Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (CBO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd A$1.73, price A$2.88, upside -39.9%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$1.08 – A$4.40 · fair‑value band A$1.23 – A$2.25 · the A$2.88 price screens above the A$1.73 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Cobram Estate Olives Limited engages in production and marketing of olive oil in Australia, the United States, and internationally. Its olive farming assets include various olive trees of freehold farmland in Victoria; and long-term leased and freehold properties in California.
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Cobram Estate Olives Limited engages in production and marketing of olive oil in Australia, the United States, and internationally. Its olive farming assets include various olive trees of freehold farmland in Victoria; and long-term leased and freehold properties in California. The company is also involved in olive farming; and owns olive tree nursery, olive mills, olive oil bottling and storage facilities, and olives laboratory. In addition, it sells online olive leaf teas and refined olive oil. It sells its products under the Cobram Estate, Red Island, Modern Olives, Oliv.iQ, and Olive Wellness Institute brand names. The company was formerly known as Boundary Bend Limited. Cobram Estate Olives Limited was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Lara, Australia.
Stock analysis
Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (CBO) currently trades at A$2.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$1.73, implying the stock looks roughly 66.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of A$1.80 per share, and 1 of the 16 models we run sit above the A$2.88 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at A$0.1800, and 15 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: A$1.23 (bear) to A$2.25 (bull), the price of A$2.88 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Cobram Estate Olives Ltd reported revenue of A$242M in FY2025 versus A$140M in FY2021, a compound +14.6%/yr. Reported net income was A$49.6M in FY2025, compounding +9.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap A$1.6B (≈ $1.1B) · P/E ratio 28.8 · P/S ratio 5.91 · EPS (TTM) A$0.1000 · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin 20.5% · Return on equity 10.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −2% fair-value upside, at −40%, CBO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$1.23Fair Value A$1.73Bull A$2.25
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0550 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.51/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.6% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
≈ +16.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+14.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.15% vs −2%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−18% → 26%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 8.3%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
⚠ Approximate: the rate leans on 2025, which sits 271% above its own trend.
Compare Cobram Estate Olives Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 667 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score48 · Below median
Fair Value upside−40% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10% · Above median
Return on assets6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)18% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−7% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.6% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.70× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)28.8× · Priciest 25%
P/B3.14× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)4.91× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA12.9× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 30
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 19
PAST (return on equity)41· sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)65· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)31· sector 58
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (CBO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$1.73 versus a price of A$2.88, about −40% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CBO?
Our model-based fair value for Cobram Estate Olives Ltd is A$1.73 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$2.88.
What is the quality score of CBO?
Cobram Estate Olives Ltd has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (CBO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$1.73 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$1.23, optimistic scenario A$2.25. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cobram Estate Olives Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$1.73, about −40% upside versus a price of A$2.88 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$1.23, optimistic scenario A$2.25. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (CBO)?
Cobram Estate Olives Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$234M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Cobram Estate Olives Ltd pay a dividend?
Cobram Estate Olives Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.56% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (CBO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cobram Estate Olives Ltd it is A$1.73 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$2.88. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Cobram Estate Olives Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, CBO trades above its calculated fair value: price A$2.88, fair value A$1.73, a gap of about −40% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CBO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$2.88); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$1.73). For Cobram Estate Olives Ltd the two are A$1.15 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cobram Estate Olives Ltd worth?
The market values Cobram Estate Olives Ltd at about A$1.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$2.88; our models calculate a fair value of A$1.73 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CBO?
Our models span a range for Cobram Estate Olives Ltd: cautious scenario A$1.23, base A$1.73, optimistic A$2.25 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$2.88). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CBO?
Cobram Estate Olives Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 28.8 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$1.73 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.1, P/S 4.9, EV/EBITDA 12.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (CBO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 10.2%, debt of 0.70 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CBO from its 52-week high?
Cobram Estate Olives Ltd trades at A$2.88, about 35% below its 52-week high of A$4.40 and 4% above the low of A$2.78 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$1.73 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cobram Estate Olives Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, The Kraft Heinz Company, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cobram Estate Olives Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$2.88, calculated fair value A$1.73 (−40%), Quality Score 48/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CBO calculated?
We run Cobram Estate Olives Ltd through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$1.73, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Cobram Estate Olives Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (CBO)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was A$2.88. Our model-based fair value is A$1.73, about −40% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Cobram Estate Olives Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$2.25). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (A$1.23 to A$2.25) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (CBO)?
The market capitalisation of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd is A$1.6B (≈ $1.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (CBO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd is 5.91 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (CBO)?
Earnings per share at Cobram Estate Olives Ltd are A$0.1000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 28.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (CBO)?
The dividend yield of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd is 1.6% (payout 45.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (CBO)?
The net margin of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd is 20.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (CBO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd is 10.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (CBO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd is 0.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (CBO)?
The operating margin of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd is −5.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (CBO)?
Revenue at Cobram Estate Olives Ltd is growing −7.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +20.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (CBO)?
Earnings per share at Cobram Estate Olives Ltd are growing +108% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (CBO) generate?
The free cash flow of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd is −A$23.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (CBO) carry?
The net debt of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd is A$273M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 23, 2026