Bluefire (BLFR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of Bluefire $0.01, price $0.01, upside +4.5%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0001 – $0.7300 · the $0.0056 price screens below the $0.0059 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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BlueFire Equipment Corporation designs and manufactures drill bits for use in the exploration and production of oil and gas in the United States. It sells and leases polycrystalline diamond cutter (PDC) drill bits to drilling contractors and oil and gas companies, as well as provides repair and after sale services.
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BlueFire Equipment Corporation designs and manufactures drill bits for use in the exploration and production of oil and gas in the United States. It sells and leases polycrystalline diamond cutter (PDC) drill bits to drilling contractors and oil and gas companies, as well as provides repair and after sale services. The company was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
Stock analysis
Bluefire (BLFR) currently trades at $0.0056, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0059, implying the stock looks roughly 4.3% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $0.0300 per share, and 5 of the 5 models we run sit above the $0.0056 price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at $0.0100, and 0 of the 5 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Bluefire reported revenue of $21.4K in FY2023 versus $199K in FY2016, a compound −27.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$2.8M in FY2023.
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 91% below its 52-week high and 273% above its 52-week low.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −53% fair-value upside, at 4%, BLFR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.0059Fair Value $0.0059Bull $0.0059
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.15/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−16.6%
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.3%
’10
’11
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’16
’17
’18
’22
’23
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−17.8% (2018) → −1,050.1% (2023)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2023 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−16.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −18.1% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Shell Companies · 82 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/7 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score48 · Above median
Fair Value upside+5% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−108% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−67% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Shell Companies median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bluefire Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BLFR
Frequently asked questions
Is Bluefire (BLFR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0059 versus the last price from Sep 18, 2026 of $0.0056, about +4% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of BLFR?
Our model-based fair value for Bluefire is $0.0059 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 18, 2026): $0.0056.
What is the quality score of BLFR?
Bluefire has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bluefire (BLFR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0059 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 5 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bluefire stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0059, about +4% upside versus the last price from Sep 18, 2026 of $0.0056 (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bluefire (BLFR)?
Bluefire reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $14.5K (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Bluefire (BLFR)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Bluefire would have to grow free cash flow by -16.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -16.6 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BLFR use?
Our models discount Bluefire at 12.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 11.02, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Bluefire that is -16.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Bluefire (BLFR) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Bluefire grew -16.6 % a year. The price currently implies -16.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Bluefire (BLFR) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Bluefire (-16.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Bluefire (BLFR)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 25.26 %: that much free cash flow Bluefire produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Bluefire (BLFR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bluefire it is $0.0059 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $0.0056. It is the blended result of 5 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bluefire stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, BLFR trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.0056, fair value $0.0059, a gap of about +4% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BLFR?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0056); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0059). For Bluefire the two are $0.0003 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bluefire worth?
The market values Bluefire at about $299K (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $0.0056; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0059 per share.
How far is BLFR from its 52-week high?
Bluefire trades at $0.0056, about 91% below its 52-week high of $0.0600 and 273% above the low of $0.0015 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0059 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bluefire?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Lionheart III Corp, AA Mission Acquisition Corp, Berto Acquisition Corp, Metals Acquisition Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bluefire stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $0.0056, calculated fair value $0.0059 (+4%), Quality Score 48/100, from 5 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BLFR calculated?
We run Bluefire through 5 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0059, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Bluefire currently trades 4 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bluefire (BLFR)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 18, 2026 and stands at $0.0056. Our model-based fair value is $0.0059, about +4% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bluefire right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.0059). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Key figures of Bluefire
How large is the market capitalisation of Bluefire (BLFR)?
The market capitalisation of Bluefire is $299K. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bluefire (BLFR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bluefire is 20.7 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bluefire (BLFR)?
Earnings per share at Bluefire are $−0.0600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bluefire (BLFR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bluefire is −29.6% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bluefire (BLFR)?
The operating margin of Bluefire is −1,190% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bluefire (BLFR)?
Revenue at Bluefire is growing −67.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −47.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Bluefire (BLFR) carry?
The net debt of Bluefire is $389K (fiscal year 2022, ≈ 8.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 23, 2026