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Data-driven stock valuation

Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. (BHRB) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. stock $49.01, price $69.88, that is 29.9% below the price, quality 45 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Financial Services US

BH Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. logo Broad data Nov 9, 2026

Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp.

BHRB · US
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 30% below what the stock costs today.

Highly profitable · 26.3% net margin (TTM)
3.1% dividend yield · Low payout
Broad data
Revenue last quarter +41% vs. a year ago.
Quality 45/100
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +32.3 %/yr in USD)
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Moderate moat 64/100 · thin data
Insiders bought $926,421 (6M) · sold $556,672
Fair value $49.01 · Overvalued
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$75.40 $37.18 Fair Value $49.01 Feb 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $37.18 – $75.40 · fair‑value band $39.96 – $71.07 · the $69.88 price screens above the $49.01 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 9, 2026.

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Company profile

Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. operates as the bank holding company for Burke & Herbert Bank & Trust Company that provides various community banking products and services in the United States.

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The company offers consumer and commercial deposit products, such as digital banking, demand, negotiable order of withdrawal, money market, and savings accounts; and certificates of deposit.

It also provides loans comprising commercial real estate, single family residential, owner-occupied commercial real estate, commercial and industrial, residential mortgage, and consumer non-real estate and other loans, as well as acquisition, construction, and development loans.

In addition, it offers cash management services; online and mobile banking; and wealth and trust services.

Further, the company provides business solutions, including small business and commercial checking and savings options; investment services; and treasury management solutions consist of a suite of digital banking, payables, receivables, and risk management, as well as automated cash flow comprising enhanced reporting, automated clearing house, wires, remote deposit capture, bill pay, lockbox, credit and debit cards, merchant services, fraud protection, and deposit and loan sweeps.

Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. was founded in 1852 and is headquartered in Alexandria, Virginia.

Stock analysis

Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. (BHRB) currently trades at $69.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $49.01, 30% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $64.78 per share, and 1 of the 6 models we run sit above the $69.88 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $25.85, and 5 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $39.96 (bear) to $71.07 (bull), the price of $69.88 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. Common Stock reported revenue of $491M in FY2025 versus $119M in FY2021, a compound +42.5%/yr. Reported net income was $117M in FY2025, compounding +34.2%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $1.4B Small · P/E ratio 11.6 · P/S ratio 3.58 · EPS (TTM) $6.01 · Dividend yield 3.1% · Net margin 26.3% · Return on equity 10.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.1% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 64 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at −30%, BHRB screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $39.96 Fair Value $49.01 Bull $71.07
Price $69.88 · Downside -29.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($3.27 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income $39.96 $49.01 $71.07 75
Gordon GGM $14.35 $27.89 $41.17 67
DDM Multi-Stage $14.35 $24.44 $29.53 67
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $14.35 $27.89 $41.17 67
DDM Multi-Stage $14.35 $24.44 $29.53 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $56.66 $75.55 $94.44 63
P/B Multiple $40.51 $54.01 $67.51 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $19.29 $25.85 $38.58 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $39.96 $49.01 $71.07 75

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 37
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 82
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 69
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 2
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 33
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 92
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 50
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 64
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 37
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, 5 officers or directors bought shares worth $926,421, most recently on Oct 29, 2026. Over the same period, 5 people sold shares worth $556,672. Buying cluster

  • BuyShawn Patrick McLaughlinDirector4× since Apr 28, 2026: 3,500 shares, avg. $67.74$237,100Oct 29, 2026
  • BuyDavid WilsonDirector4× since Jul 31, 2026: 273 shares, avg. $71.86$19,617Oct 27, 2026
  • SaleJames P Geary IIDirector2× since Aug 3, 2026: 3,150 shares, avg. $72.83$229,407Aug 14, 2026
  • BuyDiane PoillonDirector1,200 shares at $73.67$88,404Aug 12, 2026
  • SaleJames Mason BurkeDirector1,500 shares at $73.03$109,545Aug 11, 2026
  • SaleKatherine Diane BonnafeDirector1,000 shares at $73.65$73,650Aug 3, 2026
  • SaleGeorgette R. GeorgeDirector1,000 shares at $73.67$73,670Aug 3, 2026
  • BuyJulian Forrest Barnwell Jr.Director2× since May 11, 2026: 10,000 shares, avg. $62.91$629,050Jun 3, 2026
  • SaleJill S UpsonDirector1,112 shares at $63.31$70,401May 20, 2026
  • BuyJose David RiojasDirector1,300 shares at $62.00$80,600May 12, 2026

