BayWa Aktiengesellschaft (BYW6) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · DE · Market cap €164M
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from €4.51 to €4.66 (+3.3%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +5.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 73% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (40/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- A fairly wide model range (€2.58 to €6.41) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €2.23 – €24.43 · fair‑value band €2.58 – €6.41 · the €2.70 price screens below the €4.66 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
BayWa Aktiengesellschaft (BYW6) currently trades at €2.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €4.66, implying the stock looks roughly 72.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, BayWa Aktiengesellschaft generated revenue of €19.7B at a net margin of -6.4%. Revenue declined 10.9% year over year. Net debt stands at €5.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €2.58 (bear case) to €6.41 (bull case); at €2.70, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 66% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at 73%, BYW6 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (€45.85) versus Dividend Discount (€3.30). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
BayWa Aktiengesellschaft provides wholesale, retail, logistics, and support and consultancy services in Germany and internationally. The company's Renewable Energies segment is involved in the planning, managing, and construction of wind farms and solar parks; production of power; and sale of photovoltaic systems and components.
Full company description
BayWa Aktiengesellschaft provides wholesale, retail, logistics, and support and consultancy services in Germany and internationally. The company's Renewable Energies segment is involved in the planning, managing, and construction of wind farms and solar parks; production of power; and sale of photovoltaic systems and components. Its Energy segment supplies heating oil, fuels, and lubricants; and provides wood pellets and heating solutions, as well as solutions in the fields of electromobility, liquified natural gas, and digital mobility. The Cefetra Group segment trades in grains and oilseeds, starch products, rice and legumes, and organic products. The company's Agri Trade & Service segment supplies seeds, fertilizers, crop protection products, and feedstuffs and products for livestock farming; and collects and markets agricultural products, such as grains, oilseeds, and hops. Its Agricultural Equipment segment sells machinery, equipment, and systems for agriculture, forestry, and the public sector, as well as new and used machinery; and provides maintenance and repair service, including spare parts. The Global Produce segment sells dessert pome fruits for the food retail sector. The company's Building Materials segment trades in building materials for construction companies, trades, commercial enterprises, and municipalities, as well as private developers and homeowners. Its Innovation & Digitalisation segment develops and markets NEXT Farming PRO and NEXT Farming LIVE software solutions, as well as offers hardware components. BayWa Aktiengesellschaft was founded in 1923 and is headquartered in Munich, Germany.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
BayWa Aktiengesellschaft reported revenue of €21.6B in FY2024 versus €16.5B in FY2020, a compound +7.0%/yr. Reported net income was −€1.2B in FY2024.
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Peer Group
Conglomerates · 369 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
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| The Siam Cement Public Company SCC | 254.00 THB | 199.40 THB | -21% |
| SRF Limited SRF | ₹2,875 | ₹1,053 | -63% |
| Empresas Copec S.A COPEC | 6,330 CLP | 10,879 CLP | +72% |
| Posco International Corporation 047050 | 50,900 KRW | 61,248 KRW | +20% |
| Tube Investments of India Limited TIINDIA | ₹2,940 | ₹559.30 | -81% |
| Doosan Corporation 000155 | 464,000 KRW | 75,620 KRW | -84% |
| Thermax Limited THERMAX | ₹4,809 | ₹1,087 | -77% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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