China Gold International Resources (CGG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of China Gold International Resources C$47.44, price C$40.80, upside +16.3%, quality 87 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$2.60 – C$48.40 · fair‑value band C$26.36 – C$61.68 · the C$40.80 price screens below the C$47.44 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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China Gold International Resources Corp. Ltd., a gold and base metal mining company, acquires, explores, develops, and mines mineral resources in the People's Republic of China and Canada.
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China Gold International Resources Corp. Ltd., a gold and base metal mining company, acquires, explores, develops, and mines mineral resources in the People's Republic of China and Canada. It holds 96.5% interest in the Chang Shan Hao gold mine (CSH mine) located in Inner Mongolia, China; and holds 100% interest in the Jiama copper-gold polymetallic mine that hosts copper, gold, molybdenum, silver, lead, and zinc metals located in Tibet, China. The company also engages in logistics and transport-related businesses, and investment holding activity, as well as operates an issuer of bonds. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
Stock analysis
China Gold International Resources (CGG) currently trades at C$40.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$47.44, implying the stock looks roughly 14.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of C$34.78 per share, and 3 of the 26 models we run sit above the C$40.80 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at C$10.85, and 23 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: C$26.36 (bear) to C$61.68 (bull), the price of C$40.80 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 87/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
China Gold International Resources reported revenue of $1.3B in FY2025 versus $1.1B in FY2021, a compound +3.6%/yr. Reported net income was $467M in FY2025, compounding +15.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap C$16.2B (≈ $11.5B) · P/E ratio 18.5 · P/S ratio 6.58 · EPS (TTM) C$2.21 · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin 35.6% · Return on equity 29.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 90% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at 16%, CGG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear C$26.36Fair Value C$47.44Bull C$61.68
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (C$1.15 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.80/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+73.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +14.4% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+39.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+22.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+21.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.20% vs 28%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.18% → 44%
2025 sits 227% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+10.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +8.2% a year for the price.
Compare China Gold International Resources with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Precious Metals & Mining · 102 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score87 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+16% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)29% · Top 25%
Return on assets14% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)41% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)60% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth66% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.6% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.13× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Gold International Resources Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CGG
Frequently asked questions
Is China Gold International Resources (CGG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$47.44 versus a price of C$40.80, about +16% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CGG?
Our model-based fair value for China Gold International Resources is C$47.44 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$40.80.
What is the quality score of CGG?
China Gold International Resources has a Quality Score of 87/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Gold International Resources (CGG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$47.44 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$26.36, optimistic scenario C$61.68. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Gold International Resources stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$47.44, about +16% upside versus a price of C$40.80 (undervalued). Cautious scenario C$26.36, optimistic scenario C$61.68. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Gold International Resources (CGG)?
China Gold International Resources reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does China Gold International Resources pay a dividend?
China Gold International Resources currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.57% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into China Gold International Resources (CGG)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, China Gold International Resources would have to grow free cash flow by +10.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.7 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CGG use?
Our models discount China Gold International Resources at 11.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.71, country premium for Canada. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For China Gold International Resources that is +10.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has China Gold International Resources (CGG) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at China Gold International Resources grew +8.7 % a year. The price currently implies +10.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of China Gold International Resources (CGG) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into China Gold International Resources (+10.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of China Gold International Resources (CGG)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.58 %: that much free cash flow China Gold International Resources produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of China Gold International Resources (CGG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Gold International Resources it is C$47.44 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of C$40.80. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China Gold International Resources stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, CGG trades below its calculated fair value: price C$40.80, fair value C$47.44, a gap of about +16% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CGG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$40.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$47.44). For China Gold International Resources the two are C$6.64 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Gold International Resources worth?
The market values China Gold International Resources at about C$16.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is C$40.80; our models calculate a fair value of C$47.44 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CGG?
Our models span a range for China Gold International Resources: cautious scenario C$26.36, base C$47.44, optimistic C$61.68 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price C$40.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CGG?
China Gold International Resources trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.5 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of C$47.44 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 5.0, P/S 7.7, EV/EBITDA 12.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Gold International Resources (CGG)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Gold International Resources (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 29.2%, debt of 0.13 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 87/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CGG from its 52-week high?
China Gold International Resources trades at C$40.80, about 16% below its 52-week high of C$48.40 and 90% above the low of C$21.47 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$47.44 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Gold International Resources?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk, Hecla Mining Company, Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A., Sibanye Stillwater Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Gold International Resources stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price C$40.80, calculated fair value C$47.44 (+16%), Quality Score 87/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CGG calculated?
We run China Gold International Resources through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$47.44, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. China Gold International Resources currently trades 16 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Gold International Resources (CGG)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was C$40.80. Our model-based fair value is C$47.44, about +16% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Gold International Resources right now?
A fairly wide model range (C$26.36 to C$61.68) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of China Gold International Resources
How large is the market capitalisation of China Gold International Resources (CGG)?
The market capitalisation of China Gold International Resources is C$16.2B (≈ $11.5B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Gold International Resources (CGG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Gold International Resources is 6.58 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China Gold International Resources (CGG)?
Earnings per share at China Gold International Resources are C$2.21 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 18.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of China Gold International Resources (CGG)?
The dividend yield of China Gold International Resources is 1.6% (payout 29.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of China Gold International Resources (CGG)?
The net margin of China Gold International Resources is 35.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Gold International Resources (CGG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Gold International Resources is 29.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Gold International Resources (CGG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Gold International Resources is 8.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Gold International Resources (CGG)?
The operating margin of China Gold International Resources is 59.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Gold International Resources (CGG)?
Revenue at China Gold International Resources is growing +66.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Gold International Resources (CGG)?
Earnings per share at China Gold International Resources are growing +175% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does China Gold International Resources (CGG) carry?
The net debt of China Gold International Resources is $148M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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