BankGuam Holding Company (BKGM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Jun 5, 2026: fair value of BankGuam Holding Company $9,743, price $10,000, upside -2.6%, quality 54 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $892.26 – $10,622 · fair‑value band $9,170 – $10,782 · the $10,000 price screens above the $9,743 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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BankGuam Holding Company operates as the bank holding company for the Bank of Guam that provides various banking products and services to individuals, businesses, and government entities in Guam.
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BankGuam Holding Company operates as the bank holding company for the Bank of Guam that provides various banking products and services to individuals, businesses, and government entities in Guam. The company accepts various deposit products, including demand deposits, savings and time certificates of deposit, checking accounts, interest-bearing deposits, and time deposits. Its lending products include commercial loans, letters of credit, personal loans, auto loans, and home loans. In addition, the company offers insurance and trust services, as well as merchant services. Further, it provides cannabis banking. It serves customers through a network of branches in Guam, Northern Mariana Islands, Federated States of Micronesia, the Republic of Palau, the Republic of the Marshall Islands, and San Francisco. BankGuam Holding Company was incorporated in 1972 and is headquartered in Hagatna, Guam.
Stock analysis
BankGuam Holding Company (BKGM) currently trades at $10,000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9,743, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 2.6%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $16,694 per share, and 3 of the 6 models we run sit above the $10,000 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $3,429, and 3 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $9,170 (bear) to $10,782 (bull), the price of $10,000 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
BankGuam Holding Company reported revenue of $176M in FY2025 versus $106M in FY2021, a compound +13.5%/yr. Reported net income was $23.6M in FY2025, compounding +3.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $182M · P/E ratio 7.7 · P/S ratio 1.03 · EPS (TTM) $1,299 · Dividend yield 2.3% · Net margin 13.4% · Return on equity 12.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −3%, BKGM screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $9,170Fair Value $9,743Bull $10,782
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($812.12 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.1% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+11.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+9.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.9.2% vs 7.6%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 17%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−8.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −11.0% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Regional · 1052 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Below median
Fair Value upside−2.6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)12.4% · Above median
Return on assets0.9% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)15.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)22.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth9.1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.11× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BankGuam Holding Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BKGM
Frequently asked questions
Is BankGuam Holding Company (BKGM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $9,743 versus the last price from Jun 5, 2026 of $10,000, about −3% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of BKGM?
Our model-based fair value for BankGuam Holding Company is $9,743 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jun 5, 2026): $10,000.
What is the quality score of BKGM?
BankGuam Holding Company has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for BankGuam Holding Company (BKGM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $9,743 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario $9,170, optimistic scenario $10,782. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the BankGuam Holding Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $9,743, about −3% upside versus the last price from Jun 5, 2026 of $10,000 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $9,170, optimistic scenario $10,782. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of BankGuam Holding Company (BKGM)?
BankGuam Holding Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $150M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does BankGuam Holding Company pay a dividend?
BankGuam Holding Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.25% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into BankGuam Holding Company (BKGM)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, BankGuam Holding Company would have to grow free cash flow by -8.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +11.8 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BKGM use?
Our models discount BankGuam Holding Company at 14.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.43, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For BankGuam Holding Company that is -8.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (14.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has BankGuam Holding Company (BKGM) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at BankGuam Holding Company grew +11.8 % a year. The price currently implies -8.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of BankGuam Holding Company (BKGM) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into BankGuam Holding Company (-8.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of BankGuam Holding Company (BKGM)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 18.80 %: that much free cash flow BankGuam Holding Company produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of BankGuam Holding Company (BKGM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For BankGuam Holding Company it is $9,743 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $10,000. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is BankGuam Holding Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, BKGM trades above its calculated fair value: price $10,000, fair value $9,743, a gap of about −3% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BKGM?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($10,000); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($9,743). For BankGuam Holding Company the two are $257.09 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is BankGuam Holding Company worth?
The market values BankGuam Holding Company at about $182M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $10,000; our models calculate a fair value of $9,743 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BKGM?
Our models span a range for BankGuam Holding Company: cautious scenario $9,170, base $9,743, optimistic $10,782 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $10,000). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BKGM?
BankGuam Holding Company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $9,743 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 1.2, EV/EBITDA 4.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of BankGuam Holding Company (BKGM)?
Balance-sheet figures for BankGuam Holding Company (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 12.4%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BKGM from its 52-week high?
BankGuam Holding Company trades at $10,000, at its 52-week high of $10,000 and 37% above the low of $7,321 (as of Jun 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $9,743 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to BankGuam Holding Company?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value DBS Group, China Merchants Bank Co, UniCredit S.p.A, Mizuho Financial Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is BankGuam Holding Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $10,000, calculated fair value $9,743 (−3%), Quality Score 54/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BKGM calculated?
We run BankGuam Holding Company through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $9,743, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. BankGuam Holding Company itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of BankGuam Holding Company (BKGM)?
The latest price we hold is from Jun 5, 2026 and stands at $10,000. Our model-based fair value is $9,743, about −3% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with BankGuam Holding Company right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of BankGuam Holding Company (BKGM) come from?
Earnings per share at BankGuam Holding Company grew +9.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +8.0 %, EBIT margin +0.0 %, tax rate +1.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of BankGuam Holding Company
How large is the market capitalisation of BankGuam Holding Company (BKGM)?
The market capitalisation of BankGuam Holding Company is $182M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of BankGuam Holding Company (BKGM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of BankGuam Holding Company is 1.03 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of BankGuam Holding Company (BKGM)?
Earnings per share at BankGuam Holding Company are $1,299 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of BankGuam Holding Company (BKGM)?
The dividend yield of BankGuam Holding Company is 2.3% (payout 17.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of BankGuam Holding Company (BKGM)?
The net margin of BankGuam Holding Company is 13.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of BankGuam Holding Company (BKGM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of BankGuam Holding Company is 12.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of BankGuam Holding Company (BKGM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of BankGuam Holding Company is 1.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of BankGuam Holding Company (BKGM)?
The operating margin of BankGuam Holding Company is 22.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at BankGuam Holding Company (BKGM)?
Revenue at BankGuam Holding Company is growing +9.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at BankGuam Holding Company (BKGM)?
Earnings per share at BankGuam Holding Company are growing −2.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does BankGuam Holding Company (BKGM) carry?
The net debt of BankGuam Holding Company is $9.9M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026