Baran Group Ltd (BRAN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 29, 2026: fair value of Baran Group Ltd ILS 10.42, price ILS 18.70, upside -44.3%, quality 33 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 6.87 ILA – 28.12 ILA · fair‑value band 7.82 ILA – 11.27 ILA · the 18.70 ILA price screens above the 10.42 ILA fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Baran Group Ltd, an engineering company, provides engineering solutions for projects in Israel, Europe, Africa, and Asia.
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Baran Group Ltd, an engineering company, provides engineering solutions for projects in Israel, Europe, Africa, and Asia. The company offers feasibility studies, multidisciplinary planning, procurement services, project management and supervision, regulation and permits, engineering and detailed design, EHS, commissioning process, legal, quality control and assurance, schedule and budget control, operation and maintenance, EPCM, Turnkey/DB, BOT/PPP, and project financing support services. It also provides project execution and projects funding services. The company serves industries, such as national infrastructures, structures, industry, production, water and agriculture, gas and energy, and technology and innovation. Baran Group Ltd was founded in 1979 and is based in Omer, Israel.
Stock analysis
Baran Group Ltd (BRAN) currently trades at 18.70 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 10.42 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 79.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 19.97 ILA per share, and 4 of the 16 models we run sit above the 18.70 ILA price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 6.72 ILA, and 12 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 7.82 ILA (bear) to 11.27 ILA (bull), the price of 18.70 ILA sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Baran Group Ltd reported revenue of 727M ILS in FY2025 versus 373M ILS in FY2021, a compound +18.1%/yr. Reported net income was 25.9M ILS in FY2025, compounding +14.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 658M ILA · P/E ratio 19.7 · P/S ratio 0.70 · EPS (TTM) 0.9500 ILA · Dividend yield 3.0% · Net margin 3.6% · Return on equity 7.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −44%, BRAN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 7.82 ILAFair Value 10.42 ILABull 11.27 ILA
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.7079 ILS per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.4% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+21.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+18.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 6%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 6.6%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 801 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−44.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)7.5% · Above median
Return on assets3.1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)2.9% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)4.3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth22.3% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)3.0% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.31× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)19.7× · Pricier than median
P/B2.40× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)0.86× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA13.4× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 13
PAST (return on equity)30· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)85· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)61· sector 40
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Baran Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BRAN
Frequently asked questions
Is Baran Group Ltd (BRAN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 10.42 ILA versus a price of 18.70 ILA, about −44% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BRAN?
Our model-based fair value for Baran Group Ltd is 10.42 ILA (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 18.70 ILA.
What is the quality score of BRAN?
Baran Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Baran Group Ltd (BRAN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 10.42 ILA (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 7.82 ILA, optimistic scenario 11.27 ILA. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Baran Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 10.42 ILA, about −44% upside versus a price of 18.70 ILA (overvalued). Cautious scenario 7.82 ILA, optimistic scenario 11.27 ILA. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Baran Group Ltd (BRAN)?
Baran Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 764M ILS (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Baran Group Ltd pay a dividend?
Baran Group Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.03% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Baran Group Ltd (BRAN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Baran Group Ltd it is 10.42 ILA per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of 18.70 ILA. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Baran Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, BRAN trades above its calculated fair value: price 18.70 ILA, fair value 10.42 ILA, a gap of about −44% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BRAN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (18.70 ILA); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (10.42 ILA). For Baran Group Ltd the two are 8.28 ILA per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Baran Group Ltd worth?
The market values Baran Group Ltd at about 658M ILA (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is 18.70 ILA; our models calculate a fair value of 10.42 ILA per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BRAN?
Our models span a range for Baran Group Ltd: cautious scenario 7.82 ILA, base 10.42 ILA, optimistic 11.27 ILA per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price 18.70 ILA). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BRAN?
Baran Group Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.7 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 10.42 ILA is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.4, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 13.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Baran Group Ltd (BRAN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Baran Group Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 7.5%, debt of 0.31 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BRAN from its 52-week high?
Baran Group Ltd trades at 18.70 ILA, about 33% below its 52-week high of 28.12 ILA and 12% above the low of 16.73 ILA (as of Sep 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 10.42 ILA is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Baran Group Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Baran Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price 18.70 ILA, calculated fair value 10.42 ILA (−44%), Quality Score 33/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BRAN calculated?
We run Baran Group Ltd through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 10.42 ILA, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Baran Group Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Baran Group Ltd (BRAN)?
The closing price on Sep 29, 2026 was 18.70 ILA. Our model-based fair value is 10.42 ILA, about −44% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Baran Group Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (11.27 ILA). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Key figures of Baran Group Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Baran Group Ltd (BRAN)?
The market capitalisation of Baran Group Ltd is 658M ILA. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Baran Group Ltd (BRAN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Baran Group Ltd is 0.70 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Baran Group Ltd (BRAN)?
Earnings per share at Baran Group Ltd are 0.9500 ILA (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Baran Group Ltd (BRAN)?
The dividend yield of Baran Group Ltd is 3.0% (payout 59.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Baran Group Ltd (BRAN)?
The net margin of Baran Group Ltd is 3.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Baran Group Ltd (BRAN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Baran Group Ltd is 7.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Baran Group Ltd (BRAN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Baran Group Ltd is 5.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Baran Group Ltd (BRAN)?
The operating margin of Baran Group Ltd is 4.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Baran Group Ltd (BRAN)?
Revenue at Baran Group Ltd is growing +22.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +23.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Baran Group Ltd (BRAN)?
Earnings per share at Baran Group Ltd are growing −43.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Baran Group Ltd (BRAN) generate?
The free cash flow of Baran Group Ltd is −82.2M ILA (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Baran Group Ltd (BRAN) carry?
The net debt of Baran Group Ltd is 175M ILA (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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