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CIMB Group (CIMDF) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $21.6B

CG CIMB Group logo CIMB Group CIMDF · US
Price$1.89
Fair Value$2.31
Upside+22.2%
Quality51/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 36.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
20.05% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/15)
Wide moat 67/100
Evidence: High Range $1.73 – $2.88 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price −5.5% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 22% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$2.60 $0.4594 Fair Value $2.31 Aug 2015 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.4594 – $2.60 · fair‑value band $1.73 – $2.88 · the $1.89 price screens below the $2.31 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Jul 26, 2026.

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Analysis

CIMB Group (CIMDF) currently trades at $1.89, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.31, implying the stock looks roughly 22.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, CIMB Group generated revenue of $21.2B at a net margin of 36.9%. Revenue declined 2.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.3%. Net debt stands at $99.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.73 (bear case) to $2.88 (bull case); at $1.89, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 74% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 22%, CIMDF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $5.92 $6.73 $10.76 76
Gordon GGM $4.26 $8.87 $14.07 70
P/E Multiple $7.08 $9.44 $11.80 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $4.26 $8.87 $14.07 70
DDM Multi-Stage $4.26 $6.96 $9.31 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $7.08 $9.44 $11.80 63
P/B Multiple $6.82 $9.10 $11.37 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.25 $4.35 $6.50 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $5.92 $6.73 $10.76 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($9.10) versus Asset-Based ($4.35). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $21.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.6%
Net margin 36.9%
Return on equity 11.3%
Free cash flow $1.6B FY2025
P/E ratio 11.1
More key figures
Operating margin 49.4%
EPS (TTM) $0.1800
EPS growth (YoY) -3.2%
Net debt $99.2B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 27
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 16
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 77
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

CIMB Group Holdings Berhad provides various banking products and services in Malaysia and internationally. The Consumer Banking segment offers conventional and Islamic financial products and services, such as residential and non-residential property loans, secured personal loans, motor vehicle financing, credit cards, unsecured personal financing, wealth …

Full company description

CIMB Group Holdings Berhad provides various banking products and services in Malaysia and internationally. The Consumer Banking segment offers conventional and Islamic financial products and services, such as residential and non-residential property loans, secured personal loans, motor vehicle financing, credit cards, unsecured personal financing, wealth management, bancassurance, remittance and foreign exchange, deposits, and internet banking services to individual customers. Its Commercial Banking segment provides banking credit facilities, trade financing, cash management, online business banking platform, remittance, and foreign exchange, as well as general deposit products to small and medium-scale enterprises, and mid-sized corporations. The Wholesale Banking segment offers client coverage marketing and delivering solutions; financial advisory services on issuance of equity and equity-linked products, debt restructuring, initial public offerings, secondary offerings, and general corporate advisory; conventional and Islamic funding solutions covering trade, working capital line, capital expenditure, leveraging, merger and acquisition, leveraged, and project financing products; and funding solutions, including cash management, trade finance, foreign exchange, custody and corporate loans, derivatives, structured products, and debt capital. This segment also includes treasury activities and services comprising foreign exchange, money market, derivatives, and capital market trading instruments; transaction banking services, such as trade facilities and cash management solutions; and wealth management solutions, as well as investment, securities financing, and trust services. Its CIMB Digital Assets and Group Funding segment engages in digital businesses and ventures, as well as capital, balance sheet, and fixed income investments and management activities. The company was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

CIMB Group reported revenue of $37.4B in FY2025 versus $23.5B in FY2021, a compound +12.4%/yr. Reported net income was $7.8B in FY2025, compounding +16.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$37.4B
Latest YoY
−0.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+11.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+9.1%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y)
+8.2%
Revenue +12.4%/yr
FY21 $23.5B
FY22 $26.9B
FY23 $35.0B
FY24 $37.5B
FY25 $37.4B
Net income +16.2%/yr
FY21 $4.3B
FY22 $5.4B
FY23 $7.0B
FY24 $7.7B
FY25 $7.8B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CIMB Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CIMDF

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside +22% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 37% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 49% · Above median
Revenue growth -3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 20.1% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.39× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.31× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.02× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 13.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 1.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 1.40× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 63 · sector 39
FUTURE 0 · sector 44
PAST 45 · sector 41
HEALTH 81 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 49

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is CIMB Group (CIMDF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.31 versus a price of $1.89, about +22% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CIMDF?
Our model-based fair value for CIMB Group is $2.31 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $1.89.
What is the quality score of CIMDF?
CIMB Group has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of CIMB Group (CIMDF)?
CIMB Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $21.2B (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CIMDF?
The net profit margin of CIMB Group is about 36.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 36.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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