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Banque Cantonale Vaudoise (BQCNF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Jul 24, 2026: fair value of Banque Cantonale Vaudoise $76.35, price $140, upside -45.5%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Broad data
Sep 23, 2026
Broad data
Sep 23, 2026
Banque Cantonale Vaudoise
BQCNF · USStretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value $76.35 · Strongly overvalued (−45.5%)
!Quality 59/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +8.0 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 37.4% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · generates free cash flow
✓3.1% dividend yield · Sustainable
✓Wide moat 65/100
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0002 – $169.25 · fair‑value band $53.87 – $97.76 · the $139.97 price screens above the $76.35 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Sep 23, 2026.
Company profile
Banque Cantonale Vaudoise engages in the provision of various financial services in Vaud Canton and rest of Switzerland, the European Union, North America, and internationally. It operates through four divisions: Retail Banking, Private Banking, Corporate Banking, and Asset Management & Trading.
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Banque Cantonale Vaudoise engages in the provision of various financial services in Vaud Canton and rest of Switzerland, the European Union, North America, and internationally. It operates through four divisions: Retail Banking, Private Banking, Corporate Banking, and Asset Management & Trading. The company offers current, savings, foreign-currency, and retirement investment accounts; overdraft facilities; credit and payment cards; mortgage, personal, home, business, and construction loans; and production equipment financing and working capital and international trade finance products. It also provides a range of banking services, such as investments, real estate, financial planning services, and trading through its TradeDirect online platform; and cash management services, as well as instruments for hedging exchange-rate and interest-rate risk. In addition, the company offers asset and wealth management services; and investment and hedging products, such as currencies, equities, bonds, derivatives, and structured products. Further, it engages in the market transactions in equities, fixed-income instruments, forex, and precious metals on behalf of clients. Additionally, the company provides life insurance products, ATMs, and online banking services; manages finances and investments of high-net-worth individuals; and advisory services, such as tax planning, estate planning, and financial planning; and retirement, life insurance, and disability coverages. It primarily serves retail and business customers, and public sector institutions. Banque Cantonale Vaudoise was founded in 1845 and is headquartered in Lausanne, Switzerland.
Stock analysis
Banque Cantonale Vaudoise (BQCNF) currently trades at $139.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $76.35, 45.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $78.23 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the $139.97 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $37.44, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $53.87 (bear) to $97.76 (bull), the price of $139.97 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Banque Cantonale Vaudoise reported revenue of CHF 1.4B in FY2025 versus CHF 1.0B in FY2021, a compound +8.6%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 430M in FY2025, compounding +3.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $12.0B · P/E ratio 22.3 · P/S ratio 6.85 · EPS (TTM) $6.29 · Dividend yield 3.1% · Net margin 30.8% · Return on equity 10.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −45%, BQCNF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $53.87
Fair Value $76.35
Bull $97.76
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.43 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income
$50.59
$56.73
$70.00
76
Gordon GGM
$48.93
$67.10
$85.58
69
DDM Multi-Stage
$48.93
$67.90
$90.27
67
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$48.93
$67.10
$85.58
69
DDM Multi-Stage
$48.93
$67.90
$90.27
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$58.88
$78.51
$98.13
63
P/B Multiple
$58.67
$78.23
$97.79
55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$27.94
$37.44
$55.88
54
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$50.59
$56.73
$70.00
76
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
59/100
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69
Profitability
35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
85
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
51
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
64
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
81/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+22.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.3% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.9%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+6.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+3.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.3.4% vs 3.4%, steady
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.43% → 36%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+3.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in CHF, Switzerland: IMF forecast 0.6% a year to 2030, 0.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +3.0% a year for the price.
BQCNF screens overvalued: fair value 45% below the price. Compare with DBS Group →
Compare Banque Cantonale Vaudoise with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Regional · 1053 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Financials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| DBS Group D05 | 78.00 SGD | 40.39 SGD | −48% |
| China Merchants Bank Co 600036 | ¥40.69 | ¥52.73 | +30% |
| UniCredit S.p.A UCG | €79.53 | €77.12 | −3% |
| Mizuho Financial Group MFG | $11.05 | $6.82 | −38% |
| Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP | €6.38 | €4.06 | −36% |
| BNP Paribas SA BNP | €91.54 | €105.99 | +16% |
| HDFC Bank Limited HDFCBANK | ₹721.20 | ₹406.44 | −44% |
| Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation O39 | 32.01 SGD | 19.78 SGD | −38% |
| Al Rajhi Banking and Investment Corporation 1120 | 63.15 SAR | 36.95 SAR | −41% |
| CaixaBank, S.A CABK | €12.03 | €8.46 | −30% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Banque Cantonale Vaudoise (BQCNF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $76.35 versus the last price from Jul 24, 2026 of $139.97, about −45% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BQCNF?
