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Canandaigua National Corporation (CNND) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $394M

CN Canandaigua National Corporation logo Canandaigua National Corporation CNND · US
Price$218.00
Fair Value$418.84
Upside+92.1%
Quality63/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 27.8% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
4.70% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Wide moat 71/100
Evidence: High Range $314.13 – $523.55 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price −3.8% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 92% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($314.13). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$241.68 $82.35 Fair Value $418.84 Jul 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $82.35 – $241.68 · fair‑value band $314.13 – $523.55 · the $218.00 price screens below the $418.84 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Canandaigua National Corporation (CNND) currently trades at $218.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $418.84, implying the stock looks roughly 92.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Canandaigua National Corporation generated revenue of $211M at a net margin of 27.8%. Revenue declined 10.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.6%. Net debt stands at $435M. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $314.13 (bear case) to $523.55 (bull case); at $218.00, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 92%, CNND screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $213.43 $251.67 $478.79 76
Gordon GGM $74.23 $133.76 $184.14 70
P/E Multiple $314.13 $418.84 $523.55 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $74.23 $133.76 $184.14 70
DDM Multi-Stage $74.23 $122.19 $142.89 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $314.13 $418.84 $523.55 63
P/B Multiple $246.13 $328.17 $410.22 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $117.21 $157.05 $234.41 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $213.43 $251.67 $478.79 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($328.17) versus Dividend Discount ($122.19). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $211M
Revenue growth (YoY) -10.4%
Net margin 27.8%
Return on equity 14.6%
Free cash flow $71.3M FY2025
P/E ratio 10.6
More key figures
Operating margin 33.7%
EPS (TTM) $20.20
Dividend yield 4.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -16.8%
Net debt $435M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 68
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 80
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 3
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 47
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 70
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 93
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Canandaigua National Corporation operates as the bank holding company for The Canandaigua National Bank & Trust Company and Canandaigua National Trust Company of Florida, which provide various banking and financial services. The company offers checking, savings, and certificate of deposit accounts, as well as insurance services, and debit and credit cards.

Full company description

Canandaigua National Corporation operates as the bank holding company for The Canandaigua National Bank & Trust Company and Canandaigua National Trust Company of Florida, which provide various banking and financial services. The company offers checking, savings, and certificate of deposit accounts, as well as insurance services, and debit and credit cards. It also provides commercial and industrial loans, such as term loans and lines of credit, comprising loans to businesses for working capital, including inventory and receivables; business expansion consisting of the acquisition of real estate, expansion, and improvements; and equipment purchases. In addition, the company offers commercial real estate loans; commercial mortgages which includes apartments, commercial structures housing businesses, healthcare facilities, and other non-owner-occupied facilities; one-to-four-family residential real estate loans for the construction, purchase or refinancing of a mortgage; home equity lines of credit and second mortgage loans; indirect loans; and other consumer loans, including automobile, recreational vehicle, boat, aircraft, home improvement, and personal loans. Further, it provides investment management, trust, and insurance services. Additionally, the company offers cash management services; wire transfers; and online, mobile, and text banking, as well as bill pay, custodial, payroll, workplace banking, and ATM services. It serves individuals, corporations, and municipalities in Ontario County and Monroe County in New York State. The company was founded in 1887 and is based in Canandaigua, New York.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Canandaigua National Corporation reported revenue of $327M in FY2025 versus $195M in FY2021, a compound +13.7%/yr. Reported net income was $58.6M in FY2025, compounding +7.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 98/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$327M
Latest YoY
+8.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.1%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.3%
Revenue +13.7%/yr
FY21 $195M
FY22 $218M
FY23 $177M
FY24 $302M
FY25 $327M
Net income +7.0%/yr
FY21 $44.7M
FY22 $47.9M
FY23 $44.7M
FY24 $44.6M
FY25 $58.6M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +10.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share +10.5 pp

of which total revenue +10.1 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.4 pp

EBIT margin −0.5 pp
Tax rate +1.7 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.6 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Canandaigua National Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CNND

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +92% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 28% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 34% · Below median
Revenue growth -10% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.7% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.71× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.92× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.87× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 5.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 7.0× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 39
FUTURE 0 · sector 44
PAST 58 · sector 41
HEALTH 65 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 94 · sector 49

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Canandaigua National Corporation (CNND) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $418.84 versus a price of $218.00, about +92% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CNND?
Our model-based fair value for Canandaigua National Corporation is $418.84 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $218.00.
What is the quality score of CNND?
Canandaigua National Corporation has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Canandaigua National Corporation (CNND)?
Canandaigua National Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $211M (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CNND?
The net profit margin of Canandaigua National Corporation is about 27.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 27.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Canandaigua National Corporation pay a dividend?
Canandaigua National Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.70% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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