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Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (CBO) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd stock A$0.59, price A$2.77, that is 78.7% below the price, quality 14 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Defensive AU · ISIN AU0000167066

CE Cobram Estate Olives Ltd logo Thin data Nov 5, 2026

Cobram Estate Olives Ltd

CBO · AU
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 79% below what the stock costs today.

Revenue last quarter +31% vs. a year ago.
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +14.0 %/yr in AUD)
Moderate debt
1.6% dividend yield · Watch coverage
Fair value A$0.5900 · Strongly overvalued
Quality 14/100
Loss-making · -1.6% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/12)
Narrow moat 38/100 · thin data
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$4.40 A$1.08 Fair Value A$0.5900 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$1.08 – A$4.40 · fair‑value band A$0.4400 – A$0.8800 · the A$2.77 price screens above the A$0.5900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.

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Company profile

Cobram Estate Olives Limited engages in production and marketing of olive oil in Australia, the United States, and internationally. Its olive farming assets include various olive trees of freehold farmland in Victoria; and long-term leased and freehold properties in California.

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The company is also involved in olive farming; and owns olive tree nursery, olive mills, olive oil bottling and storage facilities, and olives laboratory. In addition, it sells online olive leaf teas and refined olive oil.

It sells its products under the Cobram Estate, Red Island, Modern Olives, Oliv.iQ, and Olive Wellness Institute brand names. The company was formerly known as Boundary Bend Limited. Cobram Estate Olives Limited was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Lara, Australia.

Stock analysis

Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (CBO) currently trades at A$2.77, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.5900, 79% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: A$0.4400 (bear) to A$0.8800 (bull), the price of A$2.77 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 14/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Cobram Estate Olives Ltd reported revenue of A$269M in FY2026 versus A$140M in FY2022, a compound +17.8%/yr. Reported net income was −A$4.2M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$1.3B (≈ $914M) Small · P/S ratio 4.61 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100 · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin −1.6% · Return on equity −1.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.8% (5-year average) · Operating margin 25.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at −79%, CBO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.4400 Fair Value A$0.5900 Bull A$0.8800
Price A$2.77 · Downside -78.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) A$0.4400 A$0.5900 A$0.8800 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.4400 A$0.5900 A$0.8800 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 14/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 10
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 12
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 6
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 32
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 66
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 18
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 16
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 17
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.0%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.2% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−8.8% (2021) → −5.3% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

CBO screens overvalued: fair value 79% below the price. Compare with Nestlé S.A →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 625 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 14 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −78.7% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −0.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −1.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 25.1% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 30.9% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 1.6% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.84× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.56× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 4.92× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 28.9× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 35
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 25
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)58 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)32 · sector 55

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Wilmar International Limited F34 2.97 SGD 4.93 SGD +66% vs CBO
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 ¥31.45 ¥41.84 +33% vs CBO
The Kraft Heinz Company KHC $24.61 $29.20 +19% vs CBO
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 ¥35.78 ¥39.22 +10% vs CBO
General Mills, Inc GIS $35.51 $35.30 −1% vs CBO
Danone S.A BN €67.12 €50.65 −25% vs CBO
Nestlé S.A NESN CHF 85.85 CHF 59.51 −31% vs CBO
Kerry Group KRZ €98.00 €60.33 −38% vs CBO
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,282 ₹724.74 −43% vs CBO
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 ¥26.21 ¥12.21 −53% vs CBO

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Cobram Estate Olives Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cobram Estate Olives Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CBO

Frequently asked questions

Is Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (CBO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.5900 versus a price of A$2.77, about 79% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CBO?
Our model-based fair value for Cobram Estate Olives Ltd is A$0.5900 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$2.77.
What is the quality score of CBO?
Cobram Estate Olives Ltd has a Quality Score of 14/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (CBO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.5900 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.4400, optimistic scenario A$0.8800. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cobram Estate Olives Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.5900, about 79% lower versus a price of A$2.77 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.4400, optimistic scenario A$0.8800. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (CBO)?
Cobram Estate Olives Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$270M (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Cobram Estate Olives Ltd pay a dividend?
Cobram Estate Olives Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 1.62% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (CBO) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Cobram Estate Olives Ltd pays a dividend of A$0.045 per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.6%. The last ex-dividend date was Oct 15, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2021. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (CBO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cobram Estate Olives Ltd it is A$0.5900 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of A$2.77. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Cobram Estate Olives Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, CBO trades above its calculated fair value: price A$2.77, fair value A$0.5900, a gap of about −79% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CBO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$2.77); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.5900). For Cobram Estate Olives Ltd the two are A$2.18 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cobram Estate Olives Ltd worth?
The market values Cobram Estate Olives Ltd at about A$1.3B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is A$2.77; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.5900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CBO?
Our models span a range for Cobram Estate Olives Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.4400, base A$0.5900, optimistic A$0.8800 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price A$2.77). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (CBO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity −1.0%, debt of 0.84 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 14/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CBO from its 52-week high?
Cobram Estate Olives Ltd trades at A$2.77, about 37% below its 52-week high of A$4.40 and 9% above the low of A$2.54 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.5900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cobram Estate Olives Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cobram Estate Olives Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price A$2.77, calculated fair value A$0.5900 (−79%), Quality Score 14/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CBO calculated?
We run Cobram Estate Olives Ltd through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.5900 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Cobram Estate Olives Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (CBO)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was A$2.77. Our model-based fair value is A$0.5900, about 79% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Cobram Estate Olives Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.8800). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (14/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (A$0.4400 to A$0.8800) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (CBO)?
The market capitalisation of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd is A$1.3B (≈ $914M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (CBO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd is 4.61 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (CBO)?
Earnings per share at Cobram Estate Olives Ltd are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (CBO)?
The dividend yield of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd is 1.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (CBO)?
The net margin of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd is −1.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (CBO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd is −1.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (CBO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd is 0.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (CBO)?
The operating margin of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd is 25.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (CBO)?
Revenue at Cobram Estate Olives Ltd is growing +30.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (CBO)?
Earnings per share at Cobram Estate Olives Ltd are growing −87.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (CBO) generate?
The free cash flow of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd is −A$98.9M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Cobram Estate Olives Ltd (CBO) carry?
The net debt of Cobram Estate Olives Ltd is A$500M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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