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Chin Huay PCL (CH) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Chin Huay PCL stock THB 0.17, price THB 1.36, that is 87.5% below the price, quality 40 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 2 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Defensive TH

CH Chin Huay PCL logo Thin data Nov 3, 2026

Chin Huay PCL

CH · BK
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 88% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Quality 40/100
2.2% dividend yield · Watch coverage
Fair value 0.1700 THB · Strongly overvalued
Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.6 %/yr in THB)
Loss-making · -4.2% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 12/100 · thin data
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

5.04 THB 1.32 THB Fair Value 0.1700 THB Sep 2022 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

50‑month range 1.32 THB – 5.04 THB · fair‑value band 0.0340 THB – 0.3100 THB · the 1.36 THB price screens above the 0.1700 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 3, 2026.

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Company profile

Chin Huay Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes canned food, dried fruits, and fried vegetables and fruits. It operates in three segments: Canned Food, Dried Fruit, and Healthy Snacks.

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The company offers its products under the Sumaco, MeBle, Chinhuay, Eros, Bangkok Tasty, Khmer Tasty brands. It is also involved in investment in overseas market; and trading activities.

The company operates in Thailand, the United States, Japan, Canada, Italy, Mauritius, China, Hong Kong, the United Arab Emirates, India, Australia, New Zealand, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, Norway, and internationally.

Chin Huay Public Company Limited was founded in 1925 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

Stock analysis

Chin Huay PCL (CH) currently trades at 1.36 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.1700 THB, 88% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: 0.0340 THB (bear) to 0.3100 THB (bull), the price of 1.36 THB sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Chin Huay PCL reported revenue of 1.7B THB in FY2025 versus 1.4B THB in FY2021, a compound +4.0%/yr. Reported net income was −17.8M THB in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 1.1B THB (≈ $32.5M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.64 · EPS (TTM) −0.0900 THB · Dividend yield 2.2% · Net margin −4.2% · Return on equity −5.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.6% (5-year average) · Operating margin −5.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at −88%, CH screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 0.0340 THB Fair Value 0.1700 THB Bull 0.3100 THB
Price 1.36 THB · Downside -87.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EV/EBITDA 0.0300 THB 0.1700 THB 0.3100 THB 60
NCAV (Graham) 0.1900 THB 0.2800 THB 0.3500 THB 55
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA 0.0300 THB 0.1700 THB 0.3100 THB 60
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.1900 THB 0.2800 THB 0.3500 THB 55

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 23
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 7
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 66
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 84
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 77
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 28
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 7
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 6/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−25.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
6.9% (2020) → −1.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

CH screens overvalued: fair value 88% below the price. Compare with Nestlé S.A →

Compare Chin Huay PCL with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 625 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −87.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −0.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −4.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −5.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 12.7% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 2.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.09× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.87× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 0.63× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 35
FUTURE (revenue growth)64 · sector 25
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)95 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)44 · sector 55

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Wilmar International Limited F34 2.97 SGD 4.93 SGD +66% vs CH
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 ¥31.45 ¥41.84 +33% vs CH
The Kraft Heinz Company KHC $24.61 $29.20 +19% vs CH
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 ¥35.78 ¥39.22 +10% vs CH
General Mills, Inc GIS $35.51 $35.30 −1% vs CH
Danone S.A BN €67.12 €50.65 −25% vs CH
Nestlé S.A NESN CHF 85.85 CHF 59.51 −31% vs CH
Kerry Group KRZ €98.00 €60.33 −38% vs CH
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,282 ₹724.74 −43% vs CH
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 ¥26.21 ¥12.21 −53% vs CH

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Chin Huay PCL: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chin Huay PCL Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CH

Frequently asked questions

Is Chin Huay PCL (CH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.1700 THB versus a price of 1.36 THB, about 88% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CH?
Our model-based fair value for Chin Huay PCL is 0.1700 THB (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1.36 THB.
What is the quality score of CH?
Chin Huay PCL has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Chin Huay PCL (CH)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.1700 THB (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.0340 THB, optimistic scenario 0.3100 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Chin Huay PCL stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.1700 THB, about 88% lower versus a price of 1.36 THB (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.0340 THB, optimistic scenario 0.3100 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Chin Huay PCL (CH)?
Chin Huay PCL reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.7B THB (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
Does Chin Huay PCL pay a dividend?
Chin Huay PCL currently shows a dividend yield of 2.21% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 3, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Chin Huay PCL (CH) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Chin Huay PCL pays a dividend of 0.03 THB per share a year, a dividend yield of 2.2%. The last ex-dividend date was May 7, 2026. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of Chin Huay PCL (CH)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Chin Huay PCL it is 0.1700 THB per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of 1.36 THB. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models in 2 families (Multiples, Asset-Based).
Is Chin Huay PCL stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, CH trades above its calculated fair value: price 1.36 THB, fair value 0.1700 THB, a gap of about −88% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CH?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1.36 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.1700 THB). For Chin Huay PCL the two are 1.19 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Chin Huay PCL worth?
The market values Chin Huay PCL at about 1.1B THB (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is 1.36 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 0.1700 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CH?
Our models span a range for Chin Huay PCL: cautious scenario 0.0340 THB, base 0.1700 THB, optimistic 0.3100 THB per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price 1.36 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Chin Huay PCL (CH)?
Balance-sheet figures for Chin Huay PCL (as of Nov 3, 2026): return on equity −5.7%, debt of 0.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CH from its 52-week high?
Chin Huay PCL trades at 1.36 THB, about 23% below its 52-week high of 1.78 THB and 3% above the low of 1.32 THB (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.1700 THB is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Chin Huay PCL?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Chin Huay PCL stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price 1.36 THB, calculated fair value 0.1700 THB (−88%), Quality Score 40/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CH calculated?
We run Chin Huay PCL through 2 models from 2 families: Multiples, Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 0.1700 THB builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Chin Huay PCL itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Chin Huay PCL (CH)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 1.36 THB. Our model-based fair value is 0.1700 THB, about 88% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Chin Huay PCL right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.3100 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (0.0340 THB to 0.3100 THB). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Chin Huay PCL

How large is the market capitalisation of Chin Huay PCL (CH)?
The market capitalisation of Chin Huay PCL is 1.1B THB (≈ $32.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Chin Huay PCL (CH)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Chin Huay PCL is 0.64 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Chin Huay PCL (CH)?
Earnings per share at Chin Huay PCL are −0.0900 THB. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Chin Huay PCL (CH)?
The dividend yield of Chin Huay PCL is 2.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Chin Huay PCL (CH)?
The net margin of Chin Huay PCL is −4.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Chin Huay PCL (CH)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Chin Huay PCL is −5.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Chin Huay PCL (CH)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Chin Huay PCL is 4.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Chin Huay PCL (CH)?
The operating margin of Chin Huay PCL is −5.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Chin Huay PCL (CH)?
Revenue at Chin Huay PCL is growing +12.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Chin Huay PCL (CH)?
Earnings per share at Chin Huay PCL are growing −83.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Chin Huay PCL (CH) generate?
The free cash flow of Chin Huay PCL is −129M THB (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Chin Huay PCL (CH) carry?
The net debt of Chin Huay PCL is 324M THB (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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