HDFC Bank Limited (HDFCBANK) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of HDFC Bank Limited ₹406, price ₹729, upside -44.2%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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HDFC Bank Limited
HDFCBANK · NSEWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
What runs behind every stock
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹605.65 – ₹996.51 · fair‑value band ₹335.92 – ₹559.86 · the ₹728.90 price screens above the ₹406.44 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 25, 2026.
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Company profile
HDFC Bank Limited provides banking and financial products and services to individuals and businesses in India, Bahrain, Hong Kong, Singapore, and Dubai. The company operates through Treasury, Retail Banking, Wholesale Banking, Other Banking Business, Insurance Business, and Other segments.
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HDFC Bank Limited provides banking and financial products and services to individuals and businesses in India, Bahrain, Hong Kong, Singapore, and Dubai. The company operates through Treasury, Retail Banking, Wholesale Banking, Other Banking Business, Insurance Business, and Other segments. It offers savings, salary, current, rural, public provident fund, pension, and demat accounts; fixed and recurring deposits; and safe deposit lockers, as well as offshore accounts and deposits, and overdrafts against fixed deposits. The company also provides personal, home, car, two-wheeler, business, doctor, educational, gold, consumer, and rural loans; loans against properties, securities, mutual funds, rental receivables, and assets; loans for professionals; government sponsored programs; and loans on credit card, as well as working capital and commercial/construction equipment finance, healthcare/medical equipment, commercial vehicle finance, dealer finance, and term loans. In addition, it offers credit, debit, prepaid, forex, and kisan gold cards; payment and collection, export, import, remittance, bank guarantee, letter of credit, trade, hedging, and merchant and cash management services; and insurance and investment products. Further, the company provides short term finance, bill discounting, structured finance, export credit, loan repayment, custodial, and documents collection services; online, mobile, and phone banking services; unified payment interface, immediate payment, national electronic funds transfer, and real time gross settlement services; channel financing, vendor financing, reimbursement account, money market, derivatives, employee trusts, cash surplus corporates, tax payment, and bankers to rights/public issue services; and financial solutions for supply chain partners and agricultural customers. It operates branches and automated teller machines in various cities/towns. The company was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.
Stock analysis
HDFC Bank Limited (HDFCBANK) currently trades at ₹728.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹406.44, implying the stock looks roughly 79.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ₹532.21 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the ₹728.90 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ₹216.21, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ₹335.92 (bear) to ₹559.86 (bull), the price of ₹728.90 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
HDFC Bank Limited reported revenue of ₹5.0T in FY2026 versus ₹1.7T in FY2022, a compound +31.1%/yr. Reported net income was ₹760B in FY2026, compounding +18.8%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹11.2T (≈ $117B) · P/E ratio 15.9 · P/S ratio 2.44 · EPS (TTM) ₹45.78 · Dividend yield 1.8% · Net margin 15.3% · Return on equity 13.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 59 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −44%, HDFCBANK screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 6 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
HDFCBANK screens 79% overvalued. Compare with DBS Group →
Compare HDFC Bank Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Regional · 1076 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Financials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Indian Stocks
- Valuation of the India market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| DBS Group D05 | 77.48 SGD | 40.39 SGD | −48% |
| China Merchants Bank Co 3968 | HK$51.20 | HK$62.32 | +22% |
| UniCredit S.p.A UCG | €82.18 | €77.62 | −6% |
| Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP | €6.72 | €4.04 | −40% |
| Mizuho Financial Group MFG | $10.56 | $6.79 | −36% |
| BNP Paribas SA BNP | €98.43 | €105.99 | +8% |
| ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK | ₹1,340 | ₹616.16 | −54% |
| The PNC Financial Services Group PNC | $224.03 | $159.52 | −29% |
| Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation O39 | 32.14 SGD | 19.80 SGD | −38% |
| Al Rajhi Banking and Investment Corporation 1120 | 64.45 SAR | 36.95 SAR | −43% |
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Key figures of HDFC Bank Limited
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