Plus 36 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 87/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+23.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+56.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+32.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +16.3% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.0%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+12.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+9.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.18.7% vs 6.9%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.23% → 30%
2025 sits 156% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

BHRB screens overvalued: fair value 30% below the price. Compare with China Merchants Bank Co →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Regional · 996 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 45 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −29.9% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 10.5% · Below median
Return on assets 1.5% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months) 26.3% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 43.8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 40.6% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 3.1% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.10× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 11.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.65× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 3.58× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 14.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.6× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 8
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 47
PAST (return on equity)42 · sector 43
HEALTH (low debt)–
DIVIDEND (yield)63 · sector 53

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

HEALTH: for banks, insurers and similar financial firms borrowed money is part of the business, so we do not rate debt here.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Postal Savings Bank of China Co 601658 ¥5.53 ¥7.59 +37% vs BHRB
China Merchants Bank Co 600036 ¥42.88 ¥52.73 +23% vs BHRB
BNP Paribas SA BNP €91.93 €106.01 +15% vs BHRB
Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP €6.18 €4.49 −27% vs BHRB
State Bank of India SBIN ₹1,019 ₹736.65 −28% vs BHRB
UniCredit S.p.A UCG €76.80 €50.44 −34% vs BHRB
Mizuho Financial Group MFG $9.40 $5.89 −37% vs BHRB
DBS Group D05 69.72 SGD 40.39 SGD −42% vs BHRB
HDFC Bank Limited HDFCBANK ₹788.25 ₹406.39 −48% vs BHRB
ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK ₹1,571 ₹615.63 −61% vs BHRB

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Frequently asked questions

Is Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. (BHRB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $49.01 versus a price of $69.88, about 30% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BHRB?
Our model-based fair value for Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. is $49.01 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $69.88.
What is the quality score of BHRB?
Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. (BHRB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $49.01 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario $39.96, optimistic scenario $71.07. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. Common Stock stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $49.01, about 30% lower versus a price of $69.88 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $39.96, optimistic scenario $71.07. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. (BHRB)?
Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $394M (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
Does Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. Common Stock pay a dividend?
Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. currently shows a dividend yield of 3.15% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 9, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. (BHRB) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. pays a dividend of $2.20 per share a year, a dividend yield of 3.1%. The next ex-dividend date is Nov 13, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2007. The payout ratio is 36.6% of earnings. Our assessment: Low payout. A low payout ratio: the dividend takes at most 60 % of earnings. Whether free cash flow covers it as well, we cannot see for this company.
What is the intrinsic value of Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. (BHRB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. it is $49.01 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of $69.88. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models in 4 families (Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. Common Stock stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, BHRB trades above its calculated fair value: price $69.88, fair value $49.01, a gap of about −30% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BHRB?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($69.88); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($49.01). For Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. the two are $20.87 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. Common Stock worth?
The market values Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. at about $1.4B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is $69.88; our models calculate a fair value of $49.01 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BHRB?
Our models span a range for Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp.: cautious scenario $39.96, base $49.01, optimistic $71.07 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price $69.88). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BHRB?
Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.6 (as of Nov 9, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $49.01 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.7, P/S 3.6, EV/EBITDA 8.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. (BHRB)?
Balance-sheet figures for Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity 10.5%, debt of 0.10 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BHRB from its 52-week high?
Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. trades at $69.88, about 6% below its 52-week high of $74.08 and 20% above the low of $58.09 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $49.01 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. Common Stock?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value China Merchants Bank Co, DBS Group, UniCredit S.p.A, Mizuho Financial Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. Common Stock stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price $69.88, calculated fair value $49.01 (−30%), Quality Score 45/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BHRB calculated?
We run Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. through 6 models from 4 families: Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $49.01 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. (BHRB)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $69.88. Our model-based fair value is $49.01, about 30% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. Common Stock right now?
Weak quality (45/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. (BHRB) come from?
Earnings per share at Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. grew +1.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +8.0 %, EBIT margin −5.9 %, tax rate +0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp.

How large is the market capitalisation of Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. (BHRB)?
The market capitalisation of Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. is $1.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. (BHRB)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. is 3.58 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. (BHRB)?
Earnings per share at Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. are $6.01 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. (BHRB)?
The dividend yield of Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. is 3.1% (payout 36.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. (BHRB)?
The net margin of Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. is 26.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. (BHRB)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. is 10.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. (BHRB)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. is 1.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. (BHRB)?
The operating margin of Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. is 43.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. (BHRB)?
Revenue at Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. is growing +40.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +56.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. (BHRB)?
Earnings per share at Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. are growing −9.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. (BHRB) generate?
The free cash flow of Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. is $96.2M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. (BHRB) carry?
The net debt of Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. is $484M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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