Bumble Inc (BMBL) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · US · Market cap $449M
Bumble Inc
BMBL · US
Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 18 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 24, 2026, revised from $3.22 to $3.23 (+0.3%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −5.7% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 14% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range ($1.86 to $4.29) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from $1.86 (bear) to $4.29 (bull), base $3.23. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 65/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.70 – $60.24 · fair‑value band $1.86 – $4.29 · the $2.83 price screens below the $3.23 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
Analysis
Bumble Inc (BMBL) currently trades at $2.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.23, implying the stock looks roughly 14.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Bumble Inc generated revenue of $931M at a net margin of -71.0%. Revenue declined 14.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -82.6%. Net debt stands at $413M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.86 (bear case) to $4.29 (bull case); at $2.83, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 67% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -20% fair-value upside, at 14%, BMBL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($26.21) versus Asset-Based ($2.88). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 5
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Bumble Inc. provides online dating and social networking applications in North America, Europe, internationally. It owns and operates websites and applications that offers subscription and in-app purchases of products.
Full company description
Bumble Inc. provides online dating and social networking applications in North America, Europe, internationally. It owns and operates websites and applications that offers subscription and in-app purchases of products. The company operates apps, including Bumble, a dating app built with women at the center; Badoo, the web and mobile free-to-use dating app; Bumble BFF, a friendship and community app that combines one-to-one matching with group discovery and participation. The company was incorporated in 2020 in and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Bumble Inc reported revenue of $966M in FY2025 versus $761M in FY2021, a compound +6.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$693M in FY2025.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Bumble Inc. (BMBL) Outperforms Broader Market: What You Need to Know
- Here's Why Bumble Inc. (BMBL) Fell More Than Broader Market
- Raymond James Maintains Market Perform Rating on Bumble (BMBL) Stock
- Bumble Inc. (BMBL) Stock Sinks As Market Gains: Here's Why
Peer Group
Internet Content & Information · 151 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Internet Content & Information median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Internet Content & Information stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alphabet Inc GOOGL | $354.46 | $145.14 | -59% |
| Meta Platforms, Inc META | $669.21 | $534.91 | -20% |
| Tencent Holdings 0700 | HK$460.20 | HK$467.50 | +2% |
| Spotify Technology S.A SPOT | $485.38 | $209.56 | -57% |
| Reddit, Inc RDDT | $195.34 | $39.59 | -80% |
| Baidu, Inc BIDU | $109.50 | $66.96 | -39% |
| Kuaishou Technology, an investment holding company, 1024 | HK$44.70 | HK$101.03 | +126% |
| NAVER Corporation 035420 | 191,300 KRW | 231,585 KRW | +21% |
| Tencent Music Entertainment Group 1698 | HK$34.74 | HK$65.78 | +89% |
| REA Group REA | A$149.14 | A$88.53 | -41% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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