Cinemark Holdings (CNK) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · US · Market cap $3.6B
Cinemark Holdings
CNK · US
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Share price +25.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 46% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($29.09). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide ($8.24 to $29.09). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $8.20 – $38.07 · fair‑value band $8.24 – $29.09 · the $37.24 price screens above the $20.12 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Cinemark Holdings (CNK) currently trades at $37.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $20.12, implying the stock looks roughly 46.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Cinemark Holdings generated revenue of $3.2B at a net margin of 5.3%. Revenue grew 18.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 46.7%. Net debt stands at $3.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $8.24 (bear case) to $29.09 (bull case); at $37.24, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades near its 52-week high and 74% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -52% fair-value upside, at -46%, CNK screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($24.99) versus Asset-Based ($2.32). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 77
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Cinemark Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the theatrical exhibition business. It operates theatres in the United States and Latin America. Cinemark Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Plano, Texas.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Cinemark Holdings reported revenue of $3.1B in FY2025 versus $1.5B in FY2021, a compound +19.8%/yr. Reported net income was $138M in FY2025.
CNK screens 46% overvalued. Compare with Netflix, Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- A Brand New Record: Cinemark Achieves Biggest Domestic Weekend Box Office of All Time as Spider-Man: Brand New Day Delivers the Company’s Hi
- Is Cinemark Holdings (CNK) Fully Valued After Record Q2 Results And Its Buyback?
- Cinemark Holdings Inc (CNK) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Record Revenue and EBITDA ...
- Here's What Key Metrics Tell Us About Cinemark (CNK) Q2 Earnings
Peer Group
Entertainment · 267 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 46/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netflix, Inc ZNFL | C$6.77 | C$2.96 | -56% |
| The Walt Disney Company DIS | $96.30 | $89.55 | -7% |
| Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD | $26.87 | $9.13 | -66% |
| Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV | $178.44 | $46.89 | -74% |
| Universal Music Group UMG | €18.91 | €14.78 | -22% |
| TKO Group TKO | $184.40 | $22.16 | -88% |
| Empresas Cablevisión, S.A. CABLECPO | 55.00 MXN | 60.49 MXN | +10% |
| Beijing Enlight Media Co 300251 | ¥11.77 | ¥10.97 | -7% |
| PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, MSIN | 456.00 IDR | 221.09 IDR | -52% |
| Prime Focus Limited PFOCUS | ₹298.25 | ₹63.45 | -79% |
Compare Cinemark Holdings with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Communication Services stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Cinemark Holdings (CNK) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of CNK?
What is the quality score of CNK?
What is the revenue of Cinemark Holdings (CNK)?
What is the net profit margin of CNK?
Does Cinemark Holdings pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Cinemark Holdings and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.