Jumbo S.A (BELA) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · GR · Market cap €3.1B
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from €43.56 to €41.25 (−5.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +3.3% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range €21.38 – €31.77 · fair‑value band €28.74 – €61.52 · the €23.48 price screens below the €41.25 fair value. As of Jul 14, 2026.
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Jumbo S.A (BELA) currently trades at €23.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €41.25, implying the stock looks roughly 75.7% undervalued today. We read business quality at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Jumbo S.A generated revenue of €1.2B at a net margin of 26.0%. Revenue grew 6.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €313M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €28.74 (bear case) to €61.52 (bull case); at €23.48, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -23% fair-value upside, at 76%, BELA screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Jumbo S.A. engages in the retail sale of toys, baby products, gift articles, household products, stationery, seasonal and decoration items, books, and related products in Greece, Cyprus, Bulgaria, and Romania. The company operates e-jumbo, an online store. It is involved in the wholesale of toys and related products to third parties. Jumbo S.A. was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Athens, Greece.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Jumbo S.A reported revenue of €1.2B in FY2025 versus €832M in FY2021, a compound +10.3%/yr. Reported net income was €320M in FY2025, compounding +10.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc ATD | C$82.60 | C$57.38 | -31% |
| Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY | $761.57 | $222.50 | -71% |
| Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM | $226.06 | $164.16 | -27% |
| Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA | $470.75 | $475.40 | +1% |
| DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS | $217.60 | $313.58 | +44% |
| Best Buy Co BBY | $75.64 | $79.25 | +5% |
| China Tourism Group 601888 | ¥58.05 | ¥37.51 | -35% |
| Tractor Supply Company TSCO | $29.78 | $23.87 | -20% |
| Murphy USA Inc MUSA | $612.16 | $362.17 | -41% |
| Five Below, Inc FIVE | $192.17 | $148.51 | -23% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.