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PT Nusantara Sejahtera Raya Tbk (CNMA) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · ID · Market cap 7.6T IDR

PN PT Nusantara Sejahtera Raya Tbk CNMA · JK
Price96.00 IDR
Fair Value186.17 IDR
Upside+93.9%
Quality67/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 12.7% net margin
generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Moderate moat 55/100
Evidence: High Range 139.63 IDR – 322.72 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Share price +7.9% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 94% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (139.63 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (67/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (139.63 IDR to 322.72 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

252.27 IDR 82.00 IDR Fair Value 186.17 IDR Aug 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

36‑month range 82.00 IDR – 252.27 IDR · fair‑value band 139.63 IDR – 322.72 IDR · the 96.00 IDR price screens below the 186.17 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

PT Nusantara Sejahtera Raya Tbk (CNMA) currently trades at 96.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 186.17 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 93.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Nusantara Sejahtera Raya Tbk generated revenue of 6.0T IDR at a net margin of 12.7%. Revenue grew 18.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 132B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 139.63 IDR (bear case) to 322.72 IDR (bull case); at 96.00 IDR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -52% fair-value upside, at 94%, CNMA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 58.35 IDR 77.22 IDR 281.21 IDR 76
Growth DCF 235.53 IDR 446.67 IDR 879.38 IDR 72
Growth-Adj P/E 173.77 IDR 248.25 IDR 322.72 IDR 68
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 246.96 IDR 397.47 IDR 864.09 IDR 38
Owner Earnings 189.61 IDR 415.06 IDR 909.52 IDR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 169.59 IDR 282.01 IDR 503.72 IDR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 225.71 IDR 401.26 IDR 727.86 IDR 41
5Y P/E Exit 183.61 IDR 349.20 IDR 563.32 IDR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 186.41 IDR 348.62 IDR 508.73 IDR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 232.20 IDR 461.36 IDR 888.78 IDR 37
10Y P/E Exit 201.56 IDR 376.77 IDR 679.50 IDR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 57.54 IDR 401.31 IDR 563.18 IDR 54
Lynch FV 127.24 IDR 181.77 IDR 236.31 IDR 50
PEG = 1.0 127.24 IDR 181.77 IDR 236.31 IDR 46
EPV 121.23 IDR 138.79 IDR 154.39 IDR 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 139.63 IDR 186.17 IDR 232.72 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 107.90 IDR 143.86 IDR 179.83 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 107.90 IDR 143.86 IDR 179.83 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 170.15 IDR 219.62 IDR 269.09 IDR 53
EV/EBITDA 218.63 IDR 284.26 IDR 349.89 IDR 54
EV/Revenue 134.29 IDR 182.52 IDR 230.75 IDR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 24.84 IDR 33.28 IDR 49.67 IDR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 235.53 IDR 446.67 IDR 879.38 IDR 72
Rev-Margin DCF 169.59 IDR 307.75 IDR 517.96 IDR 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income 58.35 IDR 77.22 IDR 281.21 IDR 76
ROIC Compounder 144.46 IDR 198.16 IDR 272.78 IDR 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 173.77 IDR 248.25 IDR 322.72 IDR 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (376.77 IDR) versus Asset-Based (33.28 IDR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 6.0T IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) +18.2%
Net margin 12.7%
Return on equity 19.9%
Free cash flow 1.1T IDR FY2025
P/E ratio 10.0
More key figures
Operating margin 2.4%
EPS (TTM) 9.08 IDR
EPS growth (YoY) +33.1%
Net cash 132B IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 64
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 81
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 86
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 52
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 81
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 20
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 88
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Nusantara Sejahtera Raya Tbk engages in cinema screening activities in Indonesia. It operates through Movie, Food and Beverages; and All Other segments.

Full company description

PT Nusantara Sejahtera Raya Tbk engages in cinema screening activities in Indonesia. It operates through Movie, Food and Beverages; and All Other segments. The company is involved in the sale of tickets at physical cinema counters and through online ticketing platforms, such as m.tix, TIX ID, and GoPay; operation of food and beverage outlets, including XXI Café, The Premiere Café, XXI Lounge, Hello Sunday restaurant locations, and XXI Café Box; advertising on theater screens; offline advertising through digital billboards and booths; online advertising through its website; promotional events; transactional activities; events and services for gatherings; and vouchers. It also engages in management consulting; venue rental; organization of meetings, incentives, conferences, and exhibitions (MICE) activities and special events; premises rental for events; and land leasing activities. The company was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Jakarta Pusat, Indonesia. PT Nusantara Sejahtera Raya Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Harkatjaya Bumipersada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Nusantara Sejahtera Raya Tbk reported revenue of 5.9T IDR in FY2025 versus 1.3T IDR in FY2021, a compound +46.3%/yr. Reported net income was 705B IDR in FY2025.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
5.9T IDR
Latest YoY
+2.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+10.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+36.9%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y)
−2.7%
Revenue +46.3%/yr
FY21 1.3T IDR
FY22 4.4T IDR
FY23 5.2T IDR
FY24 5.7T IDR
FY25 5.9T IDR
Net income
FY21 −351B IDR
FY22 460B IDR
FY23 688B IDR
FY24 729B IDR
FY25 705B IDR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Nusantara Sejahtera Raya Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CNMA

Peer Group

Entertainment · 267 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +94% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Return on assets 11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Above median
Revenue growth 18% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.83× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.26× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 3.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 9
FUTURE 91 · sector 10
PAST 79 · sector 0
HEALTH 0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 44

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc ZNFL C$6.77 C$2.96 -56%
The Walt Disney Company DIS $96.30 $89.55 -7%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $26.87 $9.13 -66%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $178.44 $46.89 -74%
Universal Music Group UMG €18.91 €14.78 -22%
TKO Group TKO $184.40 $22.16 -88%
Empresas Cablevisión, S.A. CABLECPO 55.00 MXN 60.49 MXN +10%
Beijing Enlight Media Co 300251 ¥11.77 ¥10.97 -7%
PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, MSIN 456.00 IDR 221.09 IDR -52%
Prime Focus Limited PFOCUS ₹298.25 ₹63.45 -79%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Nusantara Sejahtera Raya Tbk (CNMA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 186.17 IDR versus a price of 96.00 IDR, about +94% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CNMA?
Our model-based fair value for PT Nusantara Sejahtera Raya Tbk is 186.17 IDR (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 96.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of CNMA?
PT Nusantara Sejahtera Raya Tbk has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Nusantara Sejahtera Raya Tbk (CNMA)?
PT Nusantara Sejahtera Raya Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.0T IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CNMA?
The net profit margin of PT Nusantara Sejahtera Raya Tbk is about 12.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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