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Sibanye Stillwater Limited (SBSW) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $7.1B

SS Sibanye Stillwater Limited logo Sibanye Stillwater Limited SBSW · US
Price$8.00
Fair Value$9.90
Upside+23.8%
Quality43/100
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Evidence: High Range $7.46 – $12.87

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $332.40 to $9.90 (−97.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −21.2% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$20.56 $7.08 Fair Value $9.90 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $7.08 – $20.56 · fair‑value band $7.46 – $12.87 · the $8.00 price screens below the $9.90 fair value. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Sibanye Stillwater Limited (SBSW) currently trades at $8.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.90, implying the stock looks roughly 23.8% undervalued today. We read business quality at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Sibanye Stillwater Limited generated revenue of $130B at a net margin of -4.0%. Revenue grew 31.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -10.3%. Net debt stands at $27.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $7.46 (bear case) to $12.87 (bull case); at $8.00, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at 24%, SBSW screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $130B
Revenue growth (YoY) +31.6%
Net margin -4.0%
Return on equity -10.3%
Free cash flow $1.7B FY2025
Operating margin 13.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.4400
Dividend yield 3.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -38.2%
Net debt $27.2B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Sibanye Stillwater Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a precious metals mining company in South Africa, the United States, Europe, and Australia. The company produces gold; platinum group metals (PGMs), including palladium, platinum, rhodium, iridium, and ruthenium; chrome; lithium; zinc; nickel; and silver, cobalt, and copper. Sibanye Stillwater Limited was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Weltevredenpark, South Africa.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sibanye Stillwater Limited reported revenue of $120B in FY2025 versus $172B in FY2021, a compound −8.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$4.8B in FY2025.

Revenue −8.6%/yr
FY21 $172B
FY22 $138B
FY23 $114B
FY24 $112B
FY25 $120B
Net income
FY21 $33.1B
FY22 $18.4B
FY23 −$37.8B
FY24 −$7.3B
FY25 −$4.8B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sibanye Stillwater Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SBSW

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.

Similar stocks

10 more Other Precious Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fresnillo plc FRES 750.00 MXN 32.56 MXN -96%
Valterra Platinum Limited ANGPY $11.60 $8.73 -25%
Hecla Mining Company HCL €12.25 €9.99 -18%
Northam Platinum Holdings NPTLF $24.00 $3.74 -84%
Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A. BVN $32.58 $29.96 -8%
China Gold International Resources Corp JINFF $19.00 $18.48 -3%
Artemis Gold Inc ARTG C$32.95 C$14.87 -55%
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp TFPM $30.93 $15.76 -49%
Hochschild Mining plc HCHDF $7.67 $9.71 +27%
Sino-Platinum Metals Co 600459 ¥24.99 ¥13.34 -47%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sibanye Stillwater Limited (SBSW) undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $9.90 versus a price of $8.00, about +24% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of SBSW?
Our model-based fair value for Sibanye Stillwater Limited is $9.90 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $8.00.
What is the quality score of SBSW?
Sibanye Stillwater Limited has a Quality Score of 43/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Sibanye Stillwater Limited (SBSW)?
Sibanye Stillwater Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $130B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SBSW?
The net profit margin of Sibanye Stillwater Limited is about -4.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sibanye Stillwater Limited pay a dividend?
Sibanye Stillwater Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.15% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.