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BFF Bank S.p.A (BFF) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · IT · Market cap €552M

BB BFF Bank S.p.A BFF · MI
Price€3.28
Fair Value€4.83
Upside+47.4%
Quality43/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 28.9% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/12)
Moderate moat 60/100
Evidence: Medium Range €3.62 – €6.04 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price +1.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 47% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (€3.62). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€12.29 €1.43 Fair Value €4.83 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €1.43 – €12.29 · fair‑value band €3.62 – €6.04 · the €3.28 price screens below the €4.83 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

BFF Bank S.p.A (BFF) currently trades at €3.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €4.83, implying the stock looks roughly 47.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, BFF Bank S.p.A generated revenue of €292M at a net margin of 28.9%. Revenue grew 4.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.1%. Net debt stands at €361M. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €3.62 (bear case) to €6.04 (bull case); at €3.28, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 72% below its 52-week high and 167% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at 47%, BFF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income €3.84 €4.04 €4.17 76
Gordon GGM €4.16 €7.50 €10.33 70
P/E Multiple €3.62 €4.83 €6.04 63
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings €5.73 €7.90 €11.02 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €2.53 €10.03 €13.62 54
Lynch FV €2.48 €3.55 €4.61 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €4.16 €7.50 €10.33 70
DDM Multi-Stage €4.16 €6.85 €8.01 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €3.62 €4.83 €6.04 63
P/B Multiple €4.74 €6.32 €7.89 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €2.45 €3.28 €4.89 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income €3.84 €4.04 €4.17 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models (€7.90) versus Asset-Based (€3.28). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €292M
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.4%
Net margin 28.9%
Return on equity 9.1%
Free cash flow −€29.5M FY2025
P/E ratio 11.2
More key figures
Operating margin 77.9%
EPS (TTM) €0.2600
EPS growth (YoY) -72.0%
Net debt €361M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 1
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 27
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 87
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 26
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 86
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

BFF Bank S.p.A. engages in non-recourse factoring and credit management activities towards public administration bodies and private hospitals in Italy, Croatia, the Czech Republic, France, Greece, Poland, Portugal, Slovakia, and Spain. It offers factoring and lending securities services, payment services, and online deposit account services.

Full company description

BFF Bank S.p.A. engages in non-recourse factoring and credit management activities towards public administration bodies and private hospitals in Italy, Croatia, the Czech Republic, France, Greece, Poland, Portugal, Slovakia, and Spain. It offers factoring and lending securities services, payment services, and online deposit account services. The company also undertakes custodian banking for investment funds and related services, such as global custody, fund accounting, transfer agent services for national managers, pension, mutual, and alternative funds. In addition, it offers corporate payments, and cheques and bills, as well as operates customers medium-small Italian banks and medium-large companies. The company was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Milan, Italy.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

BFF Bank S.p.A reported revenue of €377M in FY2025 versus €302M in FY2021, a compound +5.7%/yr. Reported net income was €70.2M in FY2025, compounding −22.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 51/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€377M
Latest YoY
−4.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−3.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+11.2%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y)
+6.6%
Revenue +5.7%/yr
FY21 €302M
FY22 €415M
FY23 €818M
FY24 €394M
FY25 €377M
Net income −22.8%/yr
FY21 €197M
FY22 €232M
FY23 €172M
FY24 €219M
FY25 €70.2M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BFF Bank S.p.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BFF

Peer Group

Credit Services · 333 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside +47% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 29% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 78% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 4% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.67× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.69× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.18× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 21.8× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 97 · sector 35
FUTURE 22 · sector 39
PAST 36 · sector 32
HEALTH 66 · sector 59
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 51

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $348.97 $204.19 -41%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $537.70 $221.87 -59%
American Express Company AXP $358.44 $206.40 -42%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,056 ₹397.61 -62%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,024 ₹553.83 -46%
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN ₹1,808 ₹796.52 -56%
Tata Capital Limited TATACAP ₹360.60 ₹229.85 -36%
Power Finance Corporation PFC ₹405.10 ₹810.20 +100%
Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN ₹3,129 ₹3,463 +11%
Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC ₹88.41 ₹69.72 -21%

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Frequently asked questions

Is BFF Bank S.p.A (BFF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €4.83 versus a price of €3.28, about +47% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BFF?
Our model-based fair value for BFF Bank S.p.A is €4.83 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €3.28.
What is the quality score of BFF?
BFF Bank S.p.A has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of BFF Bank S.p.A (BFF)?
BFF Bank S.p.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €292M (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BFF?
The net profit margin of BFF Bank S.p.A is about 28.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 28.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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