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Christiani & Nielsen (Thai) Public Company (CNT) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TH · Market cap 2.1B THB

CN Christiani & Nielsen (Thai) Public Company CNT · BK
Price1.84 THB
Fair Value1.29 THB
Upside-29.9%
Quality53/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.8% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
2.45% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 25/100
Evidence: Medium Range 0.9700 THB – 1.61 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from 1.24 THB to 1.29 THB (+4.0%) since Jul 15, 2026. Share price +12.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 30% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1.61 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

2.17 THB 0.7948 THB Fair Value 1.29 THB Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.7948 THB – 2.17 THB · fair‑value band 0.9700 THB – 1.61 THB · the 1.84 THB price screens above the 1.29 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Christiani & Nielsen (Thai) Public Company (CNT) currently trades at 1.84 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.29 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 29.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Christiani & Nielsen (Thai) Public Company generated revenue of 8.2B THB at a net margin of 0.8%. Revenue grew 42.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.2%. Net debt stands at 874M THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.9700 THB (bear case) to 1.61 THB (bull case); at 1.84 THB, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 133% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -30%, CNT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 1.28 THB 1.28 THB 1.17 THB 76
ROIC Compounder 0.3800 THB 0.4500 THB 0.5100 THB 72
Gordon GGM 0.3500 THB 0.5000 THB 0.6600 THB 70
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.5200 THB 1.05 THB 1.33 THB 54
EPV 0.3800 THB 0.4500 THB 0.5100 THB 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.3500 THB 0.5000 THB 0.6600 THB 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.3500 THB 0.4900 THB 0.6400 THB 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 1.19 THB 1.59 THB 1.99 THB 63
P/S Multiple 0.9700 THB 1.29 THB 1.61 THB 58
P/B Multiple 0.9700 THB 1.29 THB 1.61 THB 55
EV/EBIT 0.6300 THB 0.8700 THB 1.10 THB 53
EV/EBITDA 1.45 THB 1.95 THB 2.45 THB 54
EV/Revenue 0.4300 THB 0.6500 THB 0.8600 THB 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.8600 THB 1.15 THB 1.72 THB 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 1.28 THB 1.28 THB 1.17 THB 76
ROIC Compounder 0.3800 THB 0.4500 THB 0.5100 THB 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 0.8700 THB 1.24 THB 1.62 THB 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (1.29 THB) versus Earnings-Based (0.4500 THB). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 8.2B THB
Revenue growth (YoY) +42.6%
Net margin 0.8%
Return on equity 3.2%
Free cash flow −66.5M THB FY2025
P/E ratio 29.7
More key figures
Operating margin 1.7%
EPS (TTM) 0.0700 THB
Dividend yield 2.5%
EPS growth (YoY) -29.1%
Net debt 874M THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 79

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 69
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 34
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 26
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 42
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 87
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Christiani & Nielsen (Thai) Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides construction services for government and private sectors. It operates in two segments Construction services, and Sales and Service.

Full company description

Christiani & Nielsen (Thai) Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides construction services for government and private sectors. It operates in two segments Construction services, and Sales and Service. The company engages in the civil and infrastructure; general buildings and hospitality; power and petrochemicals; and industrial facilities and hypermarkets business, as well as property development business. It also provides services for energy solutions in solar, wind, and other renewable energy sectors; and develops renewable energy-based power producing facilities. The company was formerly known as Christiani & Nielsen (Siam) Ltd. and changed its name to Christiani & Nielsen (Thai) Public Company Limited in November 1992. The company was founded in 1904 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand. Christiani & Nielsen (Thai) Public Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of Globex Corporation Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Christiani & Nielsen (Thai) Public Company reported revenue of 7.4B THB in FY2025 versus 6.2B THB in FY2021, a compound +4.7%/yr. Reported net income was 78.0M THB in FY2025.

Growth Quality 24/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
7.4B THB
Latest YoY
+22.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.3%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.4%
Revenue +4.7%/yr
FY21 6.2B THB
FY22 5.3B THB
FY23 7.2B THB
FY24 6.1B THB
FY25 7.4B THB
Net income
FY21 −130M THB
FY22 −219M THB
FY23 29.0M THB
FY24 49.9M THB
FY25 78.0M THB
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2025) −5.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share −0.7 pp

of which total revenue −0.4 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.3 pp

EBIT margin −10.4 pp
Tax rate +0.7 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +5.0 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

CNT screens 30% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Christiani & Nielsen (Thai) Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CNT

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 839 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside −30% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Revenue growth 43% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.15× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 29.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.21× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.26× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 11.3× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 16
FUTURE 100 · sector 17
PAST 13 · sector 26
HEALTH 93 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 49 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹96.32 ₹48.22 -50%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Christiani & Nielsen (Thai) Public Company (CNT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.29 THB versus a price of 1.84 THB, about −30% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CNT?
Our model-based fair value for Christiani & Nielsen (Thai) Public Company is 1.29 THB (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 1.84 THB.
What is the quality score of CNT?
Christiani & Nielsen (Thai) Public Company has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Christiani & Nielsen (Thai) Public Company (CNT)?
Christiani & Nielsen (Thai) Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 8.2B THB (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CNT?
The net profit margin of Christiani & Nielsen (Thai) Public Company is about 0.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Christiani & Nielsen (Thai) Public Company pay a dividend?
Christiani & Nielsen (Thai) Public Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.13% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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