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Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp (BHRB) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $1.3B

BH Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp logo Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp BHRB · US
Price$73.42
Fair Value$75.69
Upside+3.1%
Quality48/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 34.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.31% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Wide moat 67/100
Evidence: High Range $56.77 – $94.61 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price +6.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$75.97 $33.50 Fair Value $75.69 Oct 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $33.50 – $75.97 · fair‑value band $56.77 – $94.61 · the $73.42 price screens below the $75.69 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

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Analysis

Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp (BHRB) currently trades at $73.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $75.69, implying the stock looks roughly 3.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp generated revenue of $341M at a net margin of 34.5%. Revenue grew 2.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.5%. Net debt stands at $484M. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $56.77 (bear case) to $94.61 (bull case); at $73.42, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 3%, BHRB screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $38.60 $45.55 $88.35 76
Gordon GGM $13.08 $23.57 $32.44 70
P/E Multiple $56.77 $75.69 $94.61 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $13.08 $23.57 $32.44 70
DDM Multi-Stage $13.08 $21.53 $25.17 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $56.77 $75.69 $94.61 63
P/B Multiple $44.54 $59.38 $74.23 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $21.21 $28.42 $42.41 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $38.60 $45.55 $88.35 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($59.38) versus Dividend Discount ($21.53). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $341M
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.9%
Net margin 34.5%
Return on equity 14.5%
Free cash flow $96.2M FY2025
P/E ratio 8.4
More key figures
Operating margin 45.2%
EPS (TTM) $7.71
Dividend yield 3.3%
EPS growth (YoY) -0.6%
Net debt $484M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 82
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 69
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 2
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 89
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 62
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 84
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 38
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. operates as the bank holding company for Burke & Herbert Bank & Trust Company that provides various community banking products and services in the United States.

Full company description

Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. operates as the bank holding company for Burke & Herbert Bank & Trust Company that provides various community banking products and services in the United States. The company offers consumer and commercial deposit products, such as digital banking, demand, negotiable order of withdrawal, money market, and savings accounts; and certificates of deposit. It also provides loans comprising commercial real estate, single family residential, owner-occupied commercial real estate, commercial and industrial, residential mortgage, and consumer non-real estate and other loans, as well as acquisition, construction, and development loans. In addition, it offers cash management services; online and mobile banking; and wealth and trust services. Further, the company provides business solutions, including small business and commercial checking and savings options; investment services; and treasury management solutions consist of a suite of digital banking, payables, receivables, and risk management, as well as automated cash flow comprising enhanced reporting, automated clearing house, wires, remote deposit capture, bill pay, lockbox, credit and debit cards, merchant services, fraud protection, and deposit and loan sweeps. Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. was founded in 1852 and is headquartered in Alexandria, Virginia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp reported revenue of $491M in FY2025 versus $119M in FY2021, a compound +42.5%/yr. Reported net income was $117M in FY2025, compounding +34.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 92/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$491M
Latest YoY
+23.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+56.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+32.3%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
+9.0%
Revenue +42.5%/yr
FY21 $119M
FY22 $127M
FY23 $162M
FY24 $397M
FY25 $491M
Net income +34.2%/yr
FY21 $36.2M
FY22 $44.0M
FY23 $22.7M
FY24 $35.7M
FY25 $117M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BHRB

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +3% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 34% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 45% · Above median
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.3% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.10× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.53× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.85× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 13.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.0× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 37 · sector 39
FUTURE 15 · sector 44
PAST 58 · sector 41
HEALTH 95 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 66 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp (BHRB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $75.69 versus a price of $73.42, about +3% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of BHRB?
Our model-based fair value for Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp is $75.69 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $73.42.
What is the quality score of BHRB?
Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp (BHRB)?
Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $341M (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BHRB?
The net profit margin of Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp is about 34.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 34.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp pay a dividend?
Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.31% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 25, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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