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Calbee, Inc (CLBEY) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $2.1B

CI Calbee, Inc logo Calbee, Inc CLBEY · US
Price$4.60
Fair Value$4.50
Upside-2.2%
Quality63/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 5.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.18% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (8/12)
Narrow moat 43/100
Evidence: High Range $2.79 – $6.15 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Share price +1.8% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range ($2.79 to $6.15) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$6.95 $4.07 Fair Value $4.50 Oct 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.07 – $6.95 · fair‑value band $2.79 – $6.15 · the $4.60 price screens above the $4.50 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Calbee, Inc (CLBEY) currently trades at $4.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.50, implying the stock looks roughly 2.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Calbee, Inc generated revenue of $340B at a net margin of 5.1%. Revenue grew 5.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $13.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $2.79 (bear case) to $6.15 (bull case); at $4.60, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -2%, CLBEY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $2.00 $2.77 $3.82 80
Rev-Margin DCF $2.79 $4.48 $6.39 74
ROIC Compounder $2.37 $2.71 $3.27 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $1.97 $2.84 $4.09 38
Owner Earnings $1.80 $2.59 $3.72 31
5Y Revenue Exit $2.79 $4.50 $6.68 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $4.06 $6.84 $10.08 41
5Y P/E Exit $2.93 $4.76 $6.66 38
10Y Revenue Exit $2.37 $3.83 $5.78 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $3.25 $5.40 $8.28 37
10Y P/E Exit $2.55 $4.00 $5.76 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1.59 $4.66 $6.16 54
Lynch FV $0.9701 $1.39 $1.80 50
PEG = 1.0 $0.9701 $1.39 $1.80 46
EPV $2.37 $2.71 $3.00 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $3.69 $4.92 $6.16 63
P/S Multiple $2.99 $3.99 $4.98 58
P/B Multiple $2.99 $3.99 $4.98 55
EV/EBIT $4.72 $6.22 $7.72 53
EV/EBITDA $5.91 $7.82 $9.72 54
EV/Revenue $3.43 $4.81 $6.19 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.35 $1.81 $2.70 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $2.00 $2.77 $3.82 80
Rev-Margin DCF $2.79 $4.48 $6.39 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $2.26 $2.43 $2.91 61
ROIC Compounder $2.37 $2.71 $3.27 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $2.99 $4.27 $5.55 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($4.81) versus Earnings-Based ($1.39). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $340B
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.9%
Net margin 5.1%
Return on equity 8.1%
Free cash flow $12.9B FY2026
P/E ratio 19.4
More key figures
Operating margin 7.4%
EPS (TTM) $0.2200
Dividend yield 2.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +51.0%
Net cash $13.6B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 52
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 43
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 61
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 42
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 92
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Calbee, Inc. engages in the production and sale of snacks and other food products in Japan, North America, Greater China, Thailand, Singapore, Australia, rest of Asia, Hong Kong, the United Kingdom, Indonesia, and internationally. It offers potato-based, flour-based, corn-and bean-based, and other food snacks, as well as wheat, cereals, and granola.

Full company description

Calbee, Inc. engages in the production and sale of snacks and other food products in Japan, North America, Greater China, Thailand, Singapore, Australia, rest of Asia, Hong Kong, the United Kingdom, Indonesia, and internationally. It offers potato-based, flour-based, corn-and bean-based, and other food snacks, as well as wheat, cereals, and granola. The company markets its products under the Potato Chips, JagaRico, Harvest Snaps, Honey Butter Chip, Kappa Ebisen, Seabrook, Sapporo Potato, Sayaendo, Jagabee, and the Frugra brands. It sells its products through e-commerce and retail stores. Calbee, Inc. was incorporated in 1949 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Calbee, Inc reported revenue of $361B in FY2026 versus $245B in FY2022, a compound +10.1%/yr. Reported net income was $18.4B in FY2026, compounding +0.4%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 67/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$361B
Latest YoY
+11.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+8.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.2%
Avg. growth/yr (16Y)
+5.8%
Revenue +10.1%/yr
FY22 $245B
FY23 $279B
FY24 $303B
FY25 $323B
FY26 $361B
Net income +0.4%/yr
FY22 $18.1B
FY23 $14.8B
FY24 $19.9B
FY25 $20.9B
FY26 $18.4B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Calbee, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CLBEY

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 653 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −2% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.2% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.17× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.4× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 7.86× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 30 · sector 29
FUTURE 30 · sector 19
PAST 32 · sector 27
HEALTH 92 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 44 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%
Nongshim Co 004370 348,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Calbee, Inc (CLBEY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.50 versus a price of $4.60, about −2% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of CLBEY?
Our model-based fair value for Calbee, Inc is $4.50 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $4.60.
What is the quality score of CLBEY?
Calbee, Inc has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Calbee, Inc (CLBEY)?
Calbee, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $340B (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CLBEY?
The net profit margin of Calbee, Inc is about 5.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Calbee, Inc pay a dividend?
Calbee, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.18% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 15, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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