Biotron Ltd (BIT) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · AU · Market cap A$5.4M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Below-average quality, and screening another 15% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0017). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0020 – A$0.1200 · the A$0.0020 price screens above the A$0.0017 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Biotron Ltd (BIT) currently trades at A$0.0020, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0017, implying the stock looks roughly 15.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Revenue grew 10.3% year over year. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at -15%, BIT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Biotron Limited, a biotechnology company, engages in developing and commercializing small molecule products to treat various viral diseases in Australia. The company's lead antiviral drug is BIT225 for the treatment of SARS-CoV-2, HIV-1, hepatitis C virus, hepatitis B virus (HBV), influenza, and dengue virus infections.
Full company description
Biotron Limited, a biotechnology company, engages in developing and commercializing small molecule products to treat various viral diseases in Australia. The company's lead antiviral drug is BIT225 for the treatment of SARS-CoV-2, HIV-1, hepatitis C virus, hepatitis B virus (HBV), influenza, and dengue virus infections. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Sydney, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Biotron Ltd reported revenue of A$1.8M in FY2025 versus A$1.5M in FY2021, a compound +5.5%/yr. Reported net income was −A$319K in FY2025.
BIT screens 15% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →
Peer Group
Biotechnology · 599 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX | $525.73 | $278.78 | -47% |
| Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN | $797.99 | $594.40 | -26% |
| Samsung Biologics Co 207940 | 1,549,000 KRW | 1,055,793 KRW | -32% |
| Celltrion, Inc 068270 | 202,000 KRW | 74,519 KRW | -63% |
| WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 | HK$45.70 | HK$30.58 | -33% |
| Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 | HK$95.55 | HK$19.68 | -79% |
| Genmab A/S GMAB | kr 2,037 | kr 250.07 | -88% |
| Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 | HK$4.87 | HK$3.37 | -31% |
| RemeGen Co 688331 | ¥131.87 | ¥23.19 | -82% |
| ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 | 314,000 KRW | 39,476 KRW | -87% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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