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Cosmos Health Inc. (COSM) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $13.2M · ISIN US2214133058

What is Cosmos Health Inc. really worth?

CH Cosmos Health Inc. logo Cosmos Health Inc. COSM · US
Price$0.2730
Fair Value$0.8190
Upside+200.0%
Quality30/100

Below-average quality, trading 67% below our fair value of $0.8190.

As of Aug 24, 2026, the fair value of Cosmos Health Inc. is $0.8190 per share against a price of $0.2730, so the fair value sits 200% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +3.3 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -30.4% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
!Narrow moat 6/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range $0.4806 – $1.08

Fair value as of: Aug 24, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 13 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 24, 2026, revised from $1.21 to $0.8190 (−32.3%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +27.1% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (30/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.4806). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($0.4806 to $1.08) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$23.01 $0.0730 Fair Value $0.8190 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0730 – $23.01 · fair‑value band $0.4806 – $1.08 · the $0.2730 price screens below the $0.8190 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Cosmos Health Inc. (COSM) currently trades at $0.2730, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.8190, implying the stock looks roughly 66.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $1.10 per share, and 2 of the 3 models we run sit above the $0.2730 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.2000, and 1 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Cosmos Health Inc. generated revenue of $69.5M at a net margin of −30.4%. Revenue grew 30.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −92.3%. Net debt stands at $19.3M. Fundamentals as of Aug 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.4806 (bear case) to $1.08 (bull case); at $0.2730, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 79% below its 52-week high and 49% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at 200%, COSM screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $0.7000 $1.16 $1.51 66
DDM Multi-Stage $0.7000 $1.10 $1.25 65
NCAV (Graham) $0.1500 $0.2000 $0.3000 54
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.7000 $1.16 $1.51 66
DDM Multi-Stage $0.7000 $1.10 $1.25 65
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.1500 $0.2000 $0.3000 54

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($1.10) versus Asset-Based ($0.2000). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (66).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.19 TTM
EPS (TTM) $−0.6600
Net margin −29.3% FY2025
Return on equity −92.3% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −21.4% avg 5y
Operating margin −12.2% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $69.5M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +30.7% 3y avg +9.0%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −$8.5M FY2025
Net debt $19.3M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 11

Profitability 19
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 70
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 21
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 22
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Cosmos Health Inc. manufactures, develops, and trades branded nutraceutical products in Greece, the United Kingdom, Croatia, Bulgaria, the United Arab Emirates, Albania, North Macedonia, and Cyprus.

Full company description

Cosmos Health Inc. manufactures, develops, and trades branded nutraceutical products in Greece, the United Kingdom, Croatia, Bulgaria, the United Arab Emirates, Albania, North Macedonia, and Cyprus. The company provides prescription medications, over-the-counter drugs, medical devices, food supplements, nutraceuticals, cosmetics and other healthcare products under the Sky Premium Life and Mediterranation brand names. It offers ASTO-CHOL (Pravastatin), Diorium (Omeprazole), HEART-FREE (Clopidogrel), LIPICHOL (Atorvastatin), Miltus (Donepezil), Newzypra (Olanzapine), PNEUMO-KAST (Montelukast), Sahar (Pioglitazone), VIVALCID (Leucovorin), and Diabit-is (Sitagliptin). In addition, the company offers branded biocides and antiseptic soaps under the C-Sept and C-Scrub brand names; and other pharmaceutical products include Melatonin Spray, used to reduce insomnia and jet lag; Otikon ear drops, which is a Class II medical device in the form of ear drops; and baby foods, such as organic powder milk, pasta with minced meat, whole grain rice cereals, whole grain cereal porridges, and organic rice creams with vanilla milk, as well as pear, carrot and banana purée under the Bio-bebe brand. It serves wholesalers and retail healthcare providers. The company was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Thessaloniki, Greece.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Cosmos Health Inc. reported revenue of $65.3M in FY2025 versus $56.2M in FY2021, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$19.1M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 11/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$65.3M
Latest YoY
+19.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+42.9%
EBIT margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.9% (2020) → −25.3% (2025)
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +3.8%/yr
FY21 $56.2M
FY22 $50.3M
FY23 $53.4M
FY24 $54.4M
FY25 $65.3M
Net income
FY21 −$8.0M
FY22 −$13.8M
FY23 −$18.5M
FY24 −$16.2M
FY25 −$19.1M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cosmos Health Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/COSM

Peer Group

Medical Distribution · 79 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +200% · Top 25%
Return on assets −19% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −30% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −12% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 31% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.32× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Distribution median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.72× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.19× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 28
FUTURE100 · sector 15
PAST0 · sector 21
HEALTH84 · sector 97
DIVIDEND0 · sector 57

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
McKesson Corporation MCK $906.77 $819.31 −10%
Cencora, Inc COR $330.97 $211.07 −36%
Cardinal Health, Inc CAH $234.55 $141.77 −40%
Henry Schein, Inc HSIC $88.46 $71.70 −19%
Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding 601607 ¥16.37 ¥33.96 +107%
Sinopharm Group 1099 HK$16.75 HK$58.67 +250%
Galenica AG GALE CHF 80.85 CHF 61.79 −24%
Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings 600332 ¥21.03 ¥28.65 +36%
Jointown Pharmaceutical Group 600998 ¥5.05 ¥9.84 +95%
Asker Healthcare Group ASKER kr 74.40 kr 28.26 −62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Cosmos Health Inc. (COSM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.8190 versus a price of $0.2730, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of COSM?
Our model-based fair value for Cosmos Health Inc. is $0.8190 (as of Aug 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.2730.
What is the quality score of COSM?
Cosmos Health Inc. has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cosmos Health Inc. (COSM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.8190 (as of Aug 24, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.4806, optimistic scenario $1.08. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cosmos Health Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.8190, about +200% upside versus a price of $0.2730 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.4806, optimistic scenario $1.08. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cosmos Health Inc. (COSM)?
Cosmos Health Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $69.5M (latest available figure, as of Aug 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of COSM?
The net profit margin of Cosmos Health Inc. is about −30.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
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