Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $431B
Costco Wholesale Corporation
COST · US
Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Share price −0.3% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $852.96 – $1,101 · fair‑value band $264.05 – $479.39 · the $957.68 price screens above the $383.51 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.
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Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) currently trades at $957.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $383.51 — implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Costco Wholesale Corporation generated revenue of $294B at a net margin of 3.0%. Revenue grew 21.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 29.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $6.0B. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Costco Wholesale Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the operation of membership warehouses in the United States, Puerto Rico, Canada, Mexico, Japan, the United Kingdom, Korea, Australia, Taiwan, China, Spain, France, Iceland, New Zealand, and Sweden. It offers merchandise, including sundries, dry groceries, candies, coolers, freezers, deli, liquor, and tobacco; non-food merchandise comprising appliances, small electronics, health and beauty aids, hardware, lawn and garden, sporting goods, tires, toys and seasonal, automotive, stamps, tickets, apparel, furniture, domestics, housewares, special order kiosks, and jewelry; and fresh food, such as meat, produce, service deli, and bakery products. The company is also involved in warehouse ancillary operations, which include gasoline, pharmacies, optical, food courts, hearing-aid centers, and tire installation centers. In addition, it engages in e-commerce, business centers, travel, and other businesses. The company …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Costco Wholesale Corporation reported revenue of $275B in FY2025 versus $196B in FY2021, a compound +8.9%/yr. Reported net income was $8.1B in FY2025, compounding +12.8%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
- Alexander’s Leases 135,000 Square Feet to Target at its Rego Park Shopping Center; Center is 99% Leased
- Why Beauty Remains One of Target's Strongest Growth Engines
- 'Big Short' Star Steve Eisman Warns Middle Class Is 'Starting To Crack', Tax Refunds 'Went Into The Gas Tank'
- Costco’s Secret Growth Engine May Be Running Out of Gas
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
Similar stocks
6 more Discount Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Walmart Inc WMT | C$49.53 | C$21.45 | -57% |
| Target Corporation TGT | 2,193 MXN | 1,562 MXN | -29% |
| Wal-Mart de México, S.A. WALMEX | 50.62 MXN | 60.66 MXN | +20% |
| Dollarama Inc DLMAY | $14.44 | $6.84 | -53% |
| Avenue Supermarts Limited DMART | ₹4,331 | ₹1,065 | -75% |
| Dollar General Corporation DG | $112.46 | $125.44 | +12% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.