Banco Mercantil do Brasil S.A (BMEB3) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · BR · Market cap R$6.7B
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from R$95.80 to R$77.07 (−19.6%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +1.4% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 52% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (R$57.80). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$6.77 – R$74.90 · fair‑value band R$57.80 – R$96.34 · the R$50.86 price screens below the R$77.07 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Banco Mercantil do Brasil S.A (BMEB3) currently trades at R$50.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$77.07, implying the stock looks roughly 51.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Banco Mercantil do Brasil S.A generated revenue of R$5.4B at a net margin of 14.5%. Revenue grew 51.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 32.4%. Net debt stands at R$6.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R$57.80 (bear case) to R$96.34 (bull case); at R$50.86, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 73% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 52%, BMEB3 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Economic Profit (R$69.73) versus Asset-Based (R$18.28). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Banco Mercantil do Brasil S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides financial services to individuals and corporate clients in Brazil. It operates through Financial, Insurance and Business Intermediation, Marketplace, and Other segments.
Full company description
Banco Mercantil do Brasil S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides financial services to individuals and corporate clients in Brazil. It operates through Financial, Insurance and Business Intermediation, Marketplace, and Other segments. The company offers Current Account, Loans, Cards, Investments, Card receivables, Overdraft, private pension, benefit transfer, special limit, and capital market products. It also provides internet, WhatsApp, Mercantile app, and self-service banking services. In addition, the company engages in real estate, securitization, and technology activities. The company was formerly known as Banco Industrial de Minas Gerais and changed its name to Banco Mercantil do Brasil S.A. in 1974. Banco Mercantil do Brasil S.A. was founded in 1940 and is headquartered in Belo Horizonte, Brazil.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Banco Mercantil do Brasil S.A reported revenue of R$8.7B in FY2025 versus R$2.5B in FY2021, a compound +36.3%/yr. Reported net income was R$619M in FY2025, compounding +35.4%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA | 6,175 IDR | 6,087 IDR | -1% |
| KB Financial Group 105560 | 184,400 KRW | 213,797 KRW | +16% |
| PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI | 2,970 IDR | 4,891 IDR | +65% |
| PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI | 4,310 IDR | 7,841 IDR | +82% |
| Banco Bradesco S.A BBD | 5,120 ARS | 10,240 ARS | +100% |
| Shinhan Financial Group 055550 | 107,900 KRW | 137,259 KRW | +27% |
| Hana Financial Group 086790 | 136,800 KRW | 193,969 KRW | +42% |
| Lloyds Banking Group LYG | 4,138 ARS | 8,275 ARS | +100% |
| Banco de Chile, CHILE | 193.10 CLP | 152.55 CLP | -21% |
| Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB | 59,400 VND | 84,201 VND | +42% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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