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Cineverse Corp (CNVS) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $63.2M

CC Cineverse Corp logo Cineverse Corp CNVS · US
Price$2.80
Fair Value$3.16
Upside+12.9%
Quality60/100
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Healthy Growth
Loss-making · -16.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 15/100
Evidence: High Range $2.37 – $3.95 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Share price +0.9% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 13% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from $2.37 (bear) to $3.95 (bull), base $3.16. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 60/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$56.80 $0.7400 Fair Value $3.16 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.7400 – $56.80 · fair‑value band $2.37 – $3.95 · the $2.80 price screens below the $3.16 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Cineverse Corp (CNVS) currently trades at $2.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.16, implying the stock looks roughly 12.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Cineverse Corp generated revenue of $55.3M at a net margin of -16.7%. Revenue declined 60.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -24.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $13.5M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $2.37 (bear case) to $3.95 (bull case); at $2.80, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 62% below its 52-week high and 58% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -52% fair-value upside, at 13%, CNVS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $6.71 $8.51 $10.55 80
Rev-Margin DCF $5.04 $6.83 $8.84 74
ROIC Compounder $3.03 $3.45 $3.86 72
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $6.67 $8.70 $11.12 38
Owner Earnings $2.90 $3.68 $4.60 31
5Y Revenue Exit $5.04 $6.72 $8.74 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $5.68 $7.88 $10.32 41
5Y P/E Exit $4.63 $5.98 $7.31 38
10Y Revenue Exit $5.65 $7.17 $8.99 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $6.06 $7.84 $9.99 37
10Y P/E Exit $5.50 $6.74 $8.09 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1.15 $3.03 $3.96 54
PEG = 1.0 $0.5800 $0.8300 $1.08 46
EPV $2.95 $3.23 $3.47 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $2.79 $3.72 $4.65 63
P/S Multiple $2.16 $2.88 $3.59 58
P/B Multiple $2.16 $2.88 $3.59 55
EV/EBIT $5.02 $6.51 $8.00 53
EV/EBITDA $5.51 $7.16 $8.81 54
EV/Revenue $3.94 $5.39 $6.84 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.9100 $1.22 $1.82 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $6.71 $8.51 $10.55 80
Rev-Margin DCF $5.04 $6.83 $8.84 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1.41 $1.48 $1.58 61
ROIC Compounder $3.03 $3.45 $3.86 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $2.18 $3.11 $4.04 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($6.83) versus Asset-Based ($1.22). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $55.3M
Revenue growth (YoY) -60.0%
Net margin -16.7%
Return on equity -24.5%
Free cash flow $16.2M FY2025
Operating margin -4.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.5300
Net cash $13.5M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 58
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 90
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 55
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 9
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Cineverse Corp. operates as a streaming technology and entertainment company. The company owns and operates streaming channels.

Full company description

Cineverse Corp. operates as a streaming technology and entertainment company. The company owns and operates streaming channels. It also operates as an aggregator and distributor of feature films and television programs; proprietary technology software-as-a-service platform for over-the-top (OTT) app development and content distribution through subscription video on demand (SVOD), dedicated ad-supported (AVOD), and ad-supported streaming linear (FAST) channels, as well as social video streaming services and audio podcasts. In addition, the company operates MatchpointTM, a software-based streaming operating platform. Further, it distributes products for brands such as Hallmark, ITV, Nelvana, ZDF, Konami, NFL, and Highlander brands, as well as for content creators, movie producers, television producers and other short-form digital content producers; and sells physical products, such as DVD's and Blu-ray discs. The company provides its services through direct-to-consumer channels, application platforms, and third-party distributors of content on platforms. The company was formerly known as Cinedigm Corp. and changed its name to Cineverse Corp. in May 2023. Cineverse Corp. was incorporated in 2000 and is based in New York, New York.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Cineverse Corp reported revenue of $78.2M in FY2025 versus $31.4M in FY2021, a compound +25.6%/yr. Reported net income was $3.6M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$78.2M
Latest YoY
+59.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.8%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.2%
Revenue +25.6%/yr
FY21 $31.4M
FY22 $56.1M
FY23 $68.0M
FY24 $49.1M
FY25 $78.2M
Net income
FY21 −$62.8M
FY22 $2.2M
FY23 −$9.7M
FY24 −$21.4M
FY25 $3.6M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cineverse Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CNVS

Peer Group

Entertainment · 265 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +13% · Above median
Return on assets -6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -17% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -4% · Below median
Revenue growth -60% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.06× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.63× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.14× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 3.9× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.46× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 51 · sector 6
FUTURE 0 · sector 10
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 97 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 44

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc ZNFL C$6.77 C$2.96 -56%
The Walt Disney Company DIS $96.30 $89.55 -7%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $26.87 $9.13 -66%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $178.44 $46.89 -74%
Universal Music Group UMG €18.91 €14.78 -22%
TKO Group TKO $184.40 $22.16 -88%
Empresas Cablevisión, S.A. CABLECPO 55.00 MXN 60.49 MXN +10%
Beijing Enlight Media Co 300251 ¥11.77 ¥10.97 -7%
PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, MSIN 456.00 IDR 221.09 IDR -52%
Prime Focus Limited PFOCUS ₹298.25 ₹63.45 -79%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Cineverse Corp (CNVS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.16 versus a price of $2.80, about +13% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CNVS?
Our model-based fair value for Cineverse Corp is $3.16 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $2.80.
What is the quality score of CNVS?
Cineverse Corp has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Cineverse Corp (CNVS)?
Cineverse Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $55.3M (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CNVS?
The net profit margin of Cineverse Corp is about -16.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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