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PT Budi Starch & Sweetener Tbk, (BUDI) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · ID · Market cap 925B IDR

PB PT Budi Starch & Sweetener Tbk, BUDI · JK
Price216.00 IDR
Fair Value412.43 IDR
Upside+90.9%
Quality42/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 3.6% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/13)
Narrow moat 34/100
Evidence: Medium Range 293.20 IDR – 536.17 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price +4.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 91% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (293.20 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • A fairly wide model range (293.20 IDR to 536.17 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

272.57 IDR 84.98 IDR Fair Value 412.43 IDR Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 84.98 IDR – 272.57 IDR · fair‑value band 293.20 IDR – 536.17 IDR · the 216.00 IDR price screens below the 412.43 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

PT Budi Starch & Sweetener Tbk, (BUDI) currently trades at 216.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 412.43 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 90.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Budi Starch & Sweetener Tbk, generated revenue of 3.4T IDR at a net margin of 3.6%. Revenue grew 29.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.8%. Net debt stands at 1.9T IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 293.20 IDR (bear case) to 536.17 IDR (bull case); at 216.00 IDR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at 91%, BUDI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 283.42 IDR 299.27 IDR 324.36 IDR 76
ROIC Compounder 330.54 IDR 438.04 IDR 575.95 IDR 72
Growth-Adj P/E 288.70 IDR 412.43 IDR 536.17 IDR 68
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 192.61 IDR 350.45 IDR 590.86 IDR 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 161.32 IDR 406.87 IDR 528.50 IDR 54
PEG = 1.0 75.06 IDR 107.23 IDR 139.40 IDR 46
EPV 330.54 IDR 410.20 IDR 481.00 IDR 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 373.65 IDR 498.20 IDR 622.75 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 302.48 IDR 403.30 IDR 504.13 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 302.48 IDR 403.30 IDR 504.13 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 518.62 IDR 731.76 IDR 944.91 IDR 53
EV/EBITDA 764.46 IDR 1,060 IDR 1,355 IDR 54
EV/Revenue 335.56 IDR 531.15 IDR 726.75 IDR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 172.72 IDR 231.44 IDR 345.43 IDR 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 283.42 IDR 299.27 IDR 324.36 IDR 76
ROIC Compounder 330.54 IDR 438.04 IDR 575.95 IDR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 288.70 IDR 412.43 IDR 536.17 IDR 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (498.20 IDR) versus Asset-Based (231.44 IDR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.4T IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) +29.4%
Net margin 3.6%
Return on equity 7.8%
Free cash flow −261B IDR FY2025
P/E ratio 7.4
More key figures
Operating margin 7.6%
EPS (TTM) 27.21 IDR
EPS growth (YoY) +141%
Net debt 1.9T IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 3
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 28
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 91
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 32
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Budi Starch & Sweetener Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells tapioca and modified tapioca starch, sweeteners, plastic packaging, sulfuric acid, and other chemicals in Indonesia and internationally. The company operates through the Tapioca Starch, Sweeteners, Sulfuric Acid and Other Products, and Plastic Packaging segments.

Full company description

PT Budi Starch & Sweetener Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells tapioca and modified tapioca starch, sweeteners, plastic packaging, sulfuric acid, and other chemicals in Indonesia and internationally. The company operates through the Tapioca Starch, Sweeteners, Sulfuric Acid and Other Products, and Plastic Packaging segments. It offers tapioca flour; glucose and fructose; maltodextrin; plastic sacks; and sulfuric acid. The company was formerly known as PT Budi Acid Jaya Tbk and changed its name to PT Budi Starch & Sweetener Tbk in July 2013. PT Budi Starch & Sweetener Tbk was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Budi Starch & Sweetener Tbk, reported revenue of 3.2T IDR in FY2025 versus 3.4T IDR in FY2021, a compound −1.5%/yr. Reported net income was 107B IDR in FY2025, compounding +6.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 39/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.2T IDR
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.9%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.6%
Revenue −1.5%/yr
FY21 3.4T IDR
FY22 3.4T IDR
FY23 3.9T IDR
FY24 4.0T IDR
FY25 3.2T IDR
Net income +6.4%/yr
FY21 83.3B IDR
FY22 89.0B IDR
FY23 101B IDR
FY24 61.6B IDR
FY25 107B IDR
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +13.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share +4.4 pp

of which total revenue +5.1 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.6 pp

EBIT margin +0.6 pp
Tax rate +4.2 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +4.4 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Budi Starch & Sweetener Tbk, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BUDI

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 649 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +91% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth 29% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.44× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.60× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.27× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 3.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 28
FUTURE 100 · sector 20
PAST 31 · sector 27
HEALTH 78 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%
Nongshim Co 004370 348,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Budi Starch & Sweetener Tbk, (BUDI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 412.43 IDR versus a price of 216.00 IDR, about +91% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BUDI?
Our model-based fair value for PT Budi Starch & Sweetener Tbk, is 412.43 IDR (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 216.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of BUDI?
PT Budi Starch & Sweetener Tbk, has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Budi Starch & Sweetener Tbk, (BUDI)?
PT Budi Starch & Sweetener Tbk, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.4T IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BUDI?
The net profit margin of PT Budi Starch & Sweetener Tbk, is about 3.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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