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Borealis Foods Inc (BRLS) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $28.1M

BF Borealis Foods Inc logo Borealis Foods Inc BRLS · US
Price$0.9200
Fair Value$1.03
Upside+12.3%
Quality30/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -63.1% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/8)
Narrow moat 5/100
Evidence: Low Range $1.03 – $4.13 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 24, 2026, revised from $1.05 to $1.03 (−1.6%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −12.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 12% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($1.03). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($1.03 to $4.13). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$12.50 $0.6530 Fair Value $1.03 Oct 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

58‑month range $0.6530 – $12.50 · fair‑value band $1.03 – $4.13 · the $0.9200 price screens below the $1.03 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Borealis Foods Inc (BRLS) currently trades at $0.9200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.03, implying the stock looks roughly 12.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Borealis Foods Inc generated revenue of $30.1M at a net margin of -63.1%. Revenue grew 32.3% year over year. Net debt stands at $23.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.03 (bear case) to $4.13 (bull case); at $0.9200, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at 12%, BRLS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA $0.7755 $1.03 $1.29 54
Owner Earnings $0.7224 $1.12 $1.69 31
All 2 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $0.7224 $1.12 $1.69 31
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $0.7755 $1.03 $1.29 54

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($1.12) versus Multiples ($1.03). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $30.1M
Revenue growth (YoY) +32.3%
Net margin -63.1%
Return on equity -5,302%
Free cash flow −$6.6B FY2025
Operating margin -31.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.8900
Net debt $23.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20

Profitability 5
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 67
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 0
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 51
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 11
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 57
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Borealis Foods Inc. operates as a food tech company that provides nutritious food products. It provides ramen noodles under the Chef Woo, Chef Ramsay, Ramen Express, and Woodles brands. The company is based in Oakville, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Borealis Foods Inc reported revenue of $30.1M in FY2025 versus $13.6M in FY2021, a compound +21.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$19.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 24/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$30.1M
Latest YoY
+8.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.5%
Revenue +21.9%/yr
FY21 $13.6M
FY22 $25.6M
FY23 $30.0M
FY24 $27.7M
FY25 $30.1M
Net income
FY21 −$10.1M
FY22 −$26.3M
FY23 −$2.9M
FY24 −$25.3M
FY25 −$19.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Borealis Foods Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BRLS

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 649 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +12% · Above median
Return on assets -12% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -63% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -32% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 32% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.94× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 49 · sector 28
FUTURE 100 · sector 20
PAST 0 · sector 27
HEALTH 100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 47

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%
Nongshim Co 004370 348,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Borealis Foods Inc (BRLS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.03 versus a price of $0.9200, about +12% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BRLS?
Our model-based fair value for Borealis Foods Inc is $1.03 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.9200.
What is the quality score of BRLS?
Borealis Foods Inc has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Borealis Foods Inc (BRLS)?
Borealis Foods Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $30.1M (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BRLS?
The net profit margin of Borealis Foods Inc is about -63.1%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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