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SC Cemacon SA (CEON) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · RO · Market cap 407M RON

SC SC Cemacon SA CEON · RO
Price0.4350 RON
Fair Value0.0900 RON
Upside-79.3%
Quality30/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 5.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 24/100
Evidence: Medium Range 0.0700 RON – 0.1100 RON Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from 0.4200 RON to 0.0900 RON (−78.6%) since Jun 24, 2026.

Below-average quality, and screening another 79% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.1100 RON). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

0.8680 RON 0.3640 RON Fair Value 0.0900 RON Jan 2021 May 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.3640 RON – 0.8680 RON · fair‑value band 0.0700 RON – 0.1100 RON · the 0.4350 RON price screens above the 0.0900 RON fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

SC Cemacon SA (CEON) currently trades at 0.4350 RON, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0900 RON, implying the stock looks roughly 79.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, SC Cemacon SA generated revenue of 194M RON at a net margin of 5.0%. Revenue declined 14.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.5%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 43.5. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.0700 RON (bear case) to 0.1100 RON (bull case); at 0.4350 RON, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -79%, CEON screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder 0.2000 RON 0.2300 RON 0.2500 RON 72
Growth-Adj P/E 0.3000 RON 0.4200 RON 0.5500 RON 68
P/E Multiple 0.4200 RON 0.5600 RON 0.7000 RON 63
All 11 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.1900 RON 0.2300 RON 0.2600 RON 54
EPV 0.2000 RON 0.2300 RON 0.2500 RON 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 0.4200 RON 0.5600 RON 0.7000 RON 63
P/S Multiple 0.3600 RON 0.4800 RON 0.5900 RON 58
P/B Multiple 0.3600 RON 0.4800 RON 0.5900 RON 55
EV/EBIT 0.4100 RON 0.5400 RON 0.6700 RON 53
EV/Revenue 0.2800 RON 0.4000 RON 0.5100 RON 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.2200 RON 0.2900 RON 0.4300 RON 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.3200 RON 0.3300 RON 0.3200 RON 61
ROIC Compounder 0.2000 RON 0.2300 RON 0.2500 RON 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 0.3000 RON 0.4200 RON 0.5500 RON 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (0.4800 RON) versus Earnings-Based (0.2300 RON). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 194M RON
Revenue growth (YoY) -14.8%
Net margin 5.0%
Return on equity 2.5%
Free cash flow −17.0M RON FY2023
P/E ratio 43.5
More key figures
Operating margin -10.0%
EPS (TTM) 0.0100 RON

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 15
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 66
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

SC Cemacon SA, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells fired clay bricks, tiles and other construction products. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Cluj-Napoca, Romania. SC Cemacon SA is a subsidiary of Dedeman S.R.L.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2023 · reported fiscal years

SC Cemacon SA reported revenue of 185M RON in FY2023 versus 125M RON in FY2020, a compound +14.0%/yr. Reported net income was 26.2M RON in FY2023, compounding +5.1%/yr from FY2020.

Growth Quality 38/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2023)
185M RON
Latest YoY
−16.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.0%
Revenue +14.0%/yr
FY20 125M RON
FY21 176M RON
FY22 221M RON
FY23 185M RON
Net income +5.1%/yr
FY20 22.5M RON
FY21 54.9M RON
FY22 71.6M RON
FY23 26.2M RON

CEON screens 79% overvalued. Compare with CRH plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SC Cemacon SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CEON

Peer Group

Building Materials · 253 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −79% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) -10% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -15% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.17× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 43.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.22× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.46× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 2.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 27
FUTURE 0 · sector 2
PAST 10 · sector 15
HEALTH 91 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 42

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CRH plc CRH $102.92 $70.57 -31%
UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO ₹11,711 ₹4,719 -60%
China Jushi Co 600176 ¥54.52 ¥13.95 -74%
Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM ₹3,073 ₹1,245 -59%
CEMEX, S.A. CEMEXCPO 21.71 MXN 15.42 MXN -29%
Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 ¥16.99 ¥26.14 +54%
Ambuja Cements Limited AMBUJACEM ₹435.25 ₹227.96 -48%
Shree Cement Limited SHREECEM ₹26,930 ₹8,215 -69%
TCC Group 1101B 43.70 TWD 10.48 TWD -76%
Taiwan Glass Ind. Corp 1802 53.30 TWD 13.98 TWD -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is SC Cemacon SA (CEON) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.0900 RON versus a price of 0.4350 RON, about −79% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CEON?
Our model-based fair value for SC Cemacon SA is 0.0900 RON (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 0.4350 RON.
What is the quality score of CEON?
SC Cemacon SA has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of SC Cemacon SA (CEON)?
SC Cemacon SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 194M RON (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CEON?
The net profit margin of SC Cemacon SA is about 5.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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