Catapult Group International Limited (CAZGF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Catapult Group International Limited $1.76, price $2.11, upside -16.6%, quality 35 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0663 – $5.00 · fair‑value band $1.07 – $2.93 · the $2.11 price screens above the $1.76 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Catapult Sports Ltd, a sports science and analytics company, engages in the development and supply of technologies that improve the performance of athletes and sports teams in Australia, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and the Americas. The company operates in three segments: Performance & Health; Tactics & Coaching; and Media & Other.
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Catapult Sports Ltd, a sports science and analytics company, engages in the development and supply of technologies that improve the performance of athletes and sports teams in Australia, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and the Americas. The company operates in three segments: Performance & Health; Tactics & Coaching; and Media & Other. It engages in the development and sale of performance and health technology solutions, including wearable tracking and analytics, and athlete monitoring software solutions; tactical and coaching technology solutions comprising design. development, and supply of video analysis, editing, and publishing software solutions; and athlete management platform and analytics, as well as development and growth of a subscription online sport learning platform. The company also offers media licensing, athlete management, and professional services. It serves sporting teams, leagues, and associations, as well as prosumer athletes. The company was formerly known as Catapult Group International Ltd and changed its name to Catapult Sports Ltd in August 2025. Catapult Sports Ltd was founded in 2006 and is based in Richmond, Australia.
Stock analysis
Catapult Group International Limited (CAZGF) currently trades at $2.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.76, 16.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $1.90 per share, and 0 of the 10 models we run sit above the $2.11 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.4600, and 10 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $1.07 (bear) to $2.93 (bull), the price of $2.11 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Catapult Group International Limited reported revenue of $147M in FY2026 versus $77.0M in FY2022, a compound +17.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$25.0M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap $706M · P/S ratio 5.02 · EPS (TTM) $−0.1300 · Net margin −17.0% · Return on equity −16.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −12.1% · Operating margin −19.8% · Revenue (TTM) $141M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −17%, CAZGF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $1.07Fair Value $1.76Bull $2.93
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+26.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.7%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +27.5% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+35.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−17.0% (2021) → −15.5% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+14.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+21.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +12.0% a year for the price and +18.4% for the forecasts.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Scientific & Technical Instruments · 154 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Catapult Group International Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CAZGF
Frequently asked questions
Is Catapult Group International Limited (CAZGF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.76 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $2.11, about −17% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CAZGF?
Our model-based fair value for Catapult Group International Limited is $1.76 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $2.11.
What is the quality score of CAZGF?
Catapult Group International Limited has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Catapult Group International Limited (CAZGF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.76 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.07, optimistic scenario $2.93. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Catapult Group International Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.76, about −17% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $2.11 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.07, optimistic scenario $2.93. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Catapult Group International Limited (CAZGF)?
Catapult Group International Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $141M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Catapult Group International Limited (CAZGF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Catapult Group International Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +14.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +15.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CAZGF use?
Our models discount Catapult Group International Limited at 11.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.10, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Catapult Group International Limited that is +14.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Catapult Group International Limited (CAZGF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Catapult Group International Limited grew +15.7 % a year. The price currently implies +14.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Catapult Group International Limited (CAZGF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Catapult Group International Limited (+14.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Catapult Group International Limited (CAZGF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.38 %: that much free cash flow Catapult Group International Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Catapult Group International Limited (CAZGF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Catapult Group International Limited it is $1.76 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $2.11. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Catapult Group International Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, CAZGF trades above its calculated fair value: price $2.11, fair value $1.76, a gap of about −17% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CAZGF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.11); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.76). For Catapult Group International Limited the two are $0.3500 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Catapult Group International Limited worth?
The market values Catapult Group International Limited at about $706M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $2.11; our models calculate a fair value of $1.76 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CAZGF?
Our models span a range for Catapult Group International Limited: cautious scenario $1.07, base $1.76, optimistic $2.93 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $2.11). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Catapult Group International Limited (CAZGF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Catapult Group International Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −16.3%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CAZGF from its 52-week high?
Catapult Group International Limited trades at $2.11, about 56% below its 52-week high of $4.80 and 6% above the low of $1.99 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.76 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Catapult Group International Limited?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Keysight Technologies, Inc, Coherent Corp, Garmin Ltd, Chroma ATE Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Catapult Group International Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $2.11, calculated fair value $1.76 (−17%), Quality Score 35/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CAZGF calculated?
We run Catapult Group International Limited through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.76, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Catapult Group International Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Catapult Group International Limited (CAZGF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $2.11. Our model-based fair value is $1.76, about −17% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Catapult Group International Limited right now?
Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide ($1.07 to $2.93). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Catapult Group International Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Catapult Group International Limited (CAZGF)?
The market capitalisation of Catapult Group International Limited is $706M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Catapult Group International Limited (CAZGF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Catapult Group International Limited is 5.02 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Catapult Group International Limited (CAZGF)?
Earnings per share at Catapult Group International Limited are $−0.1300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Catapult Group International Limited (CAZGF)?
The net margin of Catapult Group International Limited is −17.0% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Catapult Group International Limited (CAZGF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Catapult Group International Limited is −16.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Catapult Group International Limited (CAZGF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Catapult Group International Limited is −12.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Catapult Group International Limited (CAZGF)?
The operating margin of Catapult Group International Limited is −19.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Catapult Group International Limited (CAZGF)?
Revenue at Catapult Group International Limited is growing +24.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +20.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net cash does Catapult Group International Limited (CAZGF) hold?
Catapult Group International Limited holds more cash than debt, $48.6M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026