend of $1.20 per share a year, a dividend yield of 3.9%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 10, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2022. The payout ratio is 141% of earnings. Our assessment: Payout strained. The dividend exceeds reported earnings (though reported profit is often depressed by one-off charges), and free cash flow only just covers it (or coverage is unknown). Not an emergency, but little room for error.
What is the intrinsic value of BayCom Corp (BCML)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For BayCom Corp it is $25.55 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of $31.16. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models in 4 families (Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is BayCom Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, BCML trades above its calculated fair value: price $31.16, fair value $25.55, a gap of about −18% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BCML?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($31.16); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($25.55). For BayCom Corp the two are $5.61 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is BayCom Corp worth?
The market values BayCom Corp at about $340M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is $31.16; our models calculate a fair value of $25.55 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BCML?
Our models span a range for BayCom Corp: cautious scenario $21.60, base $25.55, optimistic $28.03 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price $31.16). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BCML?
BayCom Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 36.7 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $25.55 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, 6 of the years ex one-offs: 12.9. Other multiples: PEG 1.0, P/B 1.0, P/S 3.7, EV/EBITDA 8.9.
What is the PEG ratio of BCML?
The PEG ratio of BayCom Corp is 0.99 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 7, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of BayCom Corp (BCML)?
Balance-sheet figures for BayCom Corp (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 2.8%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BCML from its 52-week high?
BayCom Corp trades at $31.16, about 10% below its 52-week high of $34.79 and 18% above the low of $26.52 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $25.55 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to BayCom Corp?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value China Merchants Bank Co, DBS Group, UniCredit S.p.A, Mizuho Financial Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is BayCom Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price $31.16, calculated fair value $25.55 (−18%), Quality Score 55/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BCML calculated?
We run BayCom Corp through 6 models from 4 families: Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $25.55 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. BayCom Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of BayCom Corp (BCML)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $31.16. Our model-based fair value is $25.55, about 18% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with BayCom Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($28.03). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of BayCom Corp (BCML) come from?
Earnings per share at BayCom Corp grew +7.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +10.3 %, EBIT margin −3.2 %, tax rate +0.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of BayCom Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of BayCom Corp (BCML)?
The market capitalisation of BayCom Corp is $340M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of BayCom Corp (BCML)?
The price-to-sales ratio of BayCom Corp is 3.70 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of BayCom Corp (BCML)?
Earnings per share at BayCom Corp are $0.8500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 36.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of BayCom Corp (BCML)?
The dividend yield of BayCom Corp is 3.9% (payout 141%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of BayCom Corp (BCML)?
The net margin of BayCom Corp is 10.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of BayCom Corp (BCML)?
The return on equity (ROE) of BayCom Corp is 2.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of BayCom Corp (BCML)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of BayCom Corp is 1.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of BayCom Corp (BCML)?
The operating margin of BayCom Corp is 7.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at BayCom Corp (BCML)?
Revenue at BayCom Corp is growing −16.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at BayCom Corp (BCML)?
Earnings per share at BayCom Corp are growing −78.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does BayCom Corp (BCML) generate?
The free cash flow of BayCom Corp is $30.1M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does BayCom Corp (BCML) hold?
BayCom Corp holds more cash than debt, $4.4M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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