Commercial International Bank (CIBEY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Commercial International Bank $4.10, price $2.35, upside +74.5%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.9570 – $2.74 · fair‑value band $3.07 – $5.12 · the $2.35 price screens below the $4.10 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Commercial International Bank Egypt (CIB) S.A.E. provides retail, corporate, and investment banking services in Egypt. The company operates through Corporate Banking & SME's; Investment; Retail Banking; and Assets and Liabilities Management segments.
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Commercial International Bank Egypt (CIB) S.A.E. provides retail, corporate, and investment banking services in Egypt. The company operates through Corporate Banking & SME's; Investment; Retail Banking; and Assets and Liabilities Management segments. It offers current and saving accounts, certificates and time deposits, saving solutions, and account services; personal, car finance, travel, education, and solar loans; funds; and insurance products, as well as overdraft, and mortgages services. The company also provides CIB VISA platinum debit cards, VISA platinum credit cards, and corporate deposit cards; prepaid cards; lending services; payment acceptance solutions; payroll services; and financial institution and correspondent banks, global transaction banking, treasury, and digital banking services. In addition, it provides credit, debit, and prepaid cards; concierge, overseas banking, phone indemnity, and email indemnity services; safe deposits; credit facilities; and financial derivatives. Further, the company offers financial instruments, structured financing, corporate leasing, and merger and acquisitions information services; and foreign currency services. The company was formerly known as Chase National Bank of Egypt and changed its name to Commercial International Bank Egypt (CIB) S.A.E. in January 1987. Commercial International Bank Egypt (CIB) S.A.E. was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Giza, Egypt.
Stock analysis
Commercial International Bank (CIBEY) currently trades at $2.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.10, implying the stock looks roughly 42.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 25 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at medium.
Scenario range: $3.07 (bear) to $5.12 (bull), the price of $2.35 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Commercial International Bank reported revenue of 121B EGP in FY2025 versus 28.9B EGP in FY2021, a compound +42.9%/yr. Reported net income was 82.2B EGP in FY2025, compounding +57.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $8.5B · P/E ratio 6.7 · P/S ratio 4.58 · EPS (TTM) $0.3500 · Dividend yield 4.3% · Net margin 68.2% · Return on equity 44.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at 74%, CIBEY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $3.07Fair Value $4.10Bull $5.12
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.2560 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+16.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+49.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+33.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +29.6% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in EGP (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in EGP: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+40.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+35.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.3%
Profit margin 2014 to 2019 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.64% → 66%
2025 sits 172% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−25.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+11.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in EGP, Egypt: IMF forecast 8.8% a year to 2030, 16.2% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −31.7% a year for the price and +2.3% for the forecasts.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Regional · 1074 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+75% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)45% · Top 25%
Return on assets6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)63% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth16% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)4.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Commercial International Bank Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CIBEY
Frequently asked questions
Is Commercial International Bank (CIBEY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.10 versus a price of $2.35, about +74% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CIBEY?
Our model-based fair value for Commercial International Bank is $4.10 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.35.
What is the quality score of CIBEY?
Commercial International Bank has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Commercial International Bank (CIBEY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $4.10 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.07, optimistic scenario $5.12. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Commercial International Bank stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $4.10, about +74% upside versus a price of $2.35 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $3.07, optimistic scenario $5.12. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Commercial International Bank (CIBEY)?
Commercial International Bank reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 124B EGP (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Commercial International Bank pay a dividend?
Commercial International Bank currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.27% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Commercial International Bank (CIBEY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Commercial International Bank would have to grow free cash flow by -25.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +33.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CIBEY use?
Our models discount Commercial International Bank at 8.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.55, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Commercial International Bank that is -25.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Commercial International Bank (CIBEY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Commercial International Bank grew +33.5 % a year. The price currently implies -25.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Commercial International Bank (CIBEY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Commercial International Bank (-25.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Commercial International Bank (CIBEY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 31.89 %: that much free cash flow Commercial International Bank produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Commercial International Bank (CIBEY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Commercial International Bank it is $4.10 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $2.35. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Commercial International Bank stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, CIBEY trades below its calculated fair value: price $2.35, fair value $4.10, a gap of about +74% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CIBEY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.35); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($4.10). For Commercial International Bank the two are $1.75 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Commercial International Bank worth?
The market values Commercial International Bank at about $8.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $2.35; our models calculate a fair value of $4.10 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CIBEY?
Our models span a range for Commercial International Bank: cautious scenario $3.07, base $4.10, optimistic $5.12 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $2.35). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CIBEY?
Commercial International Bank trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $4.10 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.9, P/S 3.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Commercial International Bank (CIBEY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Commercial International Bank (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 44.6%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CIBEY from its 52-week high?
Commercial International Bank trades at $2.35, about 14% below its 52-week high of $2.74 and 30% above the low of $1.81 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $4.10 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Commercial International Bank?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value DBS Group, China Merchants Bank Co, Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A, HDFC Bank Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Commercial International Bank stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $2.35, calculated fair value $4.10 (+74%), Quality Score 57/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CIBEY calculated?
We run Commercial International Bank through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $4.10, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Commercial International Bank currently trades 74 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Commercial International Bank (CIBEY)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $2.35. Our model-based fair value is $4.10, about +74% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Commercial International Bank right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($3.07). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Key figures of Commercial International Bank
How large is the market capitalisation of Commercial International Bank (CIBEY)?
The market capitalisation of Commercial International Bank is $8.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Commercial International Bank (CIBEY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Commercial International Bank is 4.58 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Commercial International Bank (CIBEY)?
Earnings per share at Commercial International Bank are $0.3500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Commercial International Bank (CIBEY)?
The dividend yield of Commercial International Bank is 4.3% (payout 28.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Commercial International Bank (CIBEY)?
The net margin of Commercial International Bank is 68.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Commercial International Bank (CIBEY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Commercial International Bank is 44.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Commercial International Bank (CIBEY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Commercial International Bank is 3.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Commercial International Bank (CIBEY)?
Revenue at Commercial International Bank is growing +16.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +49.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Commercial International Bank (CIBEY)?
Earnings per share at Commercial International Bank are growing +6.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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Some data
Sep 24, 2026