Ho Chi Minh City Infrastructure Investment Joint Stock Company (CII) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · VN · Market cap 10.9T VND
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Share price −11.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 77% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3,335 VND). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (20/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 9,846 VND – 53,030 VND · fair‑value band 2,001 VND – 3,335 VND · the 14,250 VND price screens above the 3,296 VND fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Ho Chi Minh City Infrastructure Investment Joint Stock Company (CII) currently trades at 14,250 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3,296 VND, implying the stock looks roughly 76.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 20/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Ho Chi Minh City Infrastructure Investment Joint Stock Company generated revenue of 3.1T VND at a net margin of 4.1%. Revenue grew 19.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.9%. Net debt stands at 21.0T VND. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 2,001 VND (bear case) to 3,335 VND (bull case); at 14,250 VND, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -77%, CII screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (10,150 VND) versus Earnings-Based (1,946 VND). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 17 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Ho Chi Minh City Infrastructure Investment Joint Stock Company engages in the infrastructure development business in Vietnam. It operates under build-operate-transfer (BOT) contracts; build-transfer (BT) contracts; collects road traffic toll fees; real estate business; and water distribution networks.
Full company description
Ho Chi Minh City Infrastructure Investment Joint Stock Company engages in the infrastructure development business in Vietnam. It operates under build-operate-transfer (BOT) contracts; build-transfer (BT) contracts; collects road traffic toll fees; real estate business; and water distribution networks. The company is also involved in production and sale of specialized equipment related to traffic toll collection and construction; installing and maintaining traffic toll station; construction of civil, industrial, traffic and road works, and drain pipes; planting trees; landscape care and maintenance services; and undertakes bridge and residential infrastructure projects, as well as real estate projects; and provision of clean water. The company was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Ho Chi Minh City Infrastructure Investment Joint Stock Company reported revenue of 3.0T VND in FY2025 versus 2.9T VND in FY2021, a compound +0.9%/yr. Reported net income was 124B VND in FY2025.
CII screens 77% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →
Peer Group
Engineering & Construction · 839 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹3,815 | ₹1,994 | -48% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 346,000 KRW | 268,779 KRW | -22% |
| Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 | 99,000 KRW | 63,993 KRW | -35% |
| United Integrated Services Co 2404 | 1,250 TWD | 925.62 TWD | -26% |
| Samsung E&A Co 028050 | 42,550 KRW | 44,840 KRW | +5% |
| Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL | ₹232.67 | ₹61.46 | -74% |
| Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 | 16,240 KRW | 6,507 KRW | -60% |
| NBCC (India) Limited NBCC | ₹96.32 | ₹48.22 | -50% |
| Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO | ₹1,330 | ₹730.69 | -45% |
| KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 | 92,700 KRW | 20,172 KRW | -78% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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