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Biomea Fusion, Inc (BMEA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Biomea Fusion, Inc is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Healthcare · US · ISIN US09077A1060

BF Biomea Fusion, Inc logo Thin data Sep 15, 2026

Biomea Fusion, Inc

BMEA · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $0.3400 · Strongly overvalued (−81%)
!Quality 47/100
!negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (3/7)
!Narrow moat 5/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

$41.80 $0.9573 Fair Value $0.3400 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.9573 – $41.80 · fair‑value band $0.2295 – $0.4250 · the $1.80 price screens above the $0.3400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 15, 2026.

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Company profile

Biomea Fusion, Inc., a clinical-stage diabetes and obesity medicines company, focuses on the discovery and development of oral drugs to treat patients with diabetes and obesity.

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Biomea Fusion, Inc., a clinical-stage diabetes and obesity medicines company, focuses on the discovery and development of oral drugs to treat patients with diabetes and obesity. It's lead clinical program's drug candidates are COVALENT-111 and COVALENT-112, which has completed Phase II clinical trials of icovamenib for the treatment of Type 1 and Type 2 diabetes; COVALENT-211, which is in Phase II clinical trial of icovamenib for treating insulin-deficient type 2 diabetes; and COVALENT-212, which is in Phase II clinical trial of icovamenib for the treatment of type 2 diabetes. The company is also developing BMF-650, which is in Phase I glucagon-like peptide-131 clinical trial for the treatment of obesity. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in San Carlos, California.

Stock analysis

Biomea Fusion, Inc (BMEA) currently trades at $1.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.3400, implying the stock looks roughly 429.4% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.2295 (bear) to $0.4250 (bull), the price of $1.80 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector.

Biomea Fusion, Inc reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$61.8M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $130M · EPS (TTM) $−0.1800 · Return on equity −164% · Return on assets (EBIT) −93.8% · Free cash flow −$70.4M · Net cash $54.2M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 106% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −7% fair-value upside, at −81%, BMEA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.2295 Fair Value $0.3400 Bull $0.4250
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.2000 $0.2700 $0.4100 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.2000 $0.2700 $0.4100 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 71
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 64
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 35
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

BMEA screens 429% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

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Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $515.44 $566.98 +10%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $781.49 $1,241 +59%
argenx SE ARGX $984.39 $917.18 −7%
BeOne Medicines AG 688235 ¥247.30 ¥124.62 −50%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,415,000 KRW 1,556,500 KRW +10%
CSL Limited CSL A$167.10 A$183.81 +10%
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc ALNY $248.68 $211.88 −15%
Royalty Pharma plc RPRX $58.61 $24.22 −59%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 178,200 KRW 74,519 KRW −58%
BioNTech SE BNTX $96.73 $63.31 −35%

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Biomea Fusion, Inc · Fair Value
$0.3400 −429%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Biomea Fusion, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BMEA

Frequently asked questions

Is Biomea Fusion, Inc (BMEA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.3400 versus a price of $1.80, about −81% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BMEA?
Our model-based fair value for Biomea Fusion, Inc is $0.3400 (as of Sep 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.80.
What is the quality score of BMEA?
Biomea Fusion, Inc has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Biomea Fusion, Inc (BMEA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.3400 (as of Sep 15, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.2295, optimistic scenario $0.4250. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Biomea Fusion, Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.3400, about −81% upside versus a price of $1.80 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.2295, optimistic scenario $0.4250. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Biomea Fusion, Inc (BMEA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Biomea Fusion, Inc it is $0.3400 per share (as of Sep 15, 2026), against a price of $1.80. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Biomea Fusion, Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 15, 2026, BMEA trades above its calculated fair value: price $1.80, fair value $0.3400, a gap of about −81% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BMEA?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.3400). For Biomea Fusion, Inc the two are $1.46 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Biomea Fusion, Inc worth?
The market values Biomea Fusion, Inc at about $130M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 15, 2026). Per share that is $1.80; our models calculate a fair value of $0.3400 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BMEA?
Our models span a range for Biomea Fusion, Inc: cautious scenario $0.2295, base $0.3400, optimistic $0.4250 per share (as of Sep 15, 2026, price $1.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is BMEA from its 52-week high?
Biomea Fusion, Inc trades at $1.80, about 40% below its 52-week high of $2.99 and 106% above the low of $0.8719 (as of Sep 15, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.3400 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Biomea Fusion, Inc?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc, argenx SE, BeOne Medicines AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Biomea Fusion, Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 15, 2026: price $1.80, calculated fair value $0.3400 (−81%), Quality Score 47/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BMEA calculated?
We run Biomea Fusion, Inc through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.3400, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Biomea Fusion, Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Biomea Fusion, Inc (BMEA)?
The closing price on Sep 15, 2026 was $1.80. Our model-based fair value is $0.3400, about −81% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Biomea Fusion, Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.4250). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($0.2295 to $0.4250) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Biomea Fusion, Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Biomea Fusion, Inc (BMEA)?
The market capitalisation of Biomea Fusion, Inc is $130M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Biomea Fusion, Inc (BMEA)?
Earnings per share at Biomea Fusion, Inc are $−0.1800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Biomea Fusion, Inc (BMEA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Biomea Fusion, Inc is −164% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Biomea Fusion, Inc (BMEA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Biomea Fusion, Inc is −93.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Biomea Fusion, Inc (BMEA) generate?
The free cash flow of Biomea Fusion, Inc is −$70.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Biomea Fusion, Inc (BMEA) hold?
Biomea Fusion, Inc holds more cash than debt, $54.2M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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