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BellRing Brands, Inc (BRBR) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $1.1B

BB BellRing Brands, Inc logo BellRing Brands, Inc BRBR · US
Price$11.56
Fair Value$33.22
Upside+187.4%
Quality64/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 6.8% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/12)
Moderate moat 64/100
Evidence: High Range $19.54 – $43.73 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price −12.3% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 187% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($19.54). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($19.54 to $43.73) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$79.39 $7.90 Fair Value $33.22 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.90 – $79.39 · fair‑value band $19.54 – $43.73 · the $11.56 price screens below the $33.22 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

BellRing Brands, Inc (BRBR) currently trades at $11.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $33.22, implying the stock looks roughly 187.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, BellRing Brands, Inc generated revenue of $2.3B at a net margin of 6.8%. Revenue grew 1.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 61.5%. Net debt stands at $1.0B. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $19.54 (bear case) to $43.73 (bull case); at $11.56, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at 187%, BRBR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $16.52 $37.30 $66.51 80
Rev-Margin DCF $14.21 $32.80 $59.03 74
ROIC Compounder $13.33 $19.04 $25.63 72
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $17.47 $35.17 $76.34 38
Owner Earnings $14.84 $35.89 $72.12 31
5Y Revenue Exit $14.21 $33.54 $60.99 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $19.81 $46.09 $81.08 41
5Y P/E Exit $18.43 $43.00 $73.01 38
10Y Revenue Exit $14.38 $32.83 $63.45 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $18.56 $41.66 $80.45 37
10Y P/E Exit $17.70 $39.49 $73.75 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $12.64 $76.36 $106.46 54
Lynch FV $21.80 $31.14 $40.49 50
PEG = 1.0 $21.80 $31.14 $40.49 46
EPV $11.02 $13.69 $15.92 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.64 $2.96 $4.08 70
DDM Multi-Stage $1.64 $2.71 $3.16 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $29.28 $39.05 $48.81 63
P/S Multiple $23.71 $31.61 $39.51 58
EV/EBIT $30.63 $43.69 $56.76 53
EV/EBITDA $22.97 $33.48 $43.99 54
EV/Revenue $12.36 $21.33 $30.29 43
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $16.52 $37.30 $66.51 80
Rev-Margin DCF $14.21 $32.80 $59.03 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $13.33 $19.04 $25.63 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $31.60 $45.14 $58.69 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($45.14) versus Dividend Discount ($2.71). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $2.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.8%
Net margin 6.8%
Return on equity 61.5%
Free cash flow $256M FY2025
P/E ratio 7.0
More key figures
Operating margin 11.2%
EPS (TTM) $1.29
EPS growth (YoY) -35.8%
Net debt $1.0B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16

Profitability 86
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 62
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 56
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 45
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 3
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

BellRing Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides various nutrition products in the United States. The company offers ready-to-drink (RTD) protein shakes, other RTD beverages, protein powders, nutrition bars, and other products primarily under the Premier Protein and Dymatize brands.

Full company description

BellRing Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides various nutrition products in the United States. The company offers ready-to-drink (RTD) protein shakes, other RTD beverages, protein powders, nutrition bars, and other products primarily under the Premier Protein and Dymatize brands. It distributes its products through club stores, food, drug and mass retailers, e-commerce, online and specialty retailers, and convenience stores channels. BellRing Brands, Inc. was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

BellRing Brands, Inc reported revenue of $2.3B in FY2025 versus $1.2B in FY2021, a compound +16.7%/yr. Reported net income was $216M in FY2025, compounding +67.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$2.3B
Latest YoY
+16.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+19.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+18.6%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y)
+16.8%
Revenue +16.7%/yr
FY21 $1.2B
FY22 $1.4B
FY23 $1.7B
FY24 $2.0B
FY25 $2.3B
Net income +67.3%/yr
FY21 $27.6M
FY22 $82.3M
FY23 $166M
FY24 $247M
FY25 $216M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BellRing Brands, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BRBR

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 653 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +187% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 62% · Top 25%
Return on assets 19% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 2% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.45× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 4.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 6.6× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 29
FUTURE 9 · sector 19
PAST 100 · sector 27
HEALTH 100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 47

Insider activity: 66/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%
Nongshim Co 004370 348,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is BellRing Brands, Inc (BRBR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $33.22 versus a price of $11.56, about +187% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BRBR?
Our model-based fair value for BellRing Brands, Inc is $33.22 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $11.56.
What is the quality score of BRBR?
BellRing Brands, Inc has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of BellRing Brands, Inc (BRBR)?
BellRing Brands, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.3B (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BRBR?
The net profit margin of BellRing Brands, Inc is about 6.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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