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Brenmiller Energy Ltd (BNRG) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Aug 24, 2026: fair value of Brenmiller Energy Ltd $5.36, price $4.18, upside +28.2%, quality 28 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Utilities · US · Home Israel · ISIN IL0011415309

BE Brenmiller Energy Ltd logo Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Brenmiller Energy Ltd

BNRG · US

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value $5.36 · Undervalued (+28.2%)
!Quality 28/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −36.6 %/yr)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/6)
!Narrow moat 3/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$17,850 $0.0003 Fair Value $5.36 May 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

51‑month range $0.0003 – $17,850 · fair‑value band $4.00 – $8.00 · the $4.18 price screens below the $5.36 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Brenmiller Energy Ltd. develops, produces, markets, and sells thermal energy storage (TES) systems based on its proprietary and patented technology that enables electrification and decarbonization.

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Brenmiller Energy Ltd. develops, produces, markets, and sells thermal energy storage (TES) systems based on its proprietary and patented technology that enables electrification and decarbonization. It provides bGen TES system that dispatches thermal energy on demand in the form of steam, which can be saturated for industrial use and in the form of superheated steam, which can be used to activate steam turbines. The company also offers power to heat solutions. Its products and solutions are used in Steam, Hot Air, and Thermal Oil applications. Brenmiller Energy Ltd was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Rosh HaAyin, Israel.

Stock analysis

Brenmiller Energy Ltd (BNRG) currently trades at $4.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.36, implying the stock looks roughly 22.0% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $4.00 (bear) to $8.00 (bull), the price of $4.18 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

Brenmiller Energy Ltd reported revenue of $387K in FY2025 versus $395K in FY2021, a compound −0.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$13.9M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $1.5M · P/S ratio 3.91 · EPS (TTM) $−14,900 · Return on equity −349% · Return on assets (EBIT) −91.9% · Operating margin −3,291% · Revenue (TTM) $387K · Revenue growth (YoY) −61.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at 28%, BNRG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $4.00 Fair Value $5.36 Bull $8.00
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $4.00 $5.36 $8.00 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.00 $5.36 $8.00 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 28/100

Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 85

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 66
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−36.6%
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−5,123.3% (2019) → −3,291.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 196 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/5 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +28.2% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −65.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −61.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.97× · Above median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)71 · sector 14
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 9
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 14
HEALTH (low debt)51 · sector 67
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 45

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Yangtze Power Co 600900 ¥28.36 ¥31.20 +10%
Ørsted A/S ORSTED kr 139.45 kr 31.40 −77%
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 ¥9.75 ¥4.45 −54%
Fortum Oyj FORTUM €23.42 €14.06 −40%
VERBUND AG VER €63.20 €56.60 −10%
Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN ₹1,297 ₹169.61 −87%
SDIC Power Holdings 600886 ¥14.86 ¥16.35 +10%
EDP Renewables, S.A EDPR €12.99 €3.53 −73%
China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co 600905 ¥3.61 ¥2.40 −34%
Public Power Corporation PPC €22.96 €7.44 −68%

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Brenmiller Energy Ltd · Fair Value
$5.36 +22%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Brenmiller Energy Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BNRG

Frequently asked questions

Is Brenmiller Energy Ltd (BNRG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.36 versus the last price from Aug 24, 2026 of $4.18, about +28% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BNRG?
Our model-based fair value for Brenmiller Energy Ltd is $5.36 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Aug 24, 2026): $4.18.
What is the quality score of BNRG?
Brenmiller Energy Ltd has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Brenmiller Energy Ltd (BNRG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $5.36 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $4.00, optimistic scenario $8.00. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Brenmiller Energy Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $5.36, about +28% upside versus the last price from Aug 24, 2026 of $4.18 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $4.00, optimistic scenario $8.00. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Brenmiller Energy Ltd (BNRG)?
Brenmiller Energy Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $387K (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Brenmiller Energy Ltd (BNRG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Brenmiller Energy Ltd it is $5.36 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $4.18. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Brenmiller Energy Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, BNRG trades below its calculated fair value: price $4.18, fair value $5.36, a gap of about +28% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BNRG?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($4.18); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($5.36). For Brenmiller Energy Ltd the two are $1.18 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Brenmiller Energy Ltd worth?
The market values Brenmiller Energy Ltd at about $1.5M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $4.18; our models calculate a fair value of $5.36 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BNRG?
Our models span a range for Brenmiller Energy Ltd: cautious scenario $4.00, base $5.36, optimistic $8.00 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $4.18). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Brenmiller Energy Ltd (BNRG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Brenmiller Energy Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −348.5%, debt of 0.97 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 28/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Brenmiller Energy Ltd?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, Fortum Oyj, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Brenmiller Energy Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $4.18, calculated fair value $5.36 (+28%), Quality Score 28/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BNRG calculated?
We run Brenmiller Energy Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $5.36, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Brenmiller Energy Ltd currently trades 22 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Brenmiller Energy Ltd (BNRG)?
The latest price we hold is from Aug 24, 2026 and stands at $4.18. Our model-based fair value is $5.36, about +28% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Brenmiller Energy Ltd right now?
A fairly wide model range ($4.00 to $8.00) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Brenmiller Energy Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Brenmiller Energy Ltd (BNRG)?
The market capitalisation of Brenmiller Energy Ltd is $1.5M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Brenmiller Energy Ltd (BNRG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Brenmiller Energy Ltd is 3.91 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Brenmiller Energy Ltd (BNRG)?
Earnings per share at Brenmiller Energy Ltd are $−14,900. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Brenmiller Energy Ltd (BNRG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Brenmiller Energy Ltd is −349% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Brenmiller Energy Ltd (BNRG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Brenmiller Energy Ltd is −91.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Brenmiller Energy Ltd (BNRG)?
The operating margin of Brenmiller Energy Ltd is −3,291% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Brenmiller Energy Ltd (BNRG)?
Revenue at Brenmiller Energy Ltd is growing −61.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −36.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Brenmiller Energy Ltd (BNRG) generate?
The free cash flow of Brenmiller Energy Ltd is −$10.6M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Brenmiller Energy Ltd (BNRG) carry?
The net debt of Brenmiller Energy Ltd is $898K (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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