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Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira (CEDO3) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 8, 2026: fair value of Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira BRL 18.53, price BRL 7.01, upside +164.3%, quality 29 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · BR · ISIN BRCEDOACNOR8

CD Thin data Oct 4, 2026

Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira

CEDO3 · SA

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

Fair value R$18.53 · Strongly undervalued (+164.3%)
Moderate debt
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Quality 29/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y +6.0 %/yr in BRL)
Loss-making · -6.3% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 22/100
Thin data

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

R$39.00 R$5.45 Fair Value R$18.53 May 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R$5.45 – R$39.00 · fair‑value band R$13.83 – R$27.65 · the R$7.01 price screens below the R$18.53 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Companhia de Fiação e Tecidos Cedro e Cachoeira S.A. produces and sells jeans, denim, and fabrics for the jeanswear and workwear in Brazil and internationally. The company was founded in 1872 and is headquartered in Belo Horizonte, Brazil.

Stock analysis

Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira (CEDO3) currently trades at R$7.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$18.53, implying the stock looks roughly 62.2% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of R$65.70 per share, and 6 of the 6 models we run sit above the R$7.01 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at R$18.58, and 0 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: R$13.83 (bear) to R$27.65 (bull), the price of R$7.01 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira reported revenue of R$829M in FY2025 versus R$954M in FY2021, a compound −3.5%/yr. Reported net income was −R$32.7M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap R$90.1M (≈ $17.9M) · P/S ratio 0.12 · EPS (TTM) R$−4.43 · Net margin −3.9% · Return on equity −17.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.6% · Operating margin 6.0% · Revenue (TTM) R$772M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at 164%, CEDO3 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear R$13.83 Fair Value R$18.53 Bull R$27.65
Price R$7.01 · Upside +164.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV R$20.00 R$26.81 R$32.68 72
ROIC Compounder R$20.00 R$26.81 R$35.79 68
EV/EBITDA R$43.50 R$65.70 R$87.90 65
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV R$20.00 R$26.81 R$32.68 72
Multiples
EV/EBIT R$48.02 R$71.73 R$95.44 64
EV/EBITDA R$43.50 R$65.70 R$87.90 65
EV/Revenue R$24.84 R$45.39 R$65.93 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R$13.87 R$18.58 R$27.74 52
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder R$20.00 R$26.81 R$35.79 68

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 12
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 18
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 63
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 4
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 19/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−20.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.7% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−2.3% (2020) → 6.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Textile Manufacturing · 334 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 1.9% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −6.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 6.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −7.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.84× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.06× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.02× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 6.0× · Cheaper than median
PEG 2.86× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 6
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 36
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)58 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 37

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Shenzhou International Group 2313 HK$34.08 HK$71.99 +111% vs CEDO3
Ruentex Industries Ltd 2915 58.30 TWD 106.63 TWD +83% vs CEDO3
Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 ¥12.80 ¥14.35 +12% vs CEDO3
Sasa Polyester Sanayi A.S. SASA 1.93 TRY 1.96 TRY +2% vs CEDO3
Far Eastern New Century Corporation 1402 28.15 TWD 24.92 TWD −11% vs CEDO3
K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL ₹1,106 ₹901.34 −19% vs CEDO3
Tongkun Group 601233 ¥23.26 ¥14.53 −38% vs CEDO3
Zhejiang Orient Holdings 600120 ¥4.65 ¥2.40 −48% vs CEDO3
Albany International Corp AIN $59.61 $25.00 −58% vs CEDO3
Welspun Living Limited WELSPUNLIV ₹239.17 ₹47.77 −80% vs CEDO3

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CEDO3

Frequently asked questions

Is Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira (CEDO3) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$18.53 versus a price of R$7.01, about +164% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CEDO3?
Our model-based fair value for Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira is R$18.53 (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$7.01.
What is the quality score of CEDO3?
Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira (CEDO3)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$18.53 (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$13.83, optimistic scenario R$27.65. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$18.53, about +164% upside versus a price of R$7.01 (undervalued). Cautious scenario R$13.83, optimistic scenario R$27.65. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira (CEDO3)?
Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$772M (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira (CEDO3)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira it is R$18.53 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of R$7.01. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, CEDO3 trades below its calculated fair value: price R$7.01, fair value R$18.53, a gap of about +164% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CEDO3?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$7.01); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$18.53). For Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira the two are R$11.52 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira worth?
The market values Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira at about R$90.1M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is R$7.01; our models calculate a fair value of R$18.53 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CEDO3?
Our models span a range for Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira: cautious scenario R$13.83, base R$18.53, optimistic R$27.65 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price R$7.01). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of CEDO3?
The PEG ratio of Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira is 2.86 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 4, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira (CEDO3)?
Balance-sheet figures for Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity −17.4%, debt of 0.84 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CEDO3 from its 52-week high?
Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira trades at R$7.01, about 53% below its 52-week high of R$15.01 and 17% above the low of R$6.00 (as of Oct 8, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$18.53 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tongkun Group, Shenzhou International Group, Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co, Far Eastern New Century Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price R$7.01, calculated fair value R$18.53 (+164%), Quality Score 29/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CEDO3 calculated?
We run Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$18.53, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira currently trades 62 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira (CEDO3)?
The closing price on Oct 8, 2026 was R$7.01. Our model-based fair value is R$18.53, about +164% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (29/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (R$13.83). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (R$13.83 to R$27.65) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira

How large is the market capitalisation of Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira (CEDO3)?
The market capitalisation of Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira is R$90.1M (≈ $17.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira (CEDO3)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira is 0.12 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira (CEDO3)?
Earnings per share at Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira are R$−4.43. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira (CEDO3)?
The net margin of Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira is −3.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira (CEDO3)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira is −17.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira (CEDO3)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira is 10.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira (CEDO3)?
The operating margin of Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira is 6.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira (CEDO3)?
Revenue at Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira is growing −7.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −12.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira (CEDO3)?
Earnings per share at Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira are growing −69.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira (CEDO3) generate?
The free cash flow of Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira is −R$2.2M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira (CEDO3) carry?
The net debt of Companhia de Fiacao e Tecidos Cedro Cachoeira is R$421M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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