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Chosa Oncology AB (CHOSA) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · SE · Market cap 75.5M SEK

CO Chosa Oncology AB CHOSA · ST
Pricekr 0.8260
Fair Valuekr 0.1200
Upside-85.5%
Quality27/100
Loss-making · -123.1% net margin
negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/8)
Narrow moat 0/100
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Evidence: Low Range kr 0.0900 – kr 0.1800 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated today

Share price +6.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and the price sits another 85% above our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 0.1800). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (kr 0.0900 to kr 0.1800) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 35.50 kr 0.3350 Fair Value kr 0.1200 May 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 0.3350 – kr 35.50 · fair‑value band kr 0.0900 – kr 0.1800 · the kr 0.8260 price screens above the kr 0.1200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

Chosa Oncology AB (CHOSA) currently trades at kr 0.8260, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 0.1200, implying the stock looks roughly 85.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 4.6M SEK. It earns a return on equity of -34.1%. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 0.0900 (bear case) to kr 0.1800 (bull case); at kr 0.8260, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 62% below its 52-week high and 57% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -85%, CHOSA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.0900 kr 0.1200 kr 0.1800 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.0900 kr 0.1200 kr 0.1800 50

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 4.6M SEK
Net margin -123%
Return on equity -34.1%
Free cash flow −8.6M SEK FY2025
Operating margin -97,950%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 27/100

Of which business quality 27 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 15
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 20
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 47
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 19
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Chosa Oncology AB, together with its subsidiaries, engages in developing and commercializing medicines for the treatment of cancer in Sweden and USA.

Full company description

Chosa Oncology AB, together with its subsidiaries, engages in developing and commercializing medicines for the treatment of cancer in Sweden and USA. It provides Platin-DRP, a multigene mRNA-based algorithm that predicts a patient's response to platinum-based chemotherapy; and LiPlaCis, a liposomal formulation of cisplatin, enabling delivery of chemotherapy agent directly to tumor sites. The company was formerly known as Chosa ApS. Chosa Oncology AB was incorporated in 2015 and is based in Malmö, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Chosa Oncology AB reported revenue of kr 0 in FY2025 versus kr 0 in FY2022. Reported net income was −kr 5.6M in FY2025.

Revenue
FY22 kr 0
FY23 kr 0
FY24 kr 0
FY25 kr 0
Net income
FY22 −kr 1.0M
FY23 −kr 23.9M
FY24 −kr 4.8M
FY25 −kr 5.6M

CHOSA sits 85% above fair value. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chosa Oncology AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CHOSA

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 849 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 32 · Below median
Fair Value upside −86% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -23% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -123% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.48× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.73× · Cheaper than median

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $486.03 $278.78 -43%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $664.45 $594.40 -11%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,368,000 KRW 1,091,384 KRW -20%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 175,800 KRW 76,325 KRW -57%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$39.54 HK$30.42 -23%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$85.35 HK$21.13 -75%
Genmab A/S GMAB kr 1,891 kr 276.68 -85%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$5.26 HK$3.36 -36%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 276,500 KRW 44,444 KRW -84%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥134.02 ¥26.99 -80%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Chosa Oncology AB (CHOSA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 0.1200 versus a price of kr 0.8260, about −85% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CHOSA?
Our model-based fair value for Chosa Oncology AB is kr 0.1200 (as of Aug 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 0.8260.
What is the quality score of CHOSA?
Chosa Oncology AB has a Quality Score of 27/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Chosa Oncology AB (CHOSA)?
Chosa Oncology AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.6M SEK (latest available figure, as of Aug 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CHOSA?
The net profit margin of Chosa Oncology AB is about -123.1%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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