The Coca-Cola Company (COLA) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · CA · Market cap C$487B
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Share price −1.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 61% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$13.82). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (C$5.79 to C$13.82) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
47‑month range C$18.04 – C$29.31 · fair‑value band C$5.79 – C$13.82 · the C$27.96 price screens above the C$10.91 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
The Coca-Cola Company (COLA) currently trades at C$27.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$10.91, implying the stock looks roughly 61.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, The Coca-Cola Company generated revenue of C$49.3B at a net margin of 27.8%. Revenue grew 12.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 43.4%. Net debt stands at C$35.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$5.79 (bear case) to C$13.82 (bull case); at C$27.96, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -61% fair-value upside, at -61%, COLA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (C$14.02) versus Asset-Based (C$1.33). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
The Coca-Cola Company, a beverage company, manufactures and sells various nonalcoholic beverages in the United States and internationally. The company provides Trademark Coca-Cola, sparkling soft drinks and flavors; water, sports, coffee, and tea; juice, value-added dairy, and plant-based beverages; and emerging beverages.
Full company description
The Coca-Cola Company, a beverage company, manufactures and sells various nonalcoholic beverages in the United States and internationally. The company provides Trademark Coca-Cola, sparkling soft drinks and flavors; water, sports, coffee, and tea; juice, value-added dairy, and plant-based beverages; and emerging beverages. It also offers beverage concentrates and syrups, as well as fountain syrups to fountain retailers comprising restaurants and convenience stores. The company sells its products under the Coca-Cola, Diet Coke/Coca-Cola Light, Coca-Cola Zero Sugar, caffeine free Diet Coke, Cherry Coke, Fanta, Sprite, Simply, Fanta Orange, Fanta Zero Orange, Fanta Zero Sugar, Fanta Apple, Sprite Zero Sugar, Simply Orange, Simply Apple, Simply Grapefruit, Fresca, Schweppes, Thums Up, Aquarius, Ayataka, BODYARMOR, Ciel, Costa, Crystal, Dasani, Fuze Tea, Georgia, glacéau smartwater, glacéau vitaminwater, Gold Peak, I LOHAS, Powerade, Topo Chico, Core Power, Del Valle, fairlife, innocent, Maaza, Minute Maid, Minute Maid Pulpy, Santa Clara, and dogadan brands. It operates through a network of independent bottling partners, distributors, wholesalers, and retailers, as well as through bottling and distribution operators. The Coca-Cola Company was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
The Coca-Cola Company reported revenue of C$47.9B in FY2025 versus C$38.7B in FY2021, a compound +5.5%/yr. Reported net income was C$13.1B in FY2025, compounding +7.6%/yr from FY2021.
COLA screens 61% overvalued. Compare with Lionheart III Corp →
Peer Group
Shell Companies · 71 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Shell Companies median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Shell Companies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lionheart III Corp LION | $13.47 | $18.15 | +35% |
| Agriculture & Natural Solutions Acquisition Corporation ANSC | $11.45 | $4.13 | -64% |
| AA Mission Acquisition Corp AAM | $0.0320 | $0.0314 | -2% |
| GP-Act III Acquisition Corp GPAT | $10.91 | $4.30 | -61% |
| Berto Acquisition Corp TACO | $10.48 | $2.73 | -74% |
| Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp AXIN | $10.29 | $1.46 | -86% |
| Bold Eagle Acquisition Corp BEAG | $10.67 | $4.00 | -63% |
| Lionheart Holdings CUB | $10.80 | $5.06 | -53% |
| Graf Global Corp GRAF | $10.82 | $3.63 | -66% |
| Translational Development Acquisition Corp TDAC | $10.74 | $4.28 | -60% |
Compare The Coca-Cola Company with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Financial Services stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is The Coca-Cola Company (COLA) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of COLA?
What is the quality score of COLA?
What is the revenue of The Coca-Cola Company (COLA)?
What is the net profit margin of COLA?
Does The Coca-Cola Company pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track The Coca-Cola Company and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.