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Bank of the Philippine Islands, (BPHLY) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $9.3B

BO Bank of the Philippine Islands, logo Bank of the Philippine Islands, BPHLY · US
Price$32.26
Fair Value$54.17
Upside+67.9%
Quality55/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 36.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
4.85% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/11)
Wide moat 67/100
Evidence: High Range $40.63 – $67.72 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 26, 2026, revised from $54.51 to $54.17 (−0.6%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −8.4% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 68% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($40.63). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$48.12 $15.37 Fair Value $54.17 Nov 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $15.37 – $48.12 · fair‑value band $40.63 – $67.72 · the $32.26 price screens below the $54.17 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Bank of the Philippine Islands, (BPHLY) currently trades at $32.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $54.17, implying the stock looks roughly 67.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Bank of the Philippine Islands, generated revenue of $181B at a net margin of 36.9%. Revenue grew 8.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.4%. Net debt stands at $77.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $40.63 (bear case) to $67.72 (bull case); at $32.26, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 68%, BPHLY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
P/E Multiple $2,508 $3,344 $4,180 63
Residual Income $1,740 $2,193 $5,277 61
P/B Multiple $1,889 $2,518 $3,148 55
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/E Multiple $2,508 $3,344 $4,180 63
P/B Multiple $1,889 $2,518 $3,148 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $899.32 $1,205 $1,799 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1,740 $2,193 $5,277 61

Widest divergence: Multiples ($2,518) versus Asset-Based ($1,205). Highest evidence: P/E Multiple (63).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $181B
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.9%
Net margin 36.9%
Return on equity 14.4%
Free cash flow $73.9B FY2025
P/E ratio 8.5
More key figures
Operating margin 48.3%
EPS (TTM) $4.13
Dividend yield 4.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +1.3%
Net debt $77.2B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 85
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 15
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 55
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 55
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 20
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 68
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Bank of the Philippine Islands, together with its subsidiaries, provides various financial products and services to retail and corporate clients in the Philippines. The company operates through Consumer Banking, Corporate Banking, and Investment Banking segments.

Full company description

Bank of the Philippine Islands, together with its subsidiaries, provides various financial products and services to retail and corporate clients in the Philippines. The company operates through Consumer Banking, Corporate Banking, and Investment Banking segments. The Consumer Banking segment offers deposits; and consumer lending, such as home mortgages, auto loans, and credit card finance, as well as remittance services to individual and retail markets. The Corporate Banking segment provides deposits, loan facilities, trade, cash management, and internet-based banking platforms for corporate and institutional customers. The Investment Banking segment offers corporate finance, securities distribution, asset management, trust, and fiduciary services, as well as proprietary trading and investment services. The company also provides financing, securities dealer, mutual fund distribution, land holding, business systems, asset management, foreign exchange, real estate, securities dealer, remittance, pre-need, and non-life insurance services, as well as deposit and withdrawal services. The company serves its customers through alternative electronic banking channels, such as telephone, mobile phone, and internet, as well as through branches, automated teller machines, and cash accept machines. Bank of the Philippine Islands was founded in 1851 and is based in Makati City, the Philippines.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Bank of the Philippine Islands, reported revenue of $271B in FY2025 versus $112B in FY2021, a compound +24.6%/yr. Reported net income was $68.1B in FY2025, compounding +30.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$271B
Latest YoY
+59.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+25.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+16.6%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
+10.5%
Revenue +24.6%/yr
FY21 $112B
FY22 $137B
FY23 $180B
FY24 $170B
FY25 $271B
Net income +30.0%/yr
FY21 $23.9B
FY22 $39.6B
FY23 $51.7B
FY24 $62.0B
FY25 $68.1B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bank of the Philippine Islands, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BPHLY

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Below median
Fair Value upside +68% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 37% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 48% · Above median
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.9% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 39
FUTURE 45 · sector 44
PAST 58 · sector 41
HEALTH 100 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 97 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Bank of the Philippine Islands, (BPHLY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $54.17 versus a price of $32.26, about +68% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BPHLY?
Our model-based fair value for Bank of the Philippine Islands, is $54.17 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $32.26.
What is the quality score of BPHLY?
Bank of the Philippine Islands, has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Bank of the Philippine Islands, (BPHLY)?
Bank of the Philippine Islands, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $181B (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BPHLY?
The net profit margin of Bank of the Philippine Islands, is about 36.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 36.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Bank of the Philippine Islands, pay a dividend?
Bank of the Philippine Islands, currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.85% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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