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China Starch Holdings (CHNSF) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $118M

CS China Starch Holdings logo China Starch Holdings CHNSF · US
Price$0.0200
Fair Value$0.0340
Upside+70.0%
Quality48/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 1.8% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Narrow moat 21/100
Evidence: Medium Range $0.0300 – $0.0340 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 29, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 12 days ago

Below-average quality, screening 70% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.0300). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • The models converge in a tight band ($0.0300 to $0.0340), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

$0.0553 $0.0004 Fair Value $0.0340 Apr 2023 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

39‑month range $0.0004 – $0.0553 · fair‑value band $0.0300 – $0.0340 · the $0.0200 price screens below the $0.0340 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.

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Analysis

China Starch Holdings (CHNSF) currently trades at $0.0200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0340, implying the stock looks roughly 70.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, China Starch Holdings generated revenue of $10.1B at a net margin of 1.8%. Revenue declined 14.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.2%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 2.0. Fundamentals as of Jul 29, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.0300 (bear case) to $0.0340 (bull case); at $0.0200, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 96% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at 70%, CHNSF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $0.4900 $0.4700 $0.3800 76
ROIC Compounder $0.5300 $0.5600 $0.5800 72
Gordon GGM $0.0900 $0.1000 $0.1100 70
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $0.4300 $0.4600 $0.5100 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.2100 $0.2600 $0.2900 54
EPV $0.5300 $0.5600 $0.5800 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.0900 $0.1000 $0.1100 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0900 $0.1100 $0.1300 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.4700 $0.6300 $0.7800 63
P/S Multiple $0.4000 $0.5300 $0.6700 58
P/B Multiple $0.4000 $0.5300 $0.6700 55
EV/EBIT $0.8500 $1.03 $1.21 53
EV/EBITDA $1.15 $1.44 $1.72 54
EV/Revenue $0.6700 $0.8300 $0.9900 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.3600 $0.4800 $0.7200 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.4900 $0.4700 $0.3800 76
ROIC Compounder $0.5300 $0.5600 $0.5800 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.3300 $0.4700 $0.6200 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($0.6300) versus Dividend Discount ($0.1000). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $10.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) -14.3%
Net margin 1.8%
Return on equity 5.2%
Free cash flow −$63.7M FY2025
P/E ratio 2.0
More key figures
Operating margin -0.6%
EPS (TTM) $0.0100
EPS growth (YoY) -87.5%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 2
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 28
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 91
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 74
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 71
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

China Starch Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells cornstarch, lysine, starch-based sweeteners, modified starch, and ancillary corn-based and corn-refined products in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through two segments, Upstream Products, and Fermented and Downstream Products.

Full company description

China Starch Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells cornstarch, lysine, starch-based sweeteners, modified starch, and ancillary corn-based and corn-refined products in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through two segments, Upstream Products, and Fermented and Downstream Products. It also researches, develops, manufactures, and sells, cornstarch, glucose, maltose, dextrin, animal feed additives, food-grade enzymes, biobased materials, , amino acids, lactate acid esters, and related products. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Wan Chai, Hong Kong. China Starch Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Merry Boom Group Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

China Starch Holdings reported revenue of $10.1B in FY2025 versus $11.6B in FY2021, a compound −3.6%/yr. Reported net income was $185M in FY2025, compounding −14.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 25/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$10.1B
Latest YoY
−11.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.5%
Revenue −3.6%/yr
FY21 $11.6B
FY22 $11.9B
FY23 $11.8B
FY24 $11.4B
FY25 $10.1B
Net income −14.5%/yr
FY21 $346M
FY22 $352M
FY23 $108M
FY24 $482M
FY25 $185M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Starch Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CHNSF

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 649 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside +50% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -1% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -14% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 2.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.01× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 28
FUTURE 0 · sector 20
PAST 21 · sector 27
HEALTH 99 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 47

Insider activity: 35/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 29, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%
Nongshim Co 004370 348,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is China Starch Holdings (CHNSF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0340 versus a price of $0.0200, about +70% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CHNSF?
Our model-based fair value for China Starch Holdings is $0.0340 (as of Jul 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.0200.
What is the quality score of CHNSF?
China Starch Holdings has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of China Starch Holdings (CHNSF)?
China Starch Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $10.1B (latest available figure, as of Jul 29, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CHNSF?
The net profit margin of China Starch Holdings is about 1.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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