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Banco Comercial Português, S.A (BPCGY) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $17.5B

BC Banco Comercial Português, S.A logo Banco Comercial Português, S.A BPCGY · US
Price$12.28
Fair Value$10.20
Upside-16.9%
Quality67/100
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Evidence: High Range $7.65 – $12.75 📤 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 26, 2026, revised from $7.52 to $10.20 (+35.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +3.8% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$13.23 $0.8864 Fair Value $10.20 Sep 2015 Jul 2026

12‑month range $0.8864 – $13.23 · fair‑value band $7.65 – $12.75 · the $12.28 price screens above the $10.20 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Banco Comercial Português, S.A (BPCGY) currently trades at $12.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.20, implying the stock looks roughly 16.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Banco Comercial Português, S.A generated revenue of $3.7B at a net margin of 29.3%. Revenue grew 11.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.6%. Net debt stands at $2.1B. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $7.65 (bear case) to $12.75 (bull case); at $12.28, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 68% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 41% fair-value upside, at -17%, BPCGY screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $3.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.1%
Net margin 29.3%
Return on equity 13.6%
Free cash flow $3.4B FY2025
P/E ratio 14.4
More key figures
Operating margin 59.0%
EPS (TTM) $0.8200
Dividend yield 3.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +29.1%
Net debt $2.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Banco Comercial Português, S.A. engages in the provision of various banking and financial products and services in Portugal and internationally. The company operates through Retail Banking; Companies and Corporate; Private Banking; International Business, and Other segments. It offers a range of financial products and services, including current accounts, payment systems, savings and investment products, private banking, asset management, and investment banking services, such as mortgage loans, personal loans, commercial banking, leasing, factoring, insurance, and other products. The company is also involved in the provision of investment fund and real estate management, e-commerce, web portal, leasing, consulting, brokerage, marketing, and real estate investment fund management services; and internet, telephone, and mobile banking services as well as buying and selling real estate. In addition, it offers credit, debit, and prepaid cards; personal, mortgage, car loan, and salary …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Banco Comercial Português, S.A reported revenue of $3.9B in FY2025 versus $2.5B in FY2021, a compound +11.8%/yr. Reported net income was $1.0B in FY2025, compounding +64.8%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +11.8%/yr
FY21 $2.5B
FY22 $3.1B
FY23 $3.9B
FY24 $3.7B
FY25 $3.9B
Net income +64.8%/yr
FY21 $138M
FY22 $197M
FY23 $856M
FY24 $906M
FY25 $1.0B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Banco Comercial Português, S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BPCGY

Recent news

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Frequently asked questions

Is Banco Comercial Português, S.A (BPCGY) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $10.20 versus a price of $12.28, about −17% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of BPCGY?
Our model-based fair value for Banco Comercial Português, S.A is $10.20 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $12.28.
What is the quality score of BPCGY?
Banco Comercial Português, S.A has a Quality Score of 67/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Banco Comercial Português, S.A (BPCGY)?
Banco Comercial Português, S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.7B (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BPCGY?
The net profit margin of Banco Comercial Português, S.A is about 29.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 29.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Banco Comercial Português, S.A pay a dividend?
Banco Comercial Português, S.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.38% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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