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Cheetah Mobile Inc (CMCM) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $109M · ISIN US1630752038

CM Cheetah Mobile Inc logo Cheetah Mobile Inc CMCM · US
Price$3.30
Fair Value$6.97
Upside+111.2%
Quality51/100
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Strengths

Trades 53% below our fair value of $6.97

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −5.8 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -21.0% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −5.8 %/yr)
Loss-making · -21.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
Narrow moat 11/100
Evidence: Low Range $6.79 – $7.14 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 27, 2026, revised from $6.91 to $6.97 (+0.9%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +17.4% over the past month.

A solid business, trading 53% below our fair value.

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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($6.79). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • The models converge in a tight band ($6.79 to $7.14), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$13.80 $1.51 Fair Value $6.97 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.51 – $13.80 · fair‑value band $6.79 – $7.14 · the $3.30 price screens below the $6.97 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

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Analysis

Cheetah Mobile Inc (CMCM) currently trades at $3.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.97, implying the stock looks roughly 111.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Cheetah Mobile Inc generated revenue of $1.2B at a net margin of -21.0%. It earns a return on equity of -10.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $1.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $6.79 (bear case) to $7.14 (bull case); at $3.30, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -6% fair-value upside, at 111%, CMCM screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA $49.63 $50.91 $52.19 54
NCAV (Graham) $24.43 $32.74 $48.87 50
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $49.63 $50.91 $52.19 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $24.43 $32.74 $48.87 50

Widest divergence: Multiples ($50.91) versus Asset-Based ($32.74). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.09 TTM
EPS (TTM) $-1.22
Net margin -22.4% FY2025
Return on equity -10.7% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) -4.2% avg 5y
Operating margin -10.9% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $1.2B TTM
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −$185M FY2025
Net cash $1.5B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 3

Profitability 8
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 4
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 61
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 1
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 5
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 61
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Cheetah Mobile Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides internet services, artificial intelligence (AI), and other services in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, Japan, and internationally.

Full company description

Cheetah Mobile Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides internet services, artificial intelligence (AI), and other services in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, Japan, and internationally. The company offers internet products that include Duba Anti-virus applications, such as anti-virus and anti-malware, K+ defense, and membership services; Yuanqi Wallpaper, including desktop beautification, wallpaper management, and wallpaper creation. Its AI and other offerings include delivery and reception robots, Global to B services, and AI-powered business applications. In addition, the company offers Duba.com, a personal start page; artificial intelligence technologies; image viewer; and office optimization software. It serves mobile advertising networks and partners, e-commerce companies, mobile application developers, and mobile game developers, as well as individual customers. The company was formerly known as Kingsoft Internet Software Holdings Limited and changed its name to Cheetah Mobile Inc. in March 2014. Cheetah Mobile Inc. was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Cheetah Mobile Inc reported revenue of ¥1.2B in FY2025 versus ¥785M in FY2021, a compound +10.0%/yr. Reported net income was −¥258M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 6/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.2B
Latest YoY
+42.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (14Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.2%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +10.0%/yr
FY21 ¥785M
FY22 ¥884M
FY23 ¥670M
FY24 ¥807M
FY25 ¥1.2B
Net income
FY21 −¥353M
FY22 −¥513M
FY23 −¥603M
FY24 −¥618M
FY25 −¥258M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cheetah Mobile Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CMCM

Peer Group

Internet Content & Information · 156 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside +111% · Top 25%
Return on assets -2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -21% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -11% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Internet Content & Information median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.07× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.09× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.25× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 31
PAST0 · sector 10
HEALTH100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND0 · sector 36

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Internet Content & Information stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Alphabet Inc GOOGL $340.65 $145.14 -57%
Meta Platforms, Inc META $571.10 $534.91 -6%
Tencent Holdings 0700 HK$447.80 HK$448.95 +0%
Spotify Technology S.A SPOT $550.03 $213.13 -61%
Reddit, Inc RDDT $153.29 $39.59 -74%
Baidu, Inc 89888 HK$79.10 HK$28.84 -64%
Kuaishou Technology, an investment holding company, 81024 HK$34.50 HK$63.28 +83%
NAVER Corporation 035420 215,500 KRW 231,585 KRW +7%
Tencent Music Entertainment Group 1698 HK$35.14 HK$66.77 +90%
REA Group REA A$177.42 A$88.53 -50%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Cheetah Mobile Inc (CMCM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.97 versus a price of $3.30, about +111% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CMCM?
Our model-based fair value for Cheetah Mobile Inc is $6.97 (as of Aug 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $3.30.
What is the quality score of CMCM?
Cheetah Mobile Inc has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Cheetah Mobile Inc (CMCM)?
Cheetah Mobile Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.2B (latest available figure, as of Aug 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CMCM?
The net profit margin of Cheetah Mobile Inc is about -21.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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