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Blue Ridge Bankshares, Inc (BRBS) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $298M

BR Blue Ridge Bankshares, Inc logo Blue Ridge Bankshares, Inc BRBS · US
Price$3.70
Fair Value$1.32
Upside-64.4%
Quality34/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 12.8% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (1/14)
Narrow moat 37/100
Evidence: High Range $0.9860 – $1.65 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +8.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 64% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.65). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$14.43 $1.69 Fair Value $1.32 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.69 – $14.43 · fair‑value band $0.9860 – $1.65 · the $3.70 price screens above the $1.32 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Blue Ridge Bankshares, Inc (BRBS) currently trades at $3.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.32, implying the stock looks roughly 64.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Blue Ridge Bankshares, Inc generated revenue of $93.5M at a net margin of 12.8%. Revenue declined 10.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.9%. Net debt stands at $63.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.9860 (bear case) to $1.65 (bull case); at $3.70, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at -64%, BRBS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $2.40 $2.31 $1.79 76
Gordon GGM $1.75 $2.93 $3.81 70
P/E Multiple $1.16 $1.55 $1.94 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.75 $2.93 $3.81 70
DDM Multi-Stage $1.75 $2.78 $3.15 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $1.16 $1.55 $1.94 63
P/B Multiple $1.52 $2.02 $2.53 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.80 $2.41 $3.60 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $2.40 $2.31 $1.79 76

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($2.78) versus Multiples ($1.55). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $93.5M
Revenue growth (YoY) -10.0%
Net margin 12.8%
Return on equity 3.9%
Free cash flow $11.9M FY2025
P/E ratio 25.5
More key figures
Operating margin 8.7%
EPS (TTM) $0.1300
EPS growth (YoY) +500%
Net debt $63.2M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66

Profitability 18
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 62
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 31
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 16
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 85
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 52
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 69
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Blue Ridge Bankshares, Inc. operates as a bank holding company for the Blue Ridge Bank, National Association that provides commercial and consumer banking, and financial services. It operates through Commercial Banking and Mortgage Banking segments.

Full company description

Blue Ridge Bankshares, Inc. operates as a bank holding company for the Blue Ridge Bank, National Association that provides commercial and consumer banking, and financial services. It operates through Commercial Banking and Mortgage Banking segments. The company accepts checking, savings, money market, cash management, and individual retirement accounts, as well as certificates of deposit. It also offers commercial and industrial, residential mortgages, commercial mortgages, home equity, and consumer installment loans; and residential mortgage loans and mortgages loans on real estate. In addition, it provides commercial banking services, including deposit accounts, treasury management solutions, wire services, online banking, fraud prevention services, procurement cards, and a range of commercial lending options; and property and casualty insurance products to individuals and businesses, as well as electronic statement, and mobile and telephone banking services. Further, the company offers consumer lending services that include automobile lending, home equity lines of credit, credit cards, and other unsecured personal loans; small business administration loans; management services for personal and corporate trusts, including estate planning and settlement, trust administration, and investment and wealth management services, as well as life insurance products. It operates in Callao, Charlottesville, Chester, Colonial Heights, Culpeper, Fredericksburg, Gordonsville, Harrisonburg, Hartfield, Henrico, Kilmarnock, Louisa, Luray, Martinsville, Midlothian, Mineral, Montross, Orange, Petersburg, Richmond, Shenandoah, Suffolk, Virginia Beach, Warsaw, and White Stone, Virginia; and Greensboro, North Carolina. The company was founded in 1893 and is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Blue Ridge Bankshares, Inc reported revenue of $151M in FY2025 versus $191M in FY2021, a compound −5.7%/yr. Reported net income was $10.7M in FY2025, compounding −32.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 66/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$151M
Latest YoY
−13.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.4%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+27.4%
Revenue −5.7%/yr
FY21 $191M
FY22 $158M
FY23 $197M
FY24 $174M
FY25 $151M
Net income −32.8%/yr
FY21 $52.5M
FY22 $27.9M
FY23 −$51.8M
FY24 −$15.4M
FY25 $10.7M

BRBS screens 64% overvalued. Compare with PT Bank Central Asia Tbk →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Blue Ridge Bankshares, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BRBS

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −64% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -10% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.51× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 25.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.92× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 3.18× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 24.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 23.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 39
FUTURE 0 · sector 44
PAST 16 · sector 41
HEALTH 75 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Blue Ridge Bankshares, Inc (BRBS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.32 versus a price of $3.70, about −64% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BRBS?
Our model-based fair value for Blue Ridge Bankshares, Inc is $1.32 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $3.70.
What is the quality score of BRBS?
Blue Ridge Bankshares, Inc has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Blue Ridge Bankshares, Inc (BRBS)?
Blue Ridge Bankshares, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $93.5M (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BRBS?
The net profit margin of Blue Ridge Bankshares, Inc is about 12.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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