Banco Patagonia S.A (BPAT) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · AR · Market cap 1.6T ARS
Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 15 days ago
Share price +19.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 57.68 ARS – 3,210 ARS · fair‑value band 1,528 ARS – 2,546 ARS · the 2,235 ARS price screens above the 2,037 ARS fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.
Analysis
Banco Patagonia S.A (BPAT) currently trades at 2,235 ARS, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2,037 ARS, implying the stock looks roughly 8.9% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Banco Patagonia S.A generated revenue of 1.2T ARS at a net margin of 6.3%. Revenue grew 21.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.7%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 20.7. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1,528 ARS (bear case) to 2,546 ARS (bull case); at 2,235 ARS, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 98% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at -9%, BPAT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (2,037 ARS) versus Asset-Based (1,594 ARS). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Banco Patagonia S.A. provides various banking products and services in Argentina. It offers savings, retired, salary, current, agro, and minor accounts; accounts for SMEs; and foreign trade services. The company also provides Patagonia leasing, capital marketing, and alternative financing services.
Full company description
Banco Patagonia S.A. provides various banking products and services in Argentina. It offers savings, retired, salary, current, agro, and minor accounts; accounts for SMEs; and foreign trade services. The company also provides Patagonia leasing, capital marketing, and alternative financing services. In addition, it offers loans; safe deposit boxes; credit and debit cards; and home, car, motorbike, mobility, ATM robbery, protected belongings, smartphone, pets, personal accidents, life, health, burial, and rental bond insurance products. Further, the company offers financial agency services; mobile banking services; business cards; investments for fixed-term, mutual funds, and financial trusts; and collection, payment, inter-banking, and AFIP services. It serves individuals, businesses, professionals, SMEs, agro-business clients, the public sector, and institutional clients. The company was incorporated in 1928 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Banco Patagonia S.A. is a subsidiary of Banco do Brasil S.A.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Banco Patagonia S.A reported revenue of 1.3T ARS in FY2025 versus 71.5B ARS in FY2021, a compound +107.1%/yr. Reported net income was 109B ARS in FY2025, compounding +98.6%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA | 6,175 IDR | 6,087 IDR | -1% |
| KB Financial Group 105560 | 184,400 KRW | 213,797 KRW | +16% |
| PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI | 2,970 IDR | 4,891 IDR | +65% |
| PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI | 4,310 IDR | 7,841 IDR | +82% |
| Banco Bradesco S.A BBD | 5,120 ARS | 10,240 ARS | +100% |
| Shinhan Financial Group 055550 | 107,900 KRW | 137,259 KRW | +27% |
| Hana Financial Group 086790 | 136,800 KRW | 193,969 KRW | +42% |
| Lloyds Banking Group LYG | 4,138 ARS | 8,275 ARS | +100% |
| Banco de Chile, CHILE | 193.10 CLP | 152.55 CLP | -21% |
| Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB | 59,400 VND | 84,201 VND | +42% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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