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Perpetua Resources Corp (PPTA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Perpetua Resources Corp $5.16, price $23.32, upside -77.9%, quality 26 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Basic Materials · US · Home Canada · ISIN CA7142661031

PR Perpetua Resources Corp logo Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Perpetua Resources Corp

PPTA · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $5.16 · Strongly overvalued (−78%)
!Quality 26/100
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/8)
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Insider activity 44/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$37.22 $1.70 Fair Value $5.16 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.70 – $37.22 · fair‑value band $3.41 – $6.45 · the $23.32 price screens above the $5.16 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Perpetua Resources Corp., a development-stage company, engages in the acquisition of mining properties in the United States. The company explores gold, silver, and antimony deposits.

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Perpetua Resources Corp., a development-stage company, engages in the acquisition of mining properties in the United States. The company explores gold, silver, and antimony deposits. Its principal mineral project is the 100% owned Stibnite Gold project, which includes 1,674 unpatented lode claims, mill sites, and patented land holdings covering an area of approximately 11,526 hectares located in Valley County, Idaho. The company was formerly known as Midas Gold Corp. and changed its name to Perpetua Resources Corp. in February 2021. Perpetua Resources Corp. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Boise, Idaho.

Stock analysis

Perpetua Resources Corp (PPTA) currently trades at $23.32, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.16, implying the stock looks roughly 351.9% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $3.41 (bear) to $6.45 (bull), the price of $23.32 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Perpetua Resources Corp reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$100M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $3.2B · EPS (TTM) $−2.08 · Return on equity −37.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −32.8% · Free cash flow −$118M · Net cash $773M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at −78%, PPTA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $3.41 Fair Value $5.16 Bull $6.45
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $3.44 $4.61 $6.89 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.44 $4.61 $6.89 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 26/100

Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 36
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 43
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 54
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 46
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

What shareholders gained per year We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

PPTA screens 352% overvalued. Compare with PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Precious Metals & Mining · 102 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 35 · Below median
Fair Value upside −78% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −26% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.01× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.77× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 94
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 31

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Precious Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk AMMN 4,710 IDR 875.56 IDR −81%
Hecla Mining Company HL $19.03 $16.28 −14%
Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A. BVN $34.70 $28.79 −17%
Sibanye Stillwater Limited SBSW $11.41 $15.10 +32%
China Gold International Resources Corp CGG C$43.13 C$47.44 +10%
Artemis Gold Inc ARTG C$41.59 C$15.84 −62%
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp TFPM $33.73 $32.40 −4%
PT Merdeka Battery Materials Tbk. MBMA 505.00 IDR 83.20 IDR −84%
Zhaojin International Gold Co 000506 ¥18.58 ¥2.01 −89%
Sino-Platinum Metals Co 600459 ¥19.23 ¥13.23 −31%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Perpetua Resources Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PPTA

Frequently asked questions

Is Perpetua Resources Corp (PPTA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.16 versus a price of $23.32, about −78% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PPTA?
Our model-based fair value for Perpetua Resources Corp is $5.16 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $23.32.
What is the quality score of PPTA?
Perpetua Resources Corp has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Perpetua Resources Corp (PPTA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $5.16 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.41, optimistic scenario $6.45. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Perpetua Resources Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $5.16, about −78% upside versus a price of $23.32 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $3.41, optimistic scenario $6.45. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Perpetua Resources Corp (PPTA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Perpetua Resources Corp it is $5.16 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $23.32. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Perpetua Resources Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, PPTA trades above its calculated fair value: price $23.32, fair value $5.16, a gap of about −78% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PPTA?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($23.32); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($5.16). For Perpetua Resources Corp the two are $18.16 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Perpetua Resources Corp worth?
The market values Perpetua Resources Corp at about $3.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $23.32; our models calculate a fair value of $5.16 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PPTA?
Our models span a range for Perpetua Resources Corp: cautious scenario $3.41, base $5.16, optimistic $6.45 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $23.32). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Perpetua Resources Corp (PPTA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Perpetua Resources Corp (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −37.8%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 26/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PPTA from its 52-week high?
Perpetua Resources Corp trades at $23.32, about 37% below its 52-week high of $37.22 and 38% above the low of $16.90 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $5.16 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Perpetua Resources Corp?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk, Hecla Mining Company, Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A., Sibanye Stillwater Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Perpetua Resources Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $23.32, calculated fair value $5.16 (−78%), Quality Score 26/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PPTA calculated?
We run Perpetua Resources Corp through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $5.16, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Perpetua Resources Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Perpetua Resources Corp (PPTA)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $23.32. Our model-based fair value is $5.16, about −78% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Perpetua Resources Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($6.45). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($3.41 to $6.45) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Perpetua Resources Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of Perpetua Resources Corp (PPTA)?
The market capitalisation of Perpetua Resources Corp is $3.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Perpetua Resources Corp (PPTA)?
Earnings per share at Perpetua Resources Corp are $−2.08. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Perpetua Resources Corp (PPTA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Perpetua Resources Corp is −37.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Perpetua Resources Corp (PPTA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Perpetua Resources Corp is −32.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Perpetua Resources Corp (PPTA) generate?
The free cash flow of Perpetua Resources Corp is −$118M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Perpetua Resources Corp (PPTA) hold?
Perpetua Resources Corp holds more cash than debt, $773M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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