Cineverse Corp. (CNVS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Cineverse Corp. $3.16, price $2.04, upside +55.0%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.7400 – $56.80 · fair‑value band $2.37 – $3.95 · the $2.04 price screens below the $3.16 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Cineverse Corp. operates as a streaming technology and entertainment company. The company owns and operates streaming channels.
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Cineverse Corp. operates as a streaming technology and entertainment company. The company owns and operates streaming channels. It also operates as an aggregator and distributor of feature films and television programs; proprietary technology software-as-a-service platform for over-the-top (OTT) app development and content distribution through subscription video on demand (SVOD), dedicated ad-supported (AVOD), and ad-supported streaming linear (FAST) channels, as well as social video streaming services and audio podcasts. In addition, the company operates MatchpointTM, a software-based streaming operating platform. Further, it distributes products for brands such as Hallmark, ITV, Nelvana, ZDF, Konami, NFL, and Highlander brands, as well as for content creators, movie producers, television producers and other short-form digital content producers; and sells physical products, such as DVD's and Blu-ray discs. The company provides its services through direct-to-consumer channels, application platforms, and third-party distributors of content on platforms. The company was formerly known as Cinedigm Corp. and changed its name to Cineverse Corp. in May 2023. Cineverse Corp. was incorporated in 2000 and is based in New York, New York.
Stock analysis
Cineverse Corp. (CNVS) currently trades at $2.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.16, implying the stock looks roughly 35.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $7.89 per share, and 20 of the 23 models we run sit above the $2.04 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.22, and 3 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $2.37 (bear) to $3.95 (bull), the price of $2.04 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Cineverse Corp. reported revenue of $78.2M in FY2025 versus $31.4M in FY2021, a compound +25.6%/yr. Reported net income was $3.6M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $63.2M · P/S ratio 1.14 · EPS (TTM) $−0.5300 · Net margin 4.6% · Return on equity −24.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.2% · Operating margin −4.0% · Revenue (TTM) $55.3M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −4% fair-value upside, at 55%, CNVS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $2.37Fair Value $3.16Bull $3.95
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.90/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+59.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.0% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
−19.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−19.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−11% → 10%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 35.3%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−28.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −30.6% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 261 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+55% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−17% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−60% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.06× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cineverse Corp. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CNVS
Frequently asked questions
Is Cineverse Corp. (CNVS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.16 versus a price of $2.04, about +55% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CNVS?
Our model-based fair value for Cineverse Corp. is $3.16 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.04.
What is the quality score of CNVS?
Cineverse Corp. has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cineverse Corp. (CNVS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.16 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.37, optimistic scenario $3.95. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cineverse Corp. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.16, about +55% upside versus a price of $2.04 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $2.37, optimistic scenario $3.95. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cineverse Corp. (CNVS)?
Cineverse Corp. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $55.3M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Cineverse Corp. (CNVS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Cineverse Corp. would have to grow free cash flow by -28.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +14.8 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CNVS use?
Our models discount Cineverse Corp. at 14.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.57, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Cineverse Corp. that is -28.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (14.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Cineverse Corp. (CNVS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Cineverse Corp. grew +14.8 % a year. The price currently implies -28.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Cineverse Corp. (CNVS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Cineverse Corp. (-28.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Cineverse Corp. (CNVS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 44.68 %: that much free cash flow Cineverse Corp. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Cineverse Corp. (CNVS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cineverse Corp. it is $3.16 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $2.04. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Cineverse Corp. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, CNVS trades below its calculated fair value: price $2.04, fair value $3.16, a gap of about +55% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CNVS?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.04); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.16). For Cineverse Corp. the two are $1.12 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cineverse Corp. worth?
The market values Cineverse Corp. at about $63.2M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $2.04; our models calculate a fair value of $3.16 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CNVS?
Our models span a range for Cineverse Corp.: cautious scenario $2.37, base $3.16, optimistic $3.95 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $2.04). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of CNVS?
The PEG ratio of Cineverse Corp. is 0.46 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cineverse Corp. (CNVS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cineverse Corp. (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −24.5%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CNVS from its 52-week high?
Cineverse Corp. trades at $2.04, about 42% below its 52-week high of $3.50 and 11% above the low of $1.83 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.16 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cineverse Corp.?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cineverse Corp. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $2.04, calculated fair value $3.16 (+55%), Quality Score 60/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CNVS calculated?
We run Cineverse Corp. through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $3.16, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Cineverse Corp. currently trades 55 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Cineverse Corp. (CNVS)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was $2.04. Our model-based fair value is $3.16, about +55% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Cineverse Corp. right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($2.37). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Cineverse Corp.
How large is the market capitalisation of Cineverse Corp. (CNVS)?
The market capitalisation of Cineverse Corp. is $63.2M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cineverse Corp. (CNVS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cineverse Corp. is 1.14 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Cineverse Corp. (CNVS)?
Earnings per share at Cineverse Corp. are $−0.5300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Cineverse Corp. (CNVS)?
The net margin of Cineverse Corp. is 4.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Cineverse Corp. (CNVS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cineverse Corp. is −24.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cineverse Corp. (CNVS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cineverse Corp. is −3.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Cineverse Corp. (CNVS)?
The operating margin of Cineverse Corp. is −4.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Cineverse Corp. (CNVS)?
Revenue at Cineverse Corp. is growing −60.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net cash does Cineverse Corp. (CNVS) hold?
Cineverse Corp. holds more cash than debt, $13.5M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Sep 23, 2026