Our model-based fair value for Banque Cantonale Vaudoise is $76.35 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jul 24, 2026): $139.97.
What is the quality score of BQCNF?
Banque Cantonale Vaudoise has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Banque Cantonale Vaudoise (BQCNF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $76.35 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario $53.87, optimistic scenario $97.76. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Banque Cantonale Vaudoise stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $76.35, about −45% upside versus the last price from Jul 24, 2026 of $139.97 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $53.87, optimistic scenario $97.76. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Banque Cantonale Vaudoise (BQCNF)?
Banque Cantonale Vaudoise reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 1.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Banque Cantonale Vaudoise pay a dividend?
Banque Cantonale Vaudoise currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.14% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Banque Cantonale Vaudoise (BQCNF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Banque Cantonale Vaudoise would have to grow free cash flow by +3.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.0 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BQCNF use?
Our models discount Banque Cantonale Vaudoise at 8.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.01, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Banque Cantonale Vaudoise that is +3.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Banque Cantonale Vaudoise (BQCNF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Banque Cantonale Vaudoise grew +8.0 % a year. The price currently implies +3.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Banque Cantonale Vaudoise (BQCNF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Banque Cantonale Vaudoise (+3.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Banque Cantonale Vaudoise (BQCNF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.84 %: that much free cash flow Banque Cantonale Vaudoise produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Banque Cantonale Vaudoise (BQCNF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Banque Cantonale Vaudoise it is $76.35 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $139.97. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Banque Cantonale Vaudoise stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, BQCNF trades above its calculated fair value: price $139.97, fair value $76.35, a gap of about −45% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BQCNF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($139.97); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($76.35). For Banque Cantonale Vaudoise the two are $63.62 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Banque Cantonale Vaudoise worth?
The market values Banque Cantonale Vaudoise at about $12.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $139.97; our models calculate a fair value of $76.35 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BQCNF?
Our models span a range for Banque Cantonale Vaudoise: cautious scenario $53.87, base $76.35, optimistic $97.76 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $139.97). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BQCNF?
Banque Cantonale Vaudoise trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 22.3 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $76.35 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.1, P/S 10.7, EV/EBITDA 17.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Banque Cantonale Vaudoise (BQCNF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Banque Cantonale Vaudoise (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 10.9%, debt of 1.79 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Banque Cantonale Vaudoise?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value DBS Group, China Merchants Bank Co, UniCredit S.p.A, Mizuho Financial Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Banque Cantonale Vaudoise stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $139.97, calculated fair value $76.35 (−45%), Quality Score 59/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BQCNF calculated?
We run Banque Cantonale Vaudoise through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $76.35, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Banque Cantonale Vaudoise itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Banque Cantonale Vaudoise (BQCNF)?
The latest price we hold is from Jul 24, 2026 and stands at $139.97. Our model-based fair value is $76.35, about −45% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Banque Cantonale Vaudoise right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($97.76). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($53.87 to $97.76) leaves room in how you read the outcome. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Banque Cantonale Vaudoise (BQCNF) come from?
Earnings per share at Banque Cantonale Vaudoise grew +4.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.7 %, EBIT margin −2.8 %, tax rate +1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +3.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Banque Cantonale Vaudoise
How large is the market capitalisation of Banque Cantonale Vaudoise (BQCNF)?
The market capitalisation of Banque Cantonale Vaudoise is $12.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Banque Cantonale Vaudoise (BQCNF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Banque Cantonale Vaudoise is 6.85 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Banque Cantonale Vaudoise (BQCNF)?
Earnings per share at Banque Cantonale Vaudoise are $6.29 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 22.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Banque Cantonale Vaudoise (BQCNF)?
The dividend yield of Banque Cantonale Vaudoise is 3.1% (payout 70.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Banque Cantonale Vaudoise (BQCNF)?
The net margin of Banque Cantonale Vaudoise is 30.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Banque Cantonale Vaudoise (BQCNF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Banque Cantonale Vaudoise is 10.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Banque Cantonale Vaudoise (BQCNF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Banque Cantonale Vaudoise is 0.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Banque Cantonale Vaudoise (BQCNF)?
The operating margin of Banque Cantonale Vaudoise is 44.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Banque Cantonale Vaudoise (BQCNF)?
Revenue at Banque Cantonale Vaudoise is growing −0.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Banque Cantonale Vaudoise (BQCNF)?
Earnings per share at Banque Cantonale Vaudoise are growing −1.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Banque Cantonale Vaudoise (BQCNF) carry?
The net debt of Banque Cantonale Vaudoise is CHF 1.8B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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