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Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited (BXPHF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited $0.01, price $0.02, upside -32.5%, quality 17 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Healthcare · US · Home Australia

BP Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited logo Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited

BXPHF · US

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value $0.0108 · Overvalued (−32.5%)
!Quality 17/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −5.3 %/yr)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/8)
!Narrow moat 6/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 16 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$0.4800 $0.0085 Fair Value $0.0108 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0085 – $0.4800 · fair‑value band $0.0108 – $0.0119 · the $0.0160 price screens above the $0.0108 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited operates as a commercial dermatology company in Australia and the United States. The company's lead product is Sofdra (sofpironium) topical gel, a prescription anticholinergic medicine used on the skin to treat underarm sweating in adults and children 9 years of age and older.

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Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited operates as a commercial dermatology company in Australia and the United States. The company's lead product is Sofdra (sofpironium) topical gel, a prescription anticholinergic medicine used on the skin to treat underarm sweating in adults and children 9 years of age and older. Its product pipeline includes BTX 1503, a transdermal gel formulation for the treatment of serious acne in adults and teenagers; BTX 1801 for treating staphylococcus aureus and methicillin resistant staphylococcus aureus; BTX 1702 for the treatment of papulopustular rosacea; and BTX 1204A for treating atopic dermatitis. The company was incorporated in 1984 and is based in Melbourne, Australia.

Stock analysis

Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited (BXPHF) currently trades at $0.0160, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0108, 32.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.0108 (bear) to $0.0119 (bull), the price of $0.0160 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 17/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited reported revenue of A$5.8M in FY2025 versus A$6.9M in FY2021, a compound −4.4%/yr. Reported net income was −A$86.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $65.6M · P/S ratio 2.99 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0300 · Return on equity −121% · Return on assets (EBIT) −67.7% · Operating margin −204% · Revenue growth (YoY) +42.7% · Free cash flow −A$79.6M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 86% below its 52-week high and 57% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −32%, BXPHF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.0108 Fair Value $0.0108 Bull $0.0119
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.0100 $0.0100 $0.0200 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0100 $0.0100 $0.0200 52

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 17/100

Of which business quality 24 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 9
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 69
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 3
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 37
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+178.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 36 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−220.2% (2020) → −1,499.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

BXPHF screens overvalued: fair value 32% below the price. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Biotechnology · 625 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/7 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 24 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −13.3% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −53.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 42.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.27× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.81× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.99× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)16 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)86 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 22

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $527.67 $580.44 +10%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $752.25 $1,275 +69%
argenx SE ARGX $959.49 $918.60 −4%
CSL Limited CSL A$175.35 A$192.89 +10%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,354,000 KRW 1,489,400 KRW +10%
BeOne Medicines AG ONC $360.85 $280.94 −22%
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc ALNY $255.96 $217.88 −15%
Royalty Pharma plc RPRX $58.21 $19.01 −67%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 177,400 KRW 74,519 KRW −58%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$53.00 HK$58.30 +10%

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$0.0108 −32%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BXPHF

Frequently asked questions

Is Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited (BXPHF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0108 versus a price of $0.0160, about −32% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BXPHF?
Our model-based fair value for Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited is $0.0108 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0160.
What is the quality score of BXPHF?
Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited has a Quality Score of 17/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited (BXPHF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0108 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0108, optimistic scenario $0.0119. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0108, about −32% upside versus a price of $0.0160 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.0108, optimistic scenario $0.0119. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited (BXPHF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited it is $0.0108 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.0160. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, BXPHF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.0160, fair value $0.0108, a gap of about −32% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BXPHF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0160); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0108). For Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited the two are $0.0052 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited worth?
The market values Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited at about $65.6M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.0160; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0108 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BXPHF?
Our models span a range for Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited: cautious scenario $0.0108, base $0.0108, optimistic $0.0119 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.0160). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited (BXPHF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −121.1%, debt of 0.27 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 17/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BXPHF from its 52-week high?
Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited trades at $0.0160, about 86% below its 52-week high of $0.1149 and 57% above the low of $0.0102 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0108 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc, argenx SE, CSL Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.0160, calculated fair value $0.0108 (−32%), Quality Score 17/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BXPHF calculated?
We run Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0108, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited (BXPHF)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was $0.0160. Our model-based fair value is $0.0108, about −32% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0119). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (17/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. The models converge in a tight band ($0.0108 to $0.0119), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.

Key figures of Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited (BXPHF)?
The market capitalisation of Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited is $65.6M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited (BXPHF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited is 2.99 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited (BXPHF)?
Earnings per share at Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited are $−0.0300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited (BXPHF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited is −121% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited (BXPHF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited is −67.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited (BXPHF)?
The operating margin of Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited is −204% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited (BXPHF)?
Revenue at Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited is growing +42.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +27.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited (BXPHF) generate?
The free cash flow of Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited is −A$79.6M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited (BXPHF) hold?
Botanix Pharmaceuticals Limited holds more cash than debt, A$32.9M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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