Bumble Inc (BMBL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Bumble Inc $3.34, price $2.68, upside +24.6%, quality 65 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.60 – $59.94 · fair‑value band $2.12 – $4.33 · the $2.68 price screens below the $3.34 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Bumble Inc. provides online dating and social networking applications in North America, Europe, internationally. It owns and operates websites and applications that offers subscription and in-app purchases of products.
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Bumble Inc. provides online dating and social networking applications in North America, Europe, internationally. It owns and operates websites and applications that offers subscription and in-app purchases of products. The company operates apps, including Bumble, a dating app built with women at the center; Badoo, the web and mobile free-to-use dating app; Bumble BFF, a friendship and community app that combines one-to-one matching with group discovery and participation. The company was incorporated in 2020 in and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
Stock analysis
Bumble Inc (BMBL) currently trades at $2.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.34, implying the stock looks roughly 19.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $28.42 per share, and 13 of the 13 models we run sit above the $2.68 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $2.88, and 0 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $2.12 (bear) to $4.33 (bull), the price of $2.68 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Bumble Inc reported revenue of $966M in FY2025 versus $761M in FY2021, a compound +6.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$693M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $449M · P/E ex one-offs 0.8 · P/S ratio 0.48 · EPS (TTM) $−5.74 · Net margin −71.8% · Return on equity −82.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.8% · Operating margin 31.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 25%, BMBL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $2.12Fair Value $3.34Bull $4.33
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.53/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.1%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−2.0% (2020) → 26.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (95 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Internet Content & Information · 150 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score65 · Above median
Fair Value upside+25% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)−71% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)31% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−14% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.04× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Internet Content & Information median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.80× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bumble Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BMBL
Frequently asked questions
Is Bumble Inc (BMBL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.34 versus a price of $2.68, about +25% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BMBL?
Our model-based fair value for Bumble Inc is $3.34 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.68.
What is the quality score of BMBL?
Bumble Inc has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bumble Inc (BMBL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.34 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.12, optimistic scenario $4.33. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bumble Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.34, about +25% upside versus a price of $2.68 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $2.12, optimistic scenario $4.33. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bumble Inc (BMBL)?
Bumble Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $931M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Bumble Inc (BMBL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bumble Inc it is $3.34 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $2.68. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bumble Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, BMBL trades below its calculated fair value: price $2.68, fair value $3.34, a gap of about +25% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BMBL?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.68); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.34). For Bumble Inc the two are $0.6580 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bumble Inc worth?
The market values Bumble Inc at about $449M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $2.68; our models calculate a fair value of $3.34 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BMBL?
Our models span a range for Bumble Inc: cautious scenario $2.12, base $3.34, optimistic $4.33 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $2.68). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bumble Inc (BMBL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bumble Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −82.6%, debt of 1.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 65/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BMBL from its 52-week high?
Bumble Inc trades at $2.68, about 61% below its 52-week high of $6.85 and 3% above the low of $2.60 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.34 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bumble Inc?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Alphabet Inc, Meta Platforms, Inc, Tencent Holdings, Spotify Technology S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bumble Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $2.68, calculated fair value $3.34 (+25%), Quality Score 65/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BMBL calculated?
We run Bumble Inc through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $3.34, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Bumble Inc currently trades 25 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bumble Inc (BMBL)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $2.68. Our model-based fair value is $3.34, about +25% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bumble Inc right now?
Solid quality (65/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($2.12 to $4.33) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Bumble Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Bumble Inc (BMBL)?
The market capitalisation of Bumble Inc is $449M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Bumble Inc (BMBL) excluding one-off items?
Excluding one-off items, the price-to-earnings ratio of Bumble Inc is 0.8 (fiscal year 2025, the reported result was a loss).
What is the P/S ratio of Bumble Inc (BMBL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bumble Inc is 0.48 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bumble Inc (BMBL)?
Earnings per share at Bumble Inc are $−5.74. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Bumble Inc (BMBL)?
The net margin of Bumble Inc is −71.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bumble Inc (BMBL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bumble Inc is −82.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bumble Inc (BMBL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bumble Inc is 5.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bumble Inc (BMBL)?
The operating margin of Bumble Inc is 31.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bumble Inc (BMBL)?
Revenue at Bumble Inc is growing −14.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Bumble Inc (BMBL)?
Earnings per share at Bumble Inc are growing +170% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Bumble Inc (BMBL) generate?
The free cash flow of Bumble Inc is $239M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Bumble Inc (BMBL) carry?
The net debt of Bumble Inc is $413M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Sep 23, 2026