Chin Huay PCL (CH) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Chin Huay PCL THB 0.17, price THB 1.63, upside -89.6%, quality 35 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
48‑month range 1.32 THB – 5.04 THB · fair‑value band 0.0340 THB – 0.3100 THB · the 1.63 THB price screens above the 0.1700 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Chin Huay Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes canned food, dried fruits, and fried vegetables and fruits. It operates in three segments: Canned Food, Dried Fruit, and Healthy Snacks. The company offers its products under the Sumaco, MeBle, Chinhuay, Eros, Bangkok Tasty, Khmer Tasty brands.
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Chin Huay Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes canned food, dried fruits, and fried vegetables and fruits. It operates in three segments: Canned Food, Dried Fruit, and Healthy Snacks. The company offers its products under the Sumaco, MeBle, Chinhuay, Eros, Bangkok Tasty, Khmer Tasty brands. It is also involved in investment in overseas market; and trading activities. The company operates in Thailand, the United States, Japan, Canada, Italy, Mauritius, China, Hong Kong, the United Arab Emirates, India, Australia, New Zealand, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, Norway, and internationally. Chin Huay Public Company Limited was founded in 1925 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.
Stock analysis
Chin Huay PCL (CH) currently trades at 1.63 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.1700 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 858.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 1.05 THB per share, and 0 of the 4 models we run sit above the 1.63 THB price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 0.5500 THB, and 4 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.0340 THB (bear) to 0.3100 THB (bull), the price of 1.63 THB sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Chin Huay PCL reported revenue of 1.7B THB in FY2025 versus 1.4B THB in FY2021, a compound +4.0%/yr. Reported net income was −17.8M THB in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 1.3B THB (≈ $39.1M) · P/S ratio 0.70 · EPS (TTM) −0.0400 THB · Dividend yield 1.8% · Net margin −1.1% · Return on equity −2.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.6% · Operating margin −2.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −2% fair-value upside, at −90%, CH screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.0340 THBFair Value 0.1700 THBBull 0.3100 THB
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.6/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−25.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
6.9% (2020) → −1.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 667 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−90% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.09× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
P/S (TTM)0.02× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA3.1× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 30
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 20
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)95· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)37· sector 58
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.1700 THB versus a price of 1.63 THB, about −90% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CH?
Our model-based fair value for Chin Huay PCL is 0.1700 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1.63 THB.
What is the quality score of CH?
Chin Huay PCL has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Chin Huay PCL (CH)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.1700 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.0340 THB, optimistic scenario 0.3100 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Chin Huay PCL stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.1700 THB, about −90% upside versus a price of 1.63 THB (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.0340 THB, optimistic scenario 0.3100 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Chin Huay PCL (CH)?
Chin Huay PCL reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.7B THB (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Chin Huay PCL pay a dividend?
Chin Huay PCL currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.84% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Chin Huay PCL (CH)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Chin Huay PCL it is 0.1700 THB per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 1.63 THB. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Chin Huay PCL stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, CH trades above its calculated fair value: price 1.63 THB, fair value 0.1700 THB, a gap of about −90% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CH?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1.63 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.1700 THB). For Chin Huay PCL the two are 1.46 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Chin Huay PCL worth?
The market values Chin Huay PCL at about 1.3B THB (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 1.63 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 0.1700 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CH?
Our models span a range for Chin Huay PCL: cautious scenario 0.0340 THB, base 0.1700 THB, optimistic 0.3100 THB per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 1.63 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Chin Huay PCL (CH)?
Balance-sheet figures for Chin Huay PCL (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −2.4%, debt of 0.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CH from its 52-week high?
Chin Huay PCL trades at 1.63 THB, about 14% below its 52-week high of 1.89 THB and 23% above the low of 1.32 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.1700 THB is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Chin Huay PCL?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, The Kraft Heinz Company, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Chin Huay PCL stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 1.63 THB, calculated fair value 0.1700 THB (−90%), Quality Score 35/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CH calculated?
We run Chin Huay PCL through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.1700 THB, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Chin Huay PCL itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Chin Huay PCL (CH)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 1.63 THB. Our model-based fair value is 0.1700 THB, about −90% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Chin Huay PCL right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.3100 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (0.0340 THB to 0.3100 THB). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Chin Huay PCL
How large is the market capitalisation of Chin Huay PCL (CH)?
The market capitalisation of Chin Huay PCL is 1.3B THB (≈ $39.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Chin Huay PCL (CH)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Chin Huay PCL is 0.70 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Chin Huay PCL (CH)?
Earnings per share at Chin Huay PCL are −0.0400 THB. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Chin Huay PCL (CH)?
The dividend yield of Chin Huay PCL is 1.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Chin Huay PCL (CH)?
The net margin of Chin Huay PCL is −1.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Chin Huay PCL (CH)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Chin Huay PCL is −2.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Chin Huay PCL (CH)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Chin Huay PCL is 4.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Chin Huay PCL (CH)?
The operating margin of Chin Huay PCL is −2.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Chin Huay PCL (CH)?
Revenue at Chin Huay PCL is growing −1.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Chin Huay PCL (CH)?
Earnings per share at Chin Huay PCL are growing −83.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Chin Huay PCL (CH) generate?
The free cash flow of Chin Huay PCL is −129M THB (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Chin Huay PCL (CH) carry?
The net debt of Chin Huay PCL is 324M THB (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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