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BRD - Groupe Société Générale S.A (BRD) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · RO · Market cap 21.0B RON

BG BRD - Groupe Société Générale S.A BRD · RO
Price32.05 RON
Fair Value46.58 RON
Upside+45.3%
Quality62/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 37.8% net margin
generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/12)
Wide moat 73/100
Evidence: High Range 34.93 RON – 58.22 RON Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 26, 2026, revised from 44.36 RON to 46.58 RON (+5.0%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +5.6% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 45% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (34.93 RON). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

32.73 RON 8.95 RON Fair Value 46.58 RON Feb 2021 Jun 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 8.95 RON – 32.73 RON · fair‑value band 34.93 RON – 58.22 RON · the 32.05 RON price screens below the 46.58 RON fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

BRD - Groupe Société Générale S.A (BRD) currently trades at 32.05 RON, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 46.58 RON, implying the stock looks roughly 45.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, BRD - Groupe Société Générale S.A generated revenue of 4.1B RON at a net margin of 37.8%. Revenue grew 0.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.1%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 13.5. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 34.93 RON (bear case) to 58.22 RON (bull case); at 32.05 RON, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 84% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 45%, BRD screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 15.03 RON 19.00 RON 43.08 RON 76
Gordon GGM 9.72 RON 20.20 RON 32.05 RON 70
P/E Multiple 34.93 RON 46.58 RON 58.22 RON 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 9.72 RON 20.20 RON 32.05 RON 70
DDM Multi-Stage 9.72 RON 16.44 RON 21.20 RON 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 34.93 RON 46.58 RON 58.22 RON 63
P/B Multiple 28.28 RON 37.71 RON 47.13 RON 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 7.59 RON 10.17 RON 15.18 RON 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 15.03 RON 19.00 RON 43.08 RON 76

Widest divergence: Multiples (37.71 RON) versus Asset-Based (10.17 RON). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 4.1B RON
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.7%
Net margin 37.8%
Return on equity 15.1%
Free cash flow 2.0B RON FY2025
P/E ratio 13.5
More key figures
Operating margin 44.9%
EPS (TTM) 2.24 RON
EPS growth (YoY) +5.3%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 86

Profitability 46
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 88
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 42
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 84
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 98
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

BRD - Groupe Société Générale S.A. provides a range of banking and financial services to corporates and individuals in Romania. It operates in Retail and Non-Retail segments.

Full company description

BRD - Groupe Société Générale S.A. provides a range of banking and financial services to corporates and individuals in Romania. It operates in Retail and Non-Retail segments. The company offers savings, deposits, and current accounts; term deposits; personal, housing, youth, refinancing, and investment loans, as well as agriculture loans; credit and debit cards; and transfer, investments and insurance services. It also offers card processing, and cash collection services; global transaction banking; corporate loans; mergers and acquisitions; treasury; and securities services. In addition, the company provides internet and mobile banking, payments, and custody; letter of guarantee; financing; and foreign exchange services. The company was founded in 1990 and is based in Bucharest, Romania. BRD - Groupe Société Générale S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Société Générale Société anonyme.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

BRD - Groupe Société Générale S.A reported revenue of 4.3B RON in FY2025 versus 3.1B RON in FY2021, a compound +8.9%/yr. Reported net income was 1.5B RON in FY2025, compounding +4.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 84/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
4.3B RON
Latest YoY
+7.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+7.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.0%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y)
+4.8%
Revenue +8.9%/yr
FY21 3.1B RON
FY22 3.5B RON
FY23 3.8B RON
FY24 4.0B RON
FY25 4.3B RON
Net income +4.2%/yr
FY21 1.3B RON
FY22 1.3B RON
FY23 1.6B RON
FY24 1.5B RON
FY25 1.5B RON

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BRD - Groupe Société Générale S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BRD

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +45% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 38% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 45% · Above median
Revenue growth 1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.44× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.12× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.4× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 94 · sector 39
FUTURE 4 · sector 44
PAST 60 · sector 41
HEALTH 0 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is BRD - Groupe Société Générale S.A (BRD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 46.58 RON versus a price of 32.05 RON, about +45% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BRD?
Our model-based fair value for BRD - Groupe Société Générale S.A is 46.58 RON (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 32.05 RON.
What is the quality score of BRD?
BRD - Groupe Société Générale S.A has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of BRD - Groupe Société Générale S.A (BRD)?
BRD - Groupe Société Générale S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.1B RON (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BRD?
The net profit margin of BRD - Groupe Société Générale S.A is about 37.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 37.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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