Cosmos Health Inc. (COSM) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · US · Market cap $13.2M · ISIN US2214133058
What is Cosmos Health Inc. really worth?
Below-average quality, trading 67% below our fair value of $0.8190.
As of Aug 24, 2026, the fair value of Cosmos Health Inc. is $0.8190 per share against a price of $0.2730, so the fair value sits 200% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 24, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 13 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 24, 2026, revised from $1.21 to $0.8190 (−32.3%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +27.1% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (30/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.4806). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.4806 to $1.08) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0730 – $23.01 · fair‑value band $0.4806 – $1.08 · the $0.2730 price screens below the $0.8190 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 24, 2026.
Analysis
Cosmos Health Inc. (COSM) currently trades at $0.2730, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.8190, implying the stock looks roughly 66.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $1.10 per share, and 2 of the 3 models we run sit above the $0.2730 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.2000, and 1 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Cosmos Health Inc. generated revenue of $69.5M at a net margin of −30.4%. Revenue grew 30.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −92.3%. Net debt stands at $19.3M. Fundamentals as of Aug 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.4806 (bear case) to $1.08 (bull case); at $0.2730, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 79% below its 52-week high and 49% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at 200%, COSM screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($1.10) versus Asset-Based ($0.2000). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (66).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 11
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Cosmos Health Inc. manufactures, develops, and trades branded nutraceutical products in Greece, the United Kingdom, Croatia, Bulgaria, the United Arab Emirates, Albania, North Macedonia, and Cyprus.
Full company description
Cosmos Health Inc. manufactures, develops, and trades branded nutraceutical products in Greece, the United Kingdom, Croatia, Bulgaria, the United Arab Emirates, Albania, North Macedonia, and Cyprus. The company provides prescription medications, over-the-counter drugs, medical devices, food supplements, nutraceuticals, cosmetics and other healthcare products under the Sky Premium Life and Mediterranation brand names. It offers ASTO-CHOL (Pravastatin), Diorium (Omeprazole), HEART-FREE (Clopidogrel), LIPICHOL (Atorvastatin), Miltus (Donepezil), Newzypra (Olanzapine), PNEUMO-KAST (Montelukast), Sahar (Pioglitazone), VIVALCID (Leucovorin), and Diabit-is (Sitagliptin). In addition, the company offers branded biocides and antiseptic soaps under the C-Sept and C-Scrub brand names; and other pharmaceutical products include Melatonin Spray, used to reduce insomnia and jet lag; Otikon ear drops, which is a Class II medical device in the form of ear drops; and baby foods, such as organic powder milk, pasta with minced meat, whole grain rice cereals, whole grain cereal porridges, and organic rice creams with vanilla milk, as well as pear, carrot and banana purée under the Bio-bebe brand. It serves wholesalers and retail healthcare providers. The company was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Thessaloniki, Greece.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Cosmos Health Inc. reported revenue of $65.3M in FY2025 versus $56.2M in FY2021, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$19.1M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Medical Distribution · 79 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Medical Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Medical Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| McKesson Corporation MCK | $906.77 | $819.31 | −10% |
| Cencora, Inc COR | $330.97 | $211.07 | −36% |
| Cardinal Health, Inc CAH | $234.55 | $141.77 | −40% |
| Henry Schein, Inc HSIC | $88.46 | $71.70 | −19% |
| Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding 601607 | ¥16.37 | ¥33.96 | +107% |
| Sinopharm Group 1099 | HK$16.75 | HK$58.67 | +250% |
| Galenica AG GALE | CHF 80.85 | CHF 61.79 | −24% |
| Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings 600332 | ¥21.03 | ¥28.65 | +36% |
| Jointown Pharmaceutical Group 600998 | ¥5.05 | ¥9.84 | +95% |
| Asker Healthcare Group ASKER | kr 74.40 | kr 28.26 | −62% |
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