China Gold International Resources Corp (CGG) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CA · Market cap C$9.8B
Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price +56.4% over the past month.
A strong business, but screening 52% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 87/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The model range is unusually wide (C$13.77 to C$40.39). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$2.60 – C$42.20 · fair‑value band C$13.77 – C$40.39 · the C$38.59 price screens above the C$18.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
Analysis
China Gold International Resources Corp (CGG) currently trades at C$38.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$18.48, implying the stock looks roughly 52.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 87/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, China Gold International Resources Corp generated revenue of C$1.5B at a net margin of 41.3%. Revenue grew 66.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 29.2%. Net debt stands at C$148M. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$13.77 (bear case) to C$40.39 (bull case); at C$38.59, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 242% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -52%, CGG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (C$50.72) versus Dividend Discount (C$1.21). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 82 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China Gold International Resources Corp. Ltd., a gold and base metal mining company, acquires, explores, develops, and mines mineral resources in the People's Republic of China and Canada.
Full company description
China Gold International Resources Corp. Ltd., a gold and base metal mining company, acquires, explores, develops, and mines mineral resources in the People's Republic of China and Canada. It holds 96.5% interest in the Chang Shan Hao gold mine (CSH mine) located in Inner Mongolia, China; and holds 100% interest in the Jiama copper-gold polymetallic mine that hosts copper, gold, molybdenum, silver, lead, and zinc metals located in Tibet, China. The company also engages in logistics and transport-related businesses, and investment holding activity, as well as operates an issuer of bonds. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Gold International Resources Corp reported revenue of C$1.3B in FY2025 versus C$1.1B in FY2021, a compound +3.6%/yr. Reported net income was C$467M in FY2025, compounding +15.0%/yr from FY2021.
CGG screens 52% overvalued. Compare with Fresnillo plc →
Peer Group
Other Precious Metals & Mining · 102 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Precious Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fresnillo plc FRES | 579.75 MXN | 558.30 MXN | -4% |
| Hecla Mining Company HL | $14.52 | $8.15 | -44% |
| Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A. BVN | $29.82 | $29.96 | +0% |
| Sibanye Stillwater Limited SBSW | $8.12 | $9.90 | +22% |
| Artemis Gold Inc ARTG | C$32.98 | C$21.86 | -34% |
| Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp TFPM | $28.10 | $16.03 | -43% |
| Sino-Platinum Metals Co 600459 | ¥21.01 | ¥13.23 | -37% |
| Perpetua Resources Corp PPTA | C$26.10 | C$5.85 | -78% |
| Zhaojin International Gold Co 000506 | ¥13.15 | ¥2.84 | -78% |
| Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company 1322 | 74.05 SAR | 53.08 SAR | -28% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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