China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd (CLPXY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd $5.98, price $6.33, upside -5.5%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $5.14 – $21.90 · fair‑value band $4.77 – $7.78 · the $6.33 price screens above the $5.98 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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China Longyuan Power Group Corporation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in new energy power generation in the Chinese Mainland, Canada, South Africa, and Ukraine.
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China Longyuan Power Group Corporation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in new energy power generation in the Chinese Mainland, Canada, South Africa, and Ukraine. China Longyuan Power Group Corporation Limited was formerly known as China Longyuan Electric Power Group Corporation and changed its name to China Longyuan Power Group Corporation Limited in July 2009. The company was founded in 1993 and is based in Beijing, China. China Longyuan Power Group Corporation Limited is a subsidiary of Chnenergy Investment Group Co.,LTD.
Stock analysis
China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ADR (CLPXY) currently trades at $6.33, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.98, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 5.9%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $7.48 per share, and 7 of the 15 models we run sit above the $6.33 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $2.15, and 8 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $4.77 (bear) to $7.78 (bull), the price of $6.33 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ADR reported revenue of 30.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 37.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound −5.0%/yr. Reported net income was 4.5B CNY in FY2025, compounding −11.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $12.0B · P/E ratio 9.9 · P/S ratio 1.48 · EPS (TTM) $0.7500 · Dividend yield 2.6% · Net margin 15.0% · Return on equity 5.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 41 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at −6%, CLPXY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $4.77Fair Value $5.98Bull $7.78
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.4439 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.39/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.2%
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+1.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−1.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−1.4% vs 4.2%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.37% → 34%
Compare China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ADR with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 199 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score41 · Below median
Fair Value upside+91.3% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5.9% · Above median
Return on assets2.4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)14.5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)40.6% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−3.6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.6% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.23× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CLPXY
Frequently asked questions
Is China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd (CLPXY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.98 versus a price of $6.33, about −6% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of CLPXY?
Our model-based fair value for China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ADR is $5.98 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $6.33.
What is the quality score of CLPXY?
China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ADR has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd (CLPXY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $5.98 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario $4.77, optimistic scenario $7.78. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $5.98, about −6% upside versus a price of $6.33 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $4.77, optimistic scenario $7.78. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd (CLPXY)?
China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 30.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ADR pay a dividend?
China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.58% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd (CLPXY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ADR it is $5.98 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $6.33. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, CLPXY trades above its calculated fair value: price $6.33, fair value $5.98, a gap of about −6% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CLPXY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($6.33); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($5.98). For China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ADR the two are $0.3500 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ADR worth?
The market values China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ADR at about $12.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $6.33; our models calculate a fair value of $5.98 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CLPXY?
Our models span a range for China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ADR: cautious scenario $4.77, base $5.98, optimistic $7.78 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $6.33). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CLPXY?
China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ADR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.9 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $5.98 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.5, P/B 1.1, P/S 2.7, EV/EBITDA 7.4.
What is the PEG ratio of CLPXY?
The PEG ratio of China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ADR is 0.50 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd (CLPXY)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ADR (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 5.9%, debt of 1.23 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CLPXY from its 52-week high?
China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ADR trades at $6.33, about 41% below its 52-week high of $10.67 and 7% above the low of $5.94 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $5.98 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ADR?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, Fortum Oyj, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $6.33, calculated fair value $5.98 (−6%), Quality Score 41/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CLPXY calculated?
We run China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ADR through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $5.98, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ADR itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd (CLPXY)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $6.33. Our model-based fair value is $5.98, about −6% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ADR right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd (CLPXY) come from?
Earnings per share at China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ADR grew +7.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.5 %, EBIT margin +2.6 %, tax rate −0.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ADR
How large is the market capitalisation of China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd (CLPXY)?
The market capitalisation of China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ADR is $12.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd (CLPXY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ADR is 1.48 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd (CLPXY)?
Earnings per share at China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ADR are $0.7500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd (CLPXY)?
The dividend yield of China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ADR is 2.6% (payout 21.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd (CLPXY)?
The net margin of China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ADR is 15.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd (CLPXY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ADR is 5.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd (CLPXY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ADR is 4.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd (CLPXY)?
The operating margin of China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ADR is 40.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd (CLPXY)?
Revenue at China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ADR is growing −3.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd (CLPXY)?
Earnings per share at China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ADR are growing −14.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd (CLPXY) generate?
The free cash flow of China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ADR is −2.1B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd (CLPXY) carry?
The net debt of China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd ADR is 109B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Sep 23, 2026