Celtic plc (CCPA) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · GB · Market cap 185M GBX
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from £4.54 to £5.03 (+10.8%) since Jul 15, 2026. Share price −3.4% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 118% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (£3.11). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The model range is unusually wide (£3.11 to £9.22). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid quality (61/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.2337 – £2.55 · fair‑value band £3.11 – £9.22 · the £2.31 price screens below the £5.03 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Celtic plc (CCPA) currently trades at £2.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £5.03, implying the stock looks roughly 117.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Celtic plc generated revenue of £120M at a net margin of 9.1%. Revenue declined 28.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of £72.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £3.11 (bear case) to £9.22 (bull case); at £2.31, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -52% fair-value upside, at 118%, CCPA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (£7.09) versus Dividend Discount (£0.0600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Celtic plc, together with its subsidiaries, operates a professional football club in the United Kingdom. It operates through three segments: Football and Stadium Operations; Merchandising; and Multimedia and Other Commercial Activities.
Full company description
Celtic plc, together with its subsidiaries, operates a professional football club in the United Kingdom. It operates through three segments: Football and Stadium Operations; Merchandising; and Multimedia and Other Commercial Activities. The company is involved in the operation of a professional football club activities, including football operations and investment; operation of the Celtic FC Youth Academy; match ticketing; merchandising; partner programs; marketing and brand protection; multimedia; stadium operations; facilities and property; catering and hospitality; public and supporter relations; and human resources. It also engages in retail, wholesale, and e-commerce activities, as well as sale of rights and sponsorships. The company was formerly known as The Celtic Football and Athletic Company Limited and changed its name to Celtic plc in December 1994. Celtic plc was founded in 1887 and is based in Glasgow, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Celtic plc reported revenue of £144M in FY2025 versus £60.8M in FY2021, a compound +24.0%/yr. Reported net income was £33.9M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Entertainment · 265 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netflix, Inc ZNFL | C$6.77 | C$2.96 | -56% |
| The Walt Disney Company DIS | $96.30 | $89.55 | -7% |
| Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD | $26.87 | $9.13 | -66% |
| Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV | $178.44 | $46.89 | -74% |
| Universal Music Group UMG | €18.91 | €14.78 | -22% |
| TKO Group TKO | $184.40 | $22.16 | -88% |
| Empresas Cablevisión, S.A. CABLECPO | 55.00 MXN | 60.49 MXN | +10% |
| Beijing Enlight Media Co 300251 | ¥11.77 | ¥10.97 | -7% |
| PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, MSIN | 456.00 IDR | 221.09 IDR | -52% |
| Prime Focus Limited PFOCUS | ₹298.25 | ₹63.45 | -79% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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