Canandaigua National Corporation (CNND) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $394M
Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 15 days ago
Share price −3.8% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 92% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($314.13). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $82.35 – $241.68 · fair‑value band $314.13 – $523.55 · the $218.00 price screens below the $418.84 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.
Analysis
Canandaigua National Corporation (CNND) currently trades at $218.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $418.84, implying the stock looks roughly 92.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Canandaigua National Corporation generated revenue of $211M at a net margin of 27.8%. Revenue declined 10.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.6%. Net debt stands at $435M. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $314.13 (bear case) to $523.55 (bull case); at $218.00, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 92%, CNND screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($328.17) versus Dividend Discount ($122.19). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Canandaigua National Corporation operates as the bank holding company for The Canandaigua National Bank & Trust Company and Canandaigua National Trust Company of Florida, which provide various banking and financial services. The company offers checking, savings, and certificate of deposit accounts, as well as insurance services, and debit and credit cards.
Full company description
Canandaigua National Corporation operates as the bank holding company for The Canandaigua National Bank & Trust Company and Canandaigua National Trust Company of Florida, which provide various banking and financial services. The company offers checking, savings, and certificate of deposit accounts, as well as insurance services, and debit and credit cards. It also provides commercial and industrial loans, such as term loans and lines of credit, comprising loans to businesses for working capital, including inventory and receivables; business expansion consisting of the acquisition of real estate, expansion, and improvements; and equipment purchases. In addition, the company offers commercial real estate loans; commercial mortgages which includes apartments, commercial structures housing businesses, healthcare facilities, and other non-owner-occupied facilities; one-to-four-family residential real estate loans for the construction, purchase or refinancing of a mortgage; home equity lines of credit and second mortgage loans; indirect loans; and other consumer loans, including automobile, recreational vehicle, boat, aircraft, home improvement, and personal loans. Further, it provides investment management, trust, and insurance services. Additionally, the company offers cash management services; wire transfers; and online, mobile, and text banking, as well as bill pay, custodial, payroll, workplace banking, and ATM services. It serves individuals, corporations, and municipalities in Ontario County and Monroe County in New York State. The company was founded in 1887 and is based in Canandaigua, New York.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Canandaigua National Corporation reported revenue of $327M in FY2025 versus $195M in FY2021, a compound +13.7%/yr. Reported net income was $58.6M in FY2025, compounding +7.0%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +10.1 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.4 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA | 6,175 IDR | 6,087 IDR | -1% |
| KB Financial Group 105560 | 184,400 KRW | 213,797 KRW | +16% |
| PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI | 2,970 IDR | 4,891 IDR | +65% |
| PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI | 4,310 IDR | 7,841 IDR | +82% |
| Banco Bradesco S.A BBD | 5,120 ARS | 10,240 ARS | +100% |
| Shinhan Financial Group 055550 | 107,900 KRW | 137,259 KRW | +27% |
| Hana Financial Group 086790 | 136,800 KRW | 193,969 KRW | +42% |
| Lloyds Banking Group LYG | 4,138 ARS | 8,275 ARS | +100% |
| Banco de Chile, CHILE | 193.10 CLP | 152.55 CLP | -21% |
| Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB | 59,400 VND | 84,201 VND | +42% